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Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9828

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9828)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,628.00â–²(21.38% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

The stock benefits from a strong technical trend and reasonable valuation, but these are tempered by a mixed financial profile. Revenue growth is a key strength, yet declining margins, high debt leverage, and weak cash flow coverage of debt introduce significant risk. The neutral technical readings and fair P/E ratio provide balance, resulting in a slightly above-average overall score.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthContinued revenue growth indicates that Genki Sushi is sustaining customer demand and expanding its sales base within the foodservice market. A growing top line supports operating scale, provides room to absorb cost pressures, and creates a foundation for future earnings improvement.
Negative Factors
Higher LeverageThe sharp increase in borrowing materially reduces financial flexibility for a restaurant operator. Higher leverage raises the importance of steady cash generation, can constrain investment or distributions, and leaves the company more exposed if operating performance weakens.

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9828+20.93%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 61.01B
Dividend Yield
2.03%
Average Volume (3M)
67.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.6
Beta (1Y)
0.37
Revenue Growth
17.21%
EPS Growth
-27.52%
Country
Japan
Employees
691
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Restaurants

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. manages and operates a widespread chain of sushi establishments, serving customers in Japan, Hong Kong, mainland China, and other global regions. The company's diverse menu items are available under three primary brand names: Uo...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through direct-to-consumer restaurant sales. Its main revenue stream is in-store food and beverage transactions generated by customer visits to its company-operated (and/or managed) sushi restaurants, where customers...

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is solid at 8.8% and gross margins are healthy, but net margin has contracted significantly. The balance sheet is strained by high leverage (debt-to-equity of 1.58), and while cash flow has improved, debt coverage remains very weak. The overall financial picture is mixed, with growth offset by elevated financial risk.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue80.17B73.71B67.47B61.84B54.61B38.25B
Gross Profit41.99B40.44B40.22B36.40B31.06B22.63B
EBITDA7.25B7.21B8.63B6.87B3.66B1.44B
Net Income3.47B3.49B4.96B3.26B1.01B-443.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.13B59.48B35.01B32.92B30.85B24.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.40B28.49B11.95B10.55B7.69B5.26B
Total Debt37.17B30.65B8.20B10.12B12.38B10.36B
Total Liabilities52.26B40.06B17.95B19.38B20.55B16.26B
Stockholders Equity19.87B19.42B17.06B13.54B10.30B8.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.54B2.10B4.92B5.12B2.84B218.40M
Operating Cash Flow6.14B4.55B6.79B6.22B4.68B1.60B
Investing Cash Flow-20.03B-4.47B-1.77B-906.26M-2.19B-2.08B
Financing Cash Flow15.73B16.23B-3.58B-2.60B-1.86B2.22B

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2989.00

Price Trends

50DMA3379.60Positive
100DMA3256.12Positive
200DMA3057.43Positive

Market Momentum

MACD18.60Positive
RSI55.41Neutral
STOCH23.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9828, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2989.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3399.50, below the 50-day MA of 3379.60, and below the 200-day MA of 3057.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9828.

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9828 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7630JP:763071OutperformJPY 168.71B74.23―1.51%8.36%-24.27%
JP:9828JP:982860NeutralJPY 61.19B17.59―2.03%17.21%-27.52%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:7421JP:742155NeutralJPY 77.76B-52.20―0.40%-1.11%-223.03%
JP:8153JP:815355NeutralJPY 132.28B33.88―0.84%6.32%10.13%
JP:2695JP:269553NeutralJPY 137.27B63.11―0.87%4.28%-3.16%
JP:9861JP:986151NeutralJPY 291.39B49.95―0.51%9.53%37.85%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9828JP:2695JP:7421JP:7630JP:8153JP:9861Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:9828 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9828Genki Sushi Co., Ltd.3455.00568.6219.70%
JP:2695Kura Sushi, Inc.1727.00121.627.58%
JP:7421KAPPA.CREATE CO.LTD.1576.0085.585.74%
JP:7630Ichibanya Co., Ltd.1057.00168.4618.96%
JP:8153MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.4290.00414.3610.69%
JP:9861Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.4506.001504.3150.12%

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Genki Global Dining Boosts Sales on Expansion but Profit Margins Tighten

Oct 30, 2026

Genki Global Dining Concepts reported a sharp rise in consolidated net sales for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027, with revenue climbing from JPY 35,205 million to JPY 50,059 million, driven by newly acquired subsidiaries and s...

Genki Sushi Parent Boosts Sales on Overseas Expansion but Profit Margins Tighten

Oct 30, 2026

Genki Global Dining Concepts reported strong top-line growth for the six months ended Sept. 30, 2026, with total system sales up 33.1% to ¥90.2 billion and net sales up 42.2% to ¥50.1 billion, helped by the consolidation of Food Odyssey Pty...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026