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Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) AI Stock Analysis

JP:8746

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8746)

Select Model
Rating:29Underperform
Price Target:JPY 90.00â–¼(-10.89% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The score is dominated by a deeply distressed financial profile: chronic operating losses, negative free cash flow in every reported period, and an FY2026 estimate pointing to a ¥4.0 billion net loss alongside a sharp erosion of shareholders' equity. Valuation provides no offset, with a negative P/E and no dividend to compensate investors for risk. Technicals are the only mildly positive element — the shares have reclaimed their 20- and 50-day moving averages with a positive MACD and neutral momentum readings — but price remains far below the 100- and 200-day averages, confirming a severe longer-term downtrend. Earnings call and corporate event components were excluded due to missing data, with their weight redistributed. Overall, this is a high-risk, speculative situation where fundamental viability concerns outweigh any short-term rebound in price.

Positive Factors
Manageable Current LeverageRelatively modest current leverage gives Daiichi Commodities more financial flexibility than a highly indebted balance sheet would provide. This can reduce immediate refinancing pressure and preserve capacity to support operations, although the historical volatility in leverage limits the strength of this advantage.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue ContractionRecent revenue contraction weakens the scale of Daiichi Commodities’ operating platform and makes fixed costs harder to absorb. Continued volatility would reduce visibility into recurring earnings power, limit reinvestment capacity, and make a durable recovery dependent on renewed customer activity.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. (8746) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%JP:8746-78.60%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.84B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
720.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.4
Beta (1Y)
1.40
Revenue Growth
-12.86%
EPS Growth
-77.55%
Country
Japan
Employees
31
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Unbanked, Inc. specializes in the commercial exchange of commodities throughout Japan. The firm's operations also extend to the acquisition and divestment of valuable precious metals. Established in 1972, its corporate headquarters are located in Tok...

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are severely distressed. The income statement (score 18) shows net losses in four of the last six fiscal years, razor-thin gross margins of 5–12%, and an FY2026 estimate of a ¥4.0 billion net loss on ¥9.4 billion of revenue — a sharp reversal from the lone profitable year in FY2025. Cash flow (score 12) is the weakest link: operating cash flow has been negative in five of six periods and free cash flow negative in every period, with FY2026 projected at -¥4.0 billion, meaning even profitable years failed to convert into cash. The balance sheet (score 32) is the relative bright spot given FY2025's zero debt, but equity is projected to collapse from ¥5.5 billion to ¥2.9 billion while total assets balloon to ¥26.9 billion, signalling material capital erosion and balance-sheet stress. Chronic cash burn and an inability to sustain profitability raise capital-preservation and going-concern concerns.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

32Negative

Cash Flow

12Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.08B9.39B9.49B5.31B4.64B5.15B
Gross Profit1.25B1.18B495.11M448.62M440.34M525.96M
EBITDA-2.70B-3.73B314.72M-62.05M-303.15M-1.70B
Net Income-2.90B-4.00B236.75M390.93M-369.81M-1.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.36B26.88B7.39B5.83B9.44B10.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.30B6.40B3.28B2.39B2.74B2.34B
Total Debt330.00M330.00M0259.80M5.21B5.59B
Total Liabilities21.93B23.58B1.64B256.65M4.79B5.06B
Stockholders Equity4.22B2.86B5.53B5.57B4.65B4.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-4.04B-106.35M-1.01B11.67M-516.30M
Operating Cash Flow0-4.04B-72.39M-1.01B38.65M-511.77M
Investing Cash Flow0-246.00M960.86M489.85M362.40M-403.58M
Financing Cash Flow0375.00M-2.79M80.00M-25.00K1.37B

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price101.00

Price Trends

50DMA108.00Negative
100DMA124.92Negative
200DMA227.25Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.19Positive
RSI47.27Neutral
STOCH18.97Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8746, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 101.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 104.30, below the 50-day MA of 108.00, and below the 200-day MA of 227.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.97 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8746.

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:8746 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8700JP:870077OutperformJPY 8.00B8.20―4.99%30.22%97.84%
JP:7175JP:717575OutperformJPY 8.76B5.86―5.46%45.64%113.95%
JP:8747JP:874774OutperformJPY 10.84B2.63―10.63%75.29%141.61%
JP:8617JP:861772OutperformJPY 5.56B12.85―1.70%94.46%―
JP:8708JP:870869NeutralJPY 46.57B12.69―3.14%9.78%35.19%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:8746JP:874629UnderperformJPY 1.84B-0.44――-12.86%-77.55%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:8746JP:7175JP:8617JP:8700JP:8708JP:8747Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:8746 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8746Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd.101.00-371.00-78.60%
JP:7175Imamura Securities Co.Ltd.1647.00574.0553.50%
JP:8617Kosei Securities Co., Ltd.588.00120.0025.64%
JP:8700Maruhachi Securities Co., Ltd.2005.00466.9430.36%
JP:8708AIZAWA SECURITIES GROUP CO. LTD.1499.00286.5023.63%
JP:8747Yutaka Trusty Securities Co., Ltd.1976.00288.6517.11%

Daiichi Commodities Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Unbanked Inc. Swings to Quarterly Loss but Strengthens Capital Base

Aug 14, 2026

Unbanked Inc. reported a decline in net sales to ¥2,311 million for the quarter ended June 2026, down 11.8% year on year, reversing last year’s growth. The company swung to an operating loss of ¥310 million and an ordinary loss of &#1...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026