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SBI Holdings Inc (JP:8473)
:8473
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SBI Holdings (8473) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8473

SBI Holdings

(8473)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,999.00
▼(-2.94% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong TTM growth, profitability, and cash generation) and very favorable valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield). These positives are tempered by balance-sheet leverage and historical earnings/cash-flow volatility, while technical indicators are only moderately supportive rather than strongly bullish.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
TTM revenue acceleration and meaningfully improved profitability indicate stronger operating performance across multiple segments. Sustained demand in retail/institutional trading and recurring fee income from asset management support a multi-quarter expansion in top-line and operating margins.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Debt materially larger than equity leaves limited financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risks. Elevated leverage magnifies earnings shocks, can constrain capital allocation, and reduces the firm's ability to pursue opportunistic investments during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
TTM revenue acceleration and meaningfully improved profitability indicate stronger operating performance across multiple segments. Sustained demand in retail/institutional trading and recurring fee income from asset management support a multi-quarter expansion in top-line and operating margins.
Read all positive factors

SBI Holdings (8473) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SBI Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SBI Holdings, Inc. is a Japanese conglomerate primarily engaged in online financial services and strategic investments, both domestically and internationally. Its operations are structured around three key pillars: Financial Services, Asset Manage...
How the Company Makes Money
SBI Holdings makes money through a mix of financial services income and investment-related gains across its main business segments. (1) Securities/Investment services: revenue is generated from brokerage commissions and transaction-related fees wh...

SBI Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call portrayed a strong overall performance with record-breaking revenue and significant growth in key segments such as Financial Services and Crypto-Assets. Despite challenges in the Next Gen and Insurance businesses, the company's strategic initiatives and expansion plans, both domestically and internationally, indicate a positive outlook.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Revenue for FY 2024 was ¥1,443,733 million, up 19.3% year-on-year. Pre-tax income increased by 99.4% to ¥282,290 million, and net income rose by 66.5% to ¥189,158 million. ROE exceeded the target of 10%, reaching 12.8%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Next Gen Business
While the Next Gen business hit record high revenue, the pre-tax income remains in the red, with Web3 business still running at a loss.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Revenue for FY 2024 was ¥1,443,733 million, up 19.3% year-on-year. Pre-tax income increased by 99.4% to ¥282,290 million, and net income rose by 66.5% to ¥189,158 million. ROE exceeded the target of 10%, reaching 12.8%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the fiscal year 2024, the company reported consolidated revenue of ¥1,443,733 million, marking a 19.3% increase year-on-year. Pre-tax income reached ¥282,290 million, up 99.4%, and net income was ¥189,158 million, a 66.5% increase. The return on equity (ROE) surpassed the target of 10%, reaching 12.8%, an increase of 5.8 percentage points. The Financial Services Business segment generated revenue of ¥1.2 trillion, with profits rising by over 30% to ¥225,369 million. The Asset Management division saw income grow by 12.5% to ¥5 billion. The Crypto-Asset business hit record highs, with revenue at ¥80,797 million and pre-tax income up 151.8% at ¥21,220 million. The dividend increased by ¥10 year-on-year to ¥140, with a payout ratio of 31.7%. The company aims to expand its customer base to 100 million by its 30th anniversary and increase consolidated profit before income tax to ¥500 billion. The strategy involves leveraging digital technology and expanding alliances to achieve growth targets.

SBI Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials improved materially in TTM with sharp revenue expansion, meaningfully better profitability, and strong cash conversion (operating cash flow and free cash flow exceeding net income). Offsetting this are elevated leverage (debt larger than equity) and historical volatility in earnings and cash flows, which reduces confidence in durability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90T1.35T1.19T911.97B650.48B
Gross Profit1.12T968.76B829.91B632.92B373.96B
EBITDA584.32B581.39B404.96B278.63B487.00B
Net Income427.58B162.12B87.24B35.45B366.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.29T32.11T27.14T22.31T17.84T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.34T6.26T4.58T3.78T4.86T
Total Debt7.01T7.73T6.01T5.17T3.42T
Total Liabilities35.88T30.35T25.23T20.56T16.25T
Stockholders Equity1.79T1.26T1.26T1.01T924.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.67T1.42T1.01T-149.40B
Operating Cash Flow1.86T1.67T1.42T1.01T-149.40B
Investing Cash Flow-996.28B-1.14T-159.81B-1.08T1.84T
Financing Cash Flow303.42B526.80B123.86B819.54B166.62B

