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Zero Co., Ltd. (9028) AI Stock Analysis

JP:9028

Zero Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9028)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:JPY 3,258.00â–²(8.24% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Zero Co. earns a score of 64, reflecting a fundamentally sound logistics company trading at an attractive valuation (P/E 8.4x, 3.9% dividend yield) but facing near-term headwinds. The most significant positive factor is the compelling valuation, which offers a margin of safety and income appeal. Financially, the company has delivered strong multi-year growth and balance sheet improvement, though FY2026 projections show decelerating revenue, plateauing margins, and a material drop in free cash flow — the most notable risk factor. Technical indicators are neutral, with the stock consolidating around its moving averages and no clear directional momentum. The low beta provides defensive characteristics but also limits upside in a risk-on environment. Investors should monitor whether the FY2026 cash flow weakness is temporary or structural.

Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue expansionRevenue growth across several years indicates expanding business activity and sustained demand for the company’s logistics services. A larger revenue base can improve operating leverage, strengthen customer coverage, and provide a durable platform for future earnings growth.
Negative Factors
Sharp free-cash-flow declineThe sharp decline in free cash flow reduces confidence that reported earnings are translating consistently into cash. If this weakness persists, the company may have less internally generated capacity for investment, dividends, debt reduction, or other capital-allocation priorities.

Zero Co., Ltd. (9028) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:9028-0.12%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 51.17B
Dividend Yield
4.66%
Average Volume (3M)
17.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.0
Beta (1Y)
0.70
Revenue Growth
1.84%
EPS Growth
0.27%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,881
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Trucking

Zero Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating across Japan with its various subsidiaries, ZERO Co., Ltd. specializes in a comprehensive suite of vehicle transportation and maintenance solutions. Key offerings encompass the delivery of both new and pre-owned vehicles, alongside convenie...

How the Company Makes Money

Zero Co., Ltd. makes money primarily by charging fees for logistics services centered on automobiles. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) vehicle transportation fees (moving finished vehicles between factories, ports, distribution yards, deale...

Zero Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Zero Co. shows a strong multi-year revenue growth trajectory (+63% cumulative) and meaningful profitability improvement with net margins rising to ~4.9%. The balance sheet is healthy with declining leverage (D/E at 0.23) and solid ROE in the mid-teens. However, FY2026 signals deceleration: revenue growth slowing to +2.6%, margins plateauing, and free cash flow projected to drop ~40% to ¥5.4B despite stable earnings. The cash flow volatility and weakening FCF-to-net-income conversion (0.66) temper the otherwise positive fundamental picture. Blending the income statement (72), balance sheet (68), and cash flow (62) scores, the overall financial performance score reflects a fundamentally sound but decelerating business.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.56B150.56B147.84B140.75B132.86B107.05B
Gross Profit21.78B21.78B21.75B17.67B15.20B13.13B
EBITDA15.54B15.54B15.24B11.47B9.75B8.35B
Net Income7.21B7.21B7.18B4.15B3.44B2.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.18B77.18B73.95B70.73B56.56B55.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.16B17.16B16.64B11.32B5.87B5.65B
Total Debt11.14B11.14B11.27B14.25B7.29B10.52B
Total Liabilities28.76B28.76B30.41B32.86B22.72B24.57B
Stockholders Equity48.09B48.09B42.90B37.21B33.28B30.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.44B5.44B10.74B8.99B6.87B1.36B
Operating Cash Flow8.22B8.22B12.86B11.23B8.78B3.95B
Investing Cash Flow-3.65B-3.65B-2.84B-4.66B-2.17B-3.27B
Financing Cash Flow-4.25B-4.25B-4.61B-824.00M-6.29B-1.61B

Zero Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3010.00

Price Trends

50DMA3280.80Negative
100DMA3431.84Negative
200DMA3503.45Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-69.06Negative
RSI37.26Neutral
STOCH24.95Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9028, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3010.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3090.00, below the 50-day MA of 3280.80, and below the 200-day MA of 3503.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -69.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9028.

Zero Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9028 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4732JP:473277OutperformJPY 823.70B19.7521.34%3.21%11.30%12.09%
JP:7593JP:759369NeutralJPY 59.04B10.31―4.86%13.60%12.08%
JP:9028JP:902864NeutralJPY 50.37B7.05―4.66%1.84%0.27%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:3186JP:318661NeutralJPY 190.42B10.11―1.83%23.54%111.44%
JP:7599JP:759956NeutralJPY 96.19B8.07―3.72%16.85%-1.43%
JP:7602JP:760248NeutralJPY 3.21B16.91―0.65%3.64%―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:9028JP:4732JP:3186JP:7593JP:7599JP:7602Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9028 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9028Zero Co., Ltd.3010.00-22.88-0.75%
JP:4732USS Co 1795.50154.689.43%
JP:3186Nextage Co., Ltd.2420.00105.414.55%
JP:7593VT Holdings Co., Ltd.494.0024.565.23%
JP:7599IDOM Inc.961.00-163.55-14.54%
JP:7602Carchs Holdings Co., Ltd.153.0018.9314.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026