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NOVARESE,Inc. (9160) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9160

NOVARESE,Inc.

(TSE/TYO:9160)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:JPY 364.00â–²(12.35% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The overall score is driven primarily by strong financial performance, with rapid sales growth and solid operating margins offset by high and rising leverage and weaker recent cash coverage of debt, which heighten balance-sheet risk. Attractive valuation with a low P/E meaningfully boosts the score, while technicals show a constructive uptrend but overbought momentum, suggesting near-term price risk despite a positive trend.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue GrowthTTM revenue growth of 28.8% indicates sustained demand expansion rather than a stagnant base. Continued top-line momentum can support operating leverage and provide a broader earnings foundation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Increase in LeverageThe sharp increase in debt materially raises financial risk and interest sensitivity. A highly leveraged balance sheet can restrict investment flexibility and amplify downside if operating performance weakens or financing costs rise.

NOVARESE,Inc. (9160) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:9160-5.81%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 12.38B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
37.73K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.3
Beta (1Y)
0.32
Revenue Growth
41.94%
EPS Growth
43.09%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,987
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Personal Products & Services

NOVARESE,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Novarese, Inc. operates extensively in the wedding and hospitality industries, both domestically in Japan and across international markets. The company delivers a full spectrum of wedding services, covering everything from initial venue guidance and...

How the Company Makes Money

null

NOVARESE,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth near 29% year over year and robust operating profitability (around 29% operating margin and over 40% EBITDA margin) support a high score, but margin compression at the net level and elevated leverage, with total debt now more than three times equity and weaker cash coverage of debt, reduce the overall financial quality.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.14B22.04B19.30B18.27B17.22B11.19B
Gross Profit15.70B12.24B10.86B10.18B10.14B6.40B
EBITDA6.11B4.73B3.82B3.91B4.93B2.93B
Net Income1.36B1.26B663.90M942.27M1.66B374.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.69B36.82B37.13B34.81B32.51B32.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.62B3.42B3.55B1.72B2.80B2.25B
Total Debt44.80B12.37B19.35B18.03B18.71B22.31B
Total Liabilities57.83B26.71B28.29B26.63B25.27B27.04B
Stockholders Equity13.86B10.11B8.85B8.18B7.23B5.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.90B2.27B2.50B1.02B3.26B2.15B
Operating Cash Flow4.23B4.76B3.89B3.00B4.62B2.37B
Investing Cash Flow-2.42B-2.65B-1.45B-2.03B-1.34B-253.64M
Financing Cash Flow-2.64B-2.22B-621.47M-2.04B-2.73B-2.21B

NOVARESE,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price324.00

Price Trends

50DMA329.42Negative
100DMA312.63Positive
200DMA308.67Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-1.20Positive
RSI45.61Neutral
STOCH35.56Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9160, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 324.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 326.70, below the 50-day MA of 329.42, and above the 200-day MA of 308.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9160.

NOVARESE,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9160 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9160JP:916078OutperformJPY 12.42B6.28――41.94%43.09%
JP:2418JP:241866NeutralJPY 26.57B9.777.16%2.35%10.88%-58.64%
JP:2305JP:230563NeutralJPY 30.47B19.47―2.80%-4.42%-1.75%
JP:2424JP:242462NeutralJPY 3.43B12.16―1.32%5.56%-35.55%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:6571JP:657159NeutralJPY 16.84B20.63―3.22%6.31%-22.50%
JP:4331JP:433150NeutralJPY 12.25B43.66―6.10%――

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%JP:9160JP:2418JP:2305JP:2424JP:4331JP:6571Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9160 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9160NOVARESE,Inc.324.00-21.00-6.09%
JP:2418TSUKADA GLOBAL HOLDINGS Inc553.00-60.33-9.84%
JP:2305Studio Alice Co., Ltd.1785.00-202.50-10.19%
JP:2424Brass Corp.608.00-25.90-4.09%
JP:4331Take and Give. Needs Co., Ltd.836.0077.5210.22%
JP:6571QB Net Holdings Co., Ltd.1244.00-83.85-6.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026