SBI Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3090.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2909.86
Negative
100DMA
2989.90
Negative
200DMA
3143.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-60.38
Negative
RSI
42.99
Neutral
STOCH
53.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8473, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3090 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2774.95, above the 50-day MA of 2909.86, and below the 200-day MA of 3143.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -60.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8473.

SBI Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥70.08B13.9417.21%4.27%13.39%22.07%
72
Outperform
¥1.80T4.1120.02%2.63%23.87%148.64%
70
Outperform
¥46.17B10.676.18%4.42%30.88%192.90%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
¥123.78B19.035.11%5.07%-26.93%-29.49%
67
Neutral
¥191.24B11.797.40%5.60%16.00%49.21%
44
Neutral
¥20.25B-17.131.85%-17.48%-207.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8473
SBI Holdings
2,702.00
121.08
4.69%
JP:8624
Ichiyoshi Securities Co
1,449.00
720.59
98.93%
JP:8595
Jafco Co
2,354.50
56.57
2.46%
JP:8739
Sparx Group Co
2,232.00
860.75
62.77%
JP:8616
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings
768.00
297.20
63.13%
JP:3772
Wealth Management Inc
1,052.00
69.68
7.09%

SBI Holdings Corporate Events

SBI Holdings Corrects Per-Share Data in 2026 Annual Results
Jul 2, 2026
SBI Holdings has issued a correction to its annual results announcement for the year ended March 31, 2026, revising certain per-share figures in the summary information. The error stemmed from using pre-split share data despite a two-for-one stock...
SBI Holdings to Make Crypto Exchange Bitbank a Wholly Owned Subsidiary
Jun 25, 2026
SBI Holdings has agreed to acquire all shares of crypto asset exchange operator Bitbank via its wholly owned subsidiary SBICAH, executing a cash share transfer from founder Noriyuki Hirosue and other shareholders, followed by a capital increase an...
SBI Holdings to Acquire 8.3% Voting Stake in W TOKYO
May 29, 2026
SBI Holdings said it plans to acquire 216,200 common shares of W TOKYO Inc. on May 29, 2026, giving it 8.30% of the company’s voting rights based on the latest disclosed total. The move is structured as an accumulation of shares deemed equiv...
SBI Holdings to Acquire Majority Stake in Star Music Entertainment
May 21, 2026
SBI Holdings has signed a share transfer agreement with Ridge-i Inc. to acquire 710,000 shares of Star Music Entertainment Inc. for JPY 921 million, giving it 66.98% of voting rights and converting the firm into a consolidated subsidiary, subject ...
SBI Holdings Lowers Conversion Price on 2031 Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds After Extraordinary Dividend
May 1, 2026
SBI Holdings, Inc. has adjusted the conversion price on its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds due 2031, lowering it from ¥2,335.7 to ¥2,284.0 per share on a post–stock split basis. The revised conversion price applies retroactively fro...
SBI Holdings Posts Surge in Profit and Strengthens Balance Sheet for FY2026
May 1, 2026
SBI Holdings reported strong consolidated results for the year ended March 31, 2026, with revenue rising 31.4% to ¥1.90 trillion and profit attributable to owners of the company surging 163.7% to ¥427.58 billion. Earnings growth was supp...
SBI Holdings Books ¥67.4 Billion Gain from Kyobo Life Acquisition
Apr 27, 2026
SBI Holdings has completed the acquisition of shares in South Korea’s Kyobo Life Insurance, making the Seoul-based insurer an equity-method affiliate. The deal advances SBI’s strategy of deepening its footprint in Asian insurance marke...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026