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Asax Co., Ltd. (8772) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8772

Asax Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8772)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 970.00▲(16.17% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven by strong technical trend and attractive valuation (low P/E with a moderate dividend). Offsetting these positives, financial performance is constrained by persistent negative operating/free cash flow and a rising leverage trend despite strong reported profitability.

Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue GrowthSustained revenue expansion indicates improving loan origination or portfolio scale. The acceleration in 2026 supports near-term operating momentum and can strengthen earnings capacity if underwriting quality and funding access remain disciplined.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash FlowWeak cash conversion means reported earnings are not consistently translating into liquidity. If cash remains tied up in loan growth or working-capital movements, the company may rely more heavily on external funding, reducing flexibility during credit or funding stress.

Asax Co., Ltd. (8772) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:8772-0.86%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 27.73B
Dividend Yield
2.63%
Average Volume (3M)
6,943
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.4
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
17.43%
EPS Growth
11.59%
Country
Japan
Employees
57
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Mortgages

Asax Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Asax Co., Ltd., which was established in 1969, specializes in providing real estate-backed loans. Based in Tokyo, Japan, the company offers these mortgage financing services to both private individuals and business entities.

How the Company Makes Money

Asax Co., Ltd. primarily makes money by originating and servicing loans and earning interest income on the outstanding loan balance. Its main revenue stream is the spread between (a) interest and fees charged to borrowers on secured lending products...

Asax Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong and accelerating revenue with consistently high profitability supports a solid income-statement profile (Income Statement Score: 86). However, rising leverage increases balance-sheet risk (Balance Sheet Score: 64), and persistent negative operating and free cash flow is a major concern that reduces financial flexibility (Cash Flow Score: 33).

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

33Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.78B8.78B7.52B6.75B6.18B5.65B
Gross Profit7.37B8.16B6.83B6.19B5.78B5.31B
EBITDA6.17B7.14B5.32B5.18B4.34B3.89B
Net Income3.95B3.95B3.39B3.29B2.80B2.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.18B130.18B118.27B109.55B101.19B83.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.11B8.11B5.17B5.47B6.35B3.63B
Total Debt74.44B74.44B66.39B60.55B55.08B40.30B
Total Liabilities77.39B77.39B69.22B63.22B57.56B42.29B
Stockholders Equity52.79B52.79B49.05B46.33B43.63B41.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-6.61B-3.80B-3.68B-11.44B-3.74B
Operating Cash Flow0-6.58B-3.74B-3.64B-11.42B-3.72B
Investing Cash Flow0-316.18M-1.71B-2.13B-50.98M-799.32M
Financing Cash Flow07.35B5.18B4.88B14.18B2.53B

Asax Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price835.00

Price Trends

50DMA889.04Negative
100DMA862.14Negative
200DMA858.12Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-15.17Positive
RSI34.35Neutral
STOCH15.53Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8772, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 835.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 869.75, below the 50-day MA of 889.04, and below the 200-day MA of 858.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8772.

Asax Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8772 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7191JP:719180OutperformJPY 25.68B14.07―4.02%18.19%16.32%
JP:8771JP:877179OutperformJPY 76.75B20.92―5.09%5.01%8.58%
JP:8772JP:877272OutperformJPY 27.83B6.42―2.63%17.43%11.59%
JP:7192JP:719263NeutralJPY 8.60B7.42―5.13%7.70%12.41%
JP:7196JP:719663NeutralJPY 7.36B-210.26―2.06%5.12%-102.11%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:8772JP:7191JP:7192JP:7196JP:8771Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8772 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8772Asax Co., Ltd.835.008.361.01%
JP:7191Entrust Inc.1157.00143.2814.13%
JP:7192Mortgage Service Japan Limited585.00136.4930.43%
JP:7196Casa Inc.727.0019.502.76%
JP:8771eGuarantee, Inc.1692.0070.184.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026