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Saikaya Co., Ltd.
(8254)
Select Model
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
¥278.00
▼(-25.47% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/11/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—especially very high leverage, ongoing revenue decline, and negative free cash flow—despite some improvement in profit margins. Technical indicators are largely neutral with a negative MACD and price below longer moving averages, while valuation is only moderately supportive given the P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved Operating Margins
Improving EBIT and net profit margins show that Saikaya has achieved greater operating efficiency despite a difficult sales environment. If maintained, this margin progress can strengthen earnings resilience, improve the economics of each retail sale, and provide a more durable base for future performance.
Negative Factors
Persistent Revenue Decline
Material revenue contraction over several years signals a weakening top line and raises concern about the department-store model’s ability to retain customer demand. Persistent sales decline can reduce operating leverage, make fixed retail costs harder to absorb, and limit long-term earnings growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Operating Margins
Improving EBIT and net profit margins show that Saikaya has achieved greater operating efficiency despite a difficult sales environment. If maintained, this margin progress can strengthen earnings resilience, improve the economics of each retail sale, and provide a more durable base for future performance.
Read all positive factors
Saikaya Co., Ltd. (8254) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥2.39B
Dividend Yield1.7%
Average Volume (3M)205.74K
Price to Earnings (P/E)24.4
Beta (1Y)0.26
Revenue Growth0.97%
EPS Growth-51.81%
CountryJP
Employees137
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryDepartment Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)12.04
Shares Outstanding8,386,350
10 Day Avg. Volume183,620
30 Day Avg. Volume205,739
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.42
Price to Book (P/B)3.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.52
P/FCF Ratio-26.96
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Saikaya Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates department stores in Japan. It is involved in the wholesale of watches, jewelry, and precious metal products. The company also engages in trading business and apartment rentals and real estate related int...
How the Company Makes Money
Saikaya primarily makes money through retail sales to consumers at its department store operations, recognizing revenue when merchandise is sold in-store. Key revenue streams generally include (1) direct merchandise sales (e.g., apparel, living/ho...
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Aug 2025 | Aug 2024 | Aug 2023 | Feb 2022 | Feb 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.64B | 4.63B | 4.95B | 5.20B | 13.81B | 15.00B |
| Gross Profit | 2.23B | 2.30B | 2.29B | 3.12B | 2.82B | 3.01B |
| EBITDA | 474.99M | 537.30M | 445.66M | 378.40M | 45.24M | -333.81M |
| Net Income | 71.91M | 110.25M | 72.70M | 9.74M | -509.68M | -846.53M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.75B | 12.00B | 11.81B | 12.24B | 12.15B | 11.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.45B | 1.43B | 1.65B | 1.78B | 1.56B | 861.79M |
| Total Debt | 8.65B | 8.65B | 8.66B | 8.66B | 8.67B | 6.72B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.35B | 11.20B | 11.19B | 11.66B | 11.57B | 10.81B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.40B | 791.99M | 617.19M | 576.34M | 581.64M | 405.64M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -89.29M | -89.29M | -48.88M | 295.89M | -1.08B | -481.11M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 410.25M | 410.25M | 259.71M | 367.11M | -872.27M | -452.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -620.35M | -620.35M | -390.97M | -135.26M | -952.85M | -99.98M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.31M | -5.31M | -3.88M | -3.87M | 2.45B | 732.30M |
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
373.00
Price Trends
293.99
Negative
268.08
Positive
314.36
Negative
Market Momentum
-8.17
Negative
49.45
Neutral
54.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8254, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 373 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 285.05, above the 50-day MA of 293.99, and above the 200-day MA of 314.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8254.
Saikaya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥212.66B | 11.97 | ― | 3.05% | 3.84% | 46.02% | |
62 Neutral | ¥189.71B | 9.01 | ― | 2.28% | 8.92% | 33.42% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
57 Neutral | ¥32.36B | -2,751.72 | ― | 3.26% | 0.33% | 99.42% | |
54 Neutral | ¥178.31B | 25.27 | ― | 1.45% | -0.40% | 45.73% | |
49 Neutral | ¥174.16B | -32.87 | ― | 1.90% | 15.30% | -594.22% | |
45 Neutral | ¥2.39B | 24.42 | ― | 1.70% | 0.97% | -51.81% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:8254
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.