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Jafco Co (8595) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8595

Jafco Co

(TSE/TYO:8595)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,306.00▲(6.07% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is driven mainly by solid financial resilience (strong capitalization and healthy recent margins) but is tempered by meaningful revenue and cash flow volatility. Technicals are a clear drag with the stock below key moving averages and negative momentum. Valuation is a partial offset thanks to the high dividend yield, despite a mid-range P/E.

Positive Factors
Conservative capitalizationDebt-to-equity of about 0.11 and equity large relative to assets indicate conservative capitalization. Limited leverage reduces financial risk and preserves flexibility for investment activity, distributions, or supporting portfolio companies through difficult market conditions.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatilityRevenue fell about 32% in 2026 after stronger 2024–2025 performance, while reported revenue growth is approximately -38%. Such pronounced swings make the earnings base less predictable and complicate forward planning for an investment firm.

Jafco Co (8595) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:8595-6.13%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 114.57B
Dividend Yield
6.12%
Average Volume (3M)
356.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.6
Beta (1Y)
0.38
Revenue Growth
-38.26%
EPS Growth
-6.57%
Country
Japan
Employees
163
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

Jafco Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. formerly known as JAFCO Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. Within direct investments, it invests in incubation, seed, startup, early stage, middle stage, l...

Jafco Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are supported by a strong balance sheet (low leverage; debt-to-equity ~0.11) and healthy recent profitability (~49% gross margin, ~30% net margin). The score is held back by sharp revenue volatility (2026 revenue down ~32% YoY) and a mixed, inconsistent cash flow history with several prior years showing materially negative operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

83Very Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.69B21.69B29.68B24.44B14.07B27.68B
Gross Profit10.63B10.57B17.68B12.99B1.07B20.91B
EBITDA5.95B8.28B13.35B8.36B61.58B18.75B
Net Income6.58B6.58B9.58B7.49B40.57B15.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets157.86B157.86B169.97B165.54B159.85B233.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.18B61.18B163.87B67.61B69.48B52.60B
Total Debt15.15B15.15B15.18B15.12B149.00M183.00M
Total Liabilities23.74B23.74B28.84B27.90B29.10B35.63B
Stockholders Equity134.11B134.11B141.13B137.64B130.75B197.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.04B2.04B10.42B-9.88B-7.28B-13.03B
Operating Cash Flow2.04B2.04B10.44B-9.57B-7.25B-12.96B
Investing Cash Flow7.40B7.40B134.00M-100.00M69.64B748.00M
Financing Cash Flow-11.61B-11.61B-5.45B6.84B-46.23B-43.47B

Jafco Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2174.00

Price Trends

50DMA2207.10Negative
100DMA2218.22Negative
200DMA2223.98Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-15.03Positive
RSI46.95Neutral
STOCH29.08Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8595, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2174.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2190.23, below the 50-day MA of 2207.10, and below the 200-day MA of 2223.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8595.

Jafco Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:8595 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8739JP:873979OutperformJPY 75.09B11.3521.29%5.95%30.22%45.03%
JP:4310JP:431070OutperformJPY 20.60B12.31―8.58%23.98%42.54%
JP:8473JP:847369NeutralJPY 1.89T3.8626.83%3.64%19.70%65.85%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:8595JP:859564NeutralJPY 114.57B18.594.55%6.12%-38.26%-6.57%
JP:8518JP:851839UnderperformJPY 3.60B32.311.10%―8.00%-55.19%
JP:2134JP:213437UnderperformJPY 8.50B-5.68――263.03%23.09%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:8595JP:8473JP:8739JP:8518JP:2134JP:4310Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8595 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8595Jafco Co 2174.00-183.93-7.80%
JP:8473SBI Holdings 2885.00-565.32-16.38%
JP:8739Sparx Group Co., Ltd.2435.001031.3373.47%
JP:8518Japan Asia Investment Company, Limited126.00-108.00-46.15%
JP:2134Sun Capital Management Corp.15.00-28.00-65.12%
JP:4310Dream Incubator Inc.2179.00-94.84-4.17%

Jafco Co Corporate Events

JAFCO Lowers Conversion Price on 2028 Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds After Interim Dividend

Oct 28, 2026

JAFCO Co., Ltd. has adjusted the conversion price of its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds due 2028 from ¥1,860.1 to ¥1,806.0, effective October 1, 2026. The change reflects an automatic adjustment mechanism triggered by the board’s approval of an interi...

JAFCO Confirms Stable Interim Dividend Under Enhanced Shareholder Return Policy

Oct 28, 2026

JAFCO Co., Ltd. has approved interim dividends of ¥66.5 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, with a record date of September 30, 2026 and a total payout of ¥3,501 million from retained earnings. The interim dividend matches the prior...

JAFCO Posts Solid Interim Results and Reaffirms High Payout Dividend Policy

Oct 28, 2026

JAFCO reported non-consolidated financial results for the six months to September 30, 2026, posting net sales of ¥5,968 million and profit of ¥1,488 million, with earnings per share of ¥28.27 as it continues to report on a standalone basis following...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026