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Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9828

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9828)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,028.00â–¼(-4.78% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is held down primarily by weakening cash flow (sharp FCF decline and weaker cash conversion) alongside a materially higher leverage profile, which increases financial risk. Technical indicators also point to weak momentum with the price below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is reasonable (mid-teens P/E and ~2.3% yield), but it is not enough to offset the balance-sheet and cash-flow concerns.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthSustained sales growth indicates that the restaurant network continues to generate customer demand and expand its revenue base. If maintained, this provides a durable platform for operating scale, continued investment, and improved earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Higher LeverageThe sharp increase in debt relative to equity materially reduces balance-sheet flexibility and makes the company more sensitive to earnings volatility and financing costs. Higher leverage can constrain future capital allocation and leaves less room to absorb weaker restaurant performance.

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9828+10.21%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 56.16B
Dividend Yield
2.20%
Average Volume (3M)
75.50K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.0
Beta (1Y)
0.53
Revenue Growth
28.58%
EPS Growth
-34.37%
Country
Japan
Employees
691
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Restaurants

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genki Global Dining Concepts Corp manages and operates a widespread chain of sushi establishments, serving customers in Japan, Hong Kong, mainland China, and other global regions. The company's diverse menu items are available under three primary bra...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through direct-to-consumer restaurant sales. Its main revenue stream is in-store food and beverage transactions generated by customer visits to its company-operated (and/or managed) sushi restaurants, where customers...

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid top-line momentum (TTM revenue up ~10%) and still-profitable operations, but risk has risen materially: margins have compressed versus FY2025, leverage increased sharply (debt-to-equity ~1.87 vs ~0.48), and free cash flow declined steeply with weaker cash conversion. The combination of higher debt and weaker cash generation is the main drag.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

44Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue88.56B73.71B67.47B61.84B54.61B38.25B
Gross Profit45.39B40.44B40.22B36.40B31.06B22.63B
EBITDA7.49B7.21B8.63B6.87B3.66B1.44B
Net Income2.95B3.49B4.96B3.26B1.01B-443.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets73.36B59.48B35.01B32.92B30.85B24.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.05B28.49B11.95B10.55B7.69B5.26B
Total Debt35.37B30.65B8.20B10.12B12.38B10.36B
Total Liabilities53.04B40.06B17.95B19.38B20.55B16.26B
Stockholders Equity20.31B19.42B17.06B13.54B10.30B8.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.62B2.10B4.92B5.12B2.84B218.40M
Operating Cash Flow4.17B4.55B6.79B6.22B4.68B1.60B
Investing Cash Flow-19.95B-4.47B-1.77B-906.26M-2.19B-2.08B
Financing Cash Flow14.47B16.23B-3.58B-2.60B-1.86B2.22B

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3180.00

Price Trends

50DMA3317.68Negative
100DMA3286.48Negative
200DMA3058.29Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-69.99Positive
RSI46.33Neutral
STOCH60.53Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9828, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3180.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3278.10, below the 50-day MA of 3317.68, and above the 200-day MA of 3058.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -69.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9828.

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9828 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2695JP:269576OutperformJPY 138.39B63.62―0.86%4.28%-3.16%
JP:7630JP:763071OutperformJPY 170.79B75.14―1.50%8.36%-24.27%
JP:9861JP:986169NeutralJPY 312.67B53.60―0.48%9.53%37.85%
JP:7421JP:742156NeutralJPY 81.01B-33.88―0.38%-0.58%-284.13%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8153JP:815355NeutralJPY 140.30B35.94―0.79%11.40%-14.75%
JP:9828JP:982846NeutralJPY 56.32B19.04―2.20%28.58%-34.37%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:9828JP:2695JP:7421JP:7630JP:8153JP:9861Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9828 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9828Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.3180.00236.918.05%
JP:2695Kura Sushi, Inc.1741.00103.416.32%
JP:7421KAPPA.CREATE CO.LTD.1642.00137.639.15%
JP:7630Ichibanya Co., Ltd.1070.00177.5219.89%
JP:8153MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.4550.00525.6713.06%
JP:9861Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.4835.001827.3560.76%

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Genki Global Dining Boosts Sales on Expansion but Profit Margins Tighten

Oct 30, 2026

Genki Global Dining Concepts reported a sharp rise in consolidated net sales for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027, with revenue climbing from JPY 35,205 million to JPY 50,059 million, driven by newly acquired subsidiaries and s...

Genki Sushi Parent Boosts Sales on Overseas Expansion but Profit Margins Tighten

Oct 30, 2026

Genki Global Dining Concepts reported strong top-line growth for the six months ended Sept. 30, 2026, with total system sales up 33.1% to ¥90.2 billion and net sales up 42.2% to ¥50.1 billion, helped by the consolidation of Food Odyssey Pty. Ltd. and...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026