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T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. (9812) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9812

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD.

(TSE/TYO:9812)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:JPY 200.00â–¼(-6.10% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/07/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by a fragile financial position with high leverage and weak profitability, compounded by bearish technical trends. The stock trades below all major moving averages with strong downward momentum. A high P/E ratio and negligible dividend yield add no valuation support.

Positive Factors
Positive Free Cash FlowConsistently positive free cash flow indicates the business generates cash after investment needs, providing an internally funded resource for operations and capital allocation. The 2026 improvement strengthens this support, although its ability to reduce leverage remains limited.
Negative Factors
Extreme LeverageExtremely high leverage leaves little balance-sheet flexibility and makes the company more sensitive to refinancing conditions and interest costs. A small equity base also reduces the cushion available if earnings weaken, keeping financial risk elevated over the medium term.

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. (9812) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9812-21.52%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.37B
Dividend Yield
0.23%
Average Volume (3M)
6,608
Price to Earnings (P/E)
46.9
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
2.84%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Japan
Employees
440
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

T.O. Holdings CO.,LTD., through its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of clothing, furniture, home appliances, household appliances, mobile phone agency, and credit card business in Japan and internationally. It also offers consumer loans; se...

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. The income statement shows thin margins and recent net losses, and the balance sheet is highly leveraged with a 29.6x debt-to-equity ratio, posing significant risk. Positive and growing cash flow provides some offset, but overall financial health is poor.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

25Negative

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2026May 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.08B23.54B24.19B25.61B26.49B27.70B
Gross Profit5.63B5.20B5.34B5.62B6.01B6.01B
EBITDA800.28M696.40M756.88M878.22M323.76M840.40M
Net Income29.13M-52.80M-7.58M111.53M-521.64M-28.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.20B17.66B17.07B17.92B19.60B20.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments818.50M1.37B683.49M474.76M1.14B766.51M
Total Debt10.95B11.19B11.53B11.84B13.78B13.91B
Total Liabilities16.64B17.13B16.47B17.32B19.13B19.63B
Stockholders Equity422.21M378.45M461.52M453.37M329.88M913.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.13B1.13B578.84M421.08M512.13M307.58M
Operating Cash Flow1.80B1.80B1.06B734.64M873.59M678.95M
Investing Cash Flow-702.51M-702.51M-471.08M616.39M-287.91M-199.96M
Financing Cash Flow-416.04M-416.04M-382.95M-2.02B-189.21M-532.95M

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price213.00

Price Trends

50DMA229.04Negative
100DMA230.50Negative
200DMA243.70Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.41Negative
RSI45.76Neutral
STOCH66.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9812, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 213.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 215.25, below the 50-day MA of 229.04, and below the 200-day MA of 243.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9812.

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:9812 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5288JP:528875OutperformJPY 55.95B7.19―4.52%13.13%47.97%
JP:1994JP:199472OutperformJPY 5.00B6.36―3.66%10.67%2166.61%
JP:5268JP:526872OutperformJPY 9.95B13.59―1.85%14.25%247.13%
JP:5900JP:590061NeutralJPY 4.70B14.23―2.47%11.32%83.46%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5269JP:526948NeutralJPY 19.58B21.00―2.64%0.13%―
JP:9812JP:981238UnderperformJPY 1.33B46.92―0.23%2.84%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:9812JP:1994JP:5268JP:5269JP:5288JP:5900Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9812 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9812T.O.Holdings CO. LTD.213.00-70.38-24.84%
JP:1994Takahashi Curtain Wall Corporation574.0077.9215.71%
JP:5268Asahi Concrete Works Co., Ltd.767.00-188.02-19.69%
JP:5269Nippon Concrete Industries Co., Ltd.341.0024.427.71%
JP:5288ASIA PILE HOLDINGS Corporation1461.00147.3411.22%
JP:5900Daiken Co., Ltd.790.00-20.67-2.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026