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Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9828

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9828)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,818.00▲(27.74% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The overall score of 71 is primarily driven by strong revenue expansion and solid technical momentum across all major moving averages. A reasonable valuation adds to its appeal, but the score is somewhat restrained by increased debt leverage and weaker cash-flow-to-debt coverage following recent aggressive asset expansion.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthContinued revenue growth indicates that Genki Sushi is sustaining customer demand and expanding its sales base within the foodservice market. A growing top line supports operating scale, provides room to absorb cost pressures, and creates a foundation for future earnings improvement.
Negative Factors
Higher LeverageThe sharp increase in borrowing materially reduces financial flexibility for a restaurant operator. Higher leverage raises the importance of steady cash generation, can constrain investment or distributions, and leaves the company more exposed if operating performance weakens.

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9828+4.62%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 52.78B
Dividend Yield
2.34%
Average Volume (3M)
72.15K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.2
Beta (1Y)
0.37
Revenue Growth
28.58%
EPS Growth
-34.37%
Country
Japan
Employees
691
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Restaurants

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. manages and operates a widespread chain of sushi establishments, serving customers in Japan, Hong Kong, mainland China, and other global regions. The company's diverse menu items are available under three primary brand names: Uo...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through direct-to-consumer restaurant sales. Its main revenue stream is in-store food and beverage transactions generated by customer visits to its company-operated (and/or managed) sushi restaurants, where customers...

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Genki Sushi shows robust revenue growth and positive cash generation. However, aggressive asset expansion has significantly increased debt levels and slightly compressed margins, leading to a moderate overall financial score.

Income Statement

75Positive

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue80.17B73.71B67.47B61.84B54.61B38.25B
Gross Profit41.99B40.44B40.22B36.40B31.06B22.63B
EBITDA7.25B7.21B8.63B6.87B3.66B1.44B
Net Income3.47B3.49B4.96B3.26B1.01B-443.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.13B59.48B35.01B32.92B30.85B24.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.40B28.49B11.95B10.55B7.69B5.26B
Total Debt37.17B30.65B8.20B10.12B12.38B10.36B
Total Liabilities52.26B40.06B17.95B19.38B20.55B16.26B
Stockholders Equity19.87B19.42B17.06B13.54B10.30B8.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.54B2.10B4.92B5.12B2.84B218.40M
Operating Cash Flow6.14B4.55B6.79B6.22B4.68B1.60B
Investing Cash Flow-20.03B-4.47B-1.77B-906.26M-2.19B-2.08B
Financing Cash Flow15.73B16.23B-3.58B-2.60B-1.86B2.22B

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2989.00

Price Trends

50DMA3373.58Negative
100DMA3258.79Negative
200DMA3057.17Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-16.47Positive
RSI30.89Neutral
STOCH31.74Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9828, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2989.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3388.70, below the 50-day MA of 3373.58, and below the 200-day MA of 3057.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9828.

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9828 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7630JP:763071OutperformJPY 168.71B74.37―1.51%8.36%-24.27%
JP:9828JP:982871OutperformJPY 61.19B15.21―2.34%28.58%-34.37%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:7421JP:742155NeutralJPY 77.76B-52.50―0.39%-1.11%-223.03%
JP:8153JP:815355NeutralJPY 132.28B33.92―0.84%6.32%10.13%
JP:2695JP:269553NeutralJPY 137.27B63.18―0.87%4.28%-3.16%
JP:9861JP:986151NeutralJPY 291.39B50.33―0.51%9.53%37.85%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9828JP:2695JP:7421JP:7630JP:8153JP:9861Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9828 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9828Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.2989.00102.623.56%
JP:2695Kura Sushi, Inc.1729.00123.627.70%
JP:7421KAPPA.CREATE CO.LTD.1585.0094.586.35%
JP:7630Ichibanya Co., Ltd.1059.00170.4619.18%
JP:8153MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.4295.00419.3610.82%
JP:9861Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.4540.001538.3151.25%

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Genki Global Dining Boosts Sales on Expansion but Profit Margins Tighten

Oct 30, 2026

Genki Global Dining Concepts reported a sharp rise in consolidated net sales for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027, with revenue climbing from JPY 35,205 million to JPY 50,059 million, driven by newly acquired subsidiaries and s...

Genki Sushi Parent Boosts Sales on Overseas Expansion but Profit Margins Tighten

Oct 30, 2026

Genki Global Dining Concepts reported strong top-line growth for the six months ended Sept. 30, 2026, with total system sales up 33.1% to ¥90.2 billion and net sales up 42.2% to ¥50.1 billion, helped by the consolidation of Food Odyssey Pty...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026