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Toho Bank, Ltd. (8346) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
JP:8346

Toho Bank, Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8346)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:JPY 982.00▲(4.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/26/26

The score is mainly supported by strong technical momentum and an improving earnings profile with sharp revenue and net income growth in 2026. Offsetting factors are inconsistent cash-flow history and only moderate balance-sheet/return metrics, while valuation looks average with a modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue AccelerationRevenue accelerated sharply in 2026, with annual revenue up about 24% after only modest growth in 2024–2025. This indicates improved business momentum that can support stronger earnings capacity and provide a broader base for future lending and fee generation.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash ConversionDespite the strong cash generation reported in 2025–2026, the wider history is highly volatile, including a major outflow and a near-zero year. Such swings make cash conversion less predictable and can complicate capital planning and financial risk management.

Toho Bank, Ltd. (8346) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%JP:8346+103.22%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 232.40B
Dividend Yield
2.45%
Average Volume (3M)
1.03M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.3
Beta (1Y)
1.36
Revenue Growth
63.98%
EPS Growth
60.28%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,037
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Banks - Regional

Toho Bank, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Toho Bank, Ltd. functions as a financial institution providing a broad spectrum of banking solutions throughout Japan. Its product portfolio encompasses individual and institutional deposit accounts, negotiable certificates of deposit, credit car...

How the Company Makes Money

Toho Bank’s earnings are primarily driven by banking intermediation and fee-based financial services. 1) Net interest income (core profit engine): The bank collects funds mainly through customer deposits and other funding sources, then extends these...

Toho Bank, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong earnings recovery and accelerating revenue growth into 2026 support the score, but it is held back by low-to-moderate ROE, prior periods of higher leverage, and notably volatile operating/free cash flow history despite the very strong 2025–2026 cash generation.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.20B91.52B68.53B57.39B56.07B58.14B
Gross Profit40.84B74.09B62.44B55.38B53.53B55.67B
EBITDA19.59B21.54B15.06B10.95B9.52B12.01B
Net Income14.14B12.35B7.45B5.25B4.49B6.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.87T6.74T6.65T6.76T6.61T7.14T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments999.63B952.16B1.24T1.80T1.99T2.80T
Total Debt243.38B243.53B222.05B198.94B182.47B690.05B
Total Liabilities6.65T6.52T6.46T6.55T6.42T6.94T
Stockholders Equity225.81B217.75B197.23B206.18B191.01B192.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow069.17B24.24B1.75B-768.00B0
Operating Cash Flow071.69B27.62B6.71B-759.85B0
Investing Cash Flow0-386.45B-350.27B-302.83B-49.66B-44.37B
Financing Cash Flow024.88B-143.11B-1.73B-1.90B81.65B

Toho Bank, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price940.00

Price Trends

50DMA1002.51Negative
100DMA928.59Positive
200DMA802.36Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-33.89Positive
RSI47.04Neutral
STOCH54.69Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8346, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 940.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 954.00, below the 50-day MA of 1002.51, and above the 200-day MA of 802.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -33.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8346.

Toho Bank, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8346 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7184JP:718483OutperformJPY 189.14B11.04―3.03%15.97%68.21%
JP:8360JP:836074OutperformJPY 202.42B16.91―7.46%30.03%47.48%
JP:8393JP:839368NeutralJPY 205.45B14.06―2.24%9.60%33.99%
JP:8346JP:834666NeutralJPY 229.12B16.29―2.45%63.98%60.28%
JP:8392JP:839266NeutralJPY 208.02B15.465.27%1.52%24.51%62.67%
JP:7322JP:732259NeutralJPY 185.95B16.08―2.26%23.09%35.52%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%JP:8346JP:8392JP:7184JP:7322JP:8360JP:8393Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8346 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8346Toho Bank, Ltd.940.00483.30105.82%
JP:8392Oita Bank 2757.001702.17161.37%
JP:7184First Bank of Toyama Ltd.3200.001664.36108.38%
JP:7322San ju San Financial Group, Inc.1859.00933.73100.91%
JP:8360Yamanashi Chuo Bank, Ltd.1286.00611.5690.68%
JP:8393Miyazaki Bank Ltd.2541.001528.29150.91%

Toho Bank, Ltd. Corporate Events

Toho Bank Reports Strong First-Half Earnings Growth

Nov 6, 2026

Toho Bank reported consolidated ordinary income of ¥83.943 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 88.3% year on year, while ordinary profit rose 37.2% to ¥12.530 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent increased 36.8%...

Toho Bank Hikes Dividend Forecast on Stronger Earnings Outlook

Sep 25, 2026

The Toho Bank, Ltd. has revised upward its interim and fiscal year-end dividend forecasts for the year ending March 31, 2027, lifting each payment from ¥10.50 to ¥13.00 per share. This change raises the total annual dividend to ¥26.00 per share, comp...

Toho Bank Boosts Earnings Forecasts on Strong Loan and Securities Income

Sep 25, 2026

Toho Bank has sharply revised upward its consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, reflecting stronger-than-expected performance in its core banking operations. The bank now expects ordinary income of ¥147.2 billion a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026