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Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. (9444) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9444

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9444)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:JPY 199.00â–²(5.85% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/30/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance: widening losses, negative operating/free cash flow, and high leverage alongside a shrinking equity cushion. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no provided dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue reboundThe 36.4% revenue rebound shows that demand for the group’s offerings can expand materially in a single year. If sustained, stronger sales would provide a broader base from which Toshin can improve operating leverage, rebuild cash generation, and support its telecommunications-focused activities.
Negative Factors
Deepening lossesThe sharp increase in net losses weakens the company’s earnings foundation and reduces its ability to fund operations or investment internally. Continued losses could further erode shareholder capital, constrain strategic flexibility, and make the strong recent revenue growth less valuable to long-term financial health.

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. (9444) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:9444-53.95%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.32B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
84.05K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.7
Beta (1Y)
0.07
Revenue Growth
-0.62%
EPS Growth
-171.87%
Country
Japan
Employees
94
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd. primarily engages in Japan's mobile telecommunications industry. Its activities in this sector involve the operation and sales of mobile retail outlets, acting as an authorized agent, providing shop management services under...

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite strong revenue growth in 2026 (+36.4% YoY), profitability and cash generation deteriorated sharply: net loss widened to -¥1.38B, operating cash flow turned negative (-¥549M), and free cash flow remained deeply negative (-¥1.08B). Balance-sheet risk is elevated with a shrinking equity base (down to ¥1.06B in 2026) against large debt (¥15.26B).

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

27Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.36B17.80B17.48B16.42B17.13B18.07B
Gross Profit2.71B2.70B2.89B3.21B3.65B3.59B
EBITDA218.10M694.85M441.96M262.41M698.06M959.99M
Net Income-134.46M-1.38B-84.53M-209.67M142.18M344.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.12B21.78B24.53B22.74B24.19B23.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.71B2.65B3.08B2.34B2.08B2.73B
Total Debt15.97B15.26B16.50B15.25B17.04B15.35B
Total Liabilities21.55B20.65B22.11B20.12B21.56B20.40B
Stockholders Equity2.53B1.06B2.39B2.60B2.60B2.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.08B-765.81M-19.91M-1.97B-1.63B
Operating Cash Flow0-549.06M281.78M294.17M231.94M-212.13M
Investing Cash Flow01.37B1.58B262.65M-1.91B-1.14B
Financing Cash Flow0-1.37B-852.45M-356.56M1.45B773.12M

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price188.00

Price Trends

50DMA264.66Negative
100DMA255.20Negative
200DMA301.14Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-11.26Positive
RSI30.56Neutral
STOCH14.81Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9444, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 188.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 250.55, below the 50-day MA of 264.66, and below the 200-day MA of 301.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9444.

Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9444 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6061JP:606184OutperformJPY 32.44B20.47―0.39%9.75%-16.95%
JP:3093JP:309372OutperformJPY 43.20B12.32―2.50%15.52%22.34%
JP:2769JP:276964NeutralJPY 7.25B12.79――-5.16%―
JP:3159JP:315964NeutralJPY 33.22B10.04―1.67%5.55%-29.88%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:9278JP:927856NeutralJPY 41.83B13.65―1.51%10.64%96.47%
JP:9444JP:944438UnderperformJPY 1.32B-0.66――-0.62%-171.87%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%JP:9444JP:2769JP:3093JP:3159JP:6061JP:9278Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:9444 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9444Toshin Holdings Co., Ltd.204.00-280.00-57.85%
JP:2769Village Vanguard Co., Ltd.923.00-106.00-10.30%
JP:3093Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.1803.00142.408.58%
JP:3159Maruzen CHI Holdings Co., Ltd.359.0033.8410.41%
JP:6061Universal Engeisha Co., Ltd.3300.00339.7611.48%
JP:9278BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED2384.001089.4884.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026