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MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. (8153) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8153

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.

(TSE/TYO:8153)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 4,862.00▲(9.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is supported primarily by solid financial performance, led by a conservatively leveraged balance sheet and a meaningful profitability and cash-flow recovery after 2023. Offsetting this, technical signals are mixed with only modest momentum, and valuation is a headwind given the high P/E and low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetVery low leverage gives MOS Food Services substantial financial flexibility across the restaurant cycle. A stronger equity base and limited debt burden can support store investment, franchising support, and resilience without excessive interest or refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Modest profitabilityDespite the earnings rebound, modest net and operating margins leave less room to absorb cost pressure or weaker restaurant productivity. Lower profitability also limits the amount of revenue growth that converts into durable earnings and internally funded expansion.

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. (8153) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:8153+10.33%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 136.25B
Dividend Yield
0.81%
Average Volume (3M)
164.02K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
34.9
Beta (1Y)
0.07
Revenue Growth
6.32%
EPS Growth
10.13%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,323
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Restaurants

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mos Food Services, Inc. is a hospitality company that manages its popular MOS BURGER hamburger franchise alongside a diverse portfolio of other food service establishments, catering to customers both within Japan and across global markets. Among its...

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet (very low leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.08 in 2026) and a clear earnings recovery after a 2023 loss. Revenue growth has been steady with improving profitability into 2026, but margins remain modest and both earnings/free cash flow have shown some volatility (including negative FCF in 2023).

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.62B102.77B96.19B93.06B85.06B78.45B
Gross Profit47.42B47.76B42.52B40.55B35.44B34.96B
EBITDA9.83B10.62B9.52B8.96B4.24B7.53B
Net Income3.91B4.59B3.15B2.57B-318.00M3.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.90B87.34B80.58B79.71B75.11B69.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.45B28.39B26.02B23.57B19.58B20.69B
Total Debt5.90B4.74B4.71B6.45B6.87B3.99B
Total Liabilities26.95B27.72B26.25B27.62B27.01B21.03B
Stockholders Equity58.39B59.08B54.05B51.83B47.86B48.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow05.90B5.08B6.40B-1.84B8.48B
Operating Cash Flow09.22B7.35B10.16B1.42B10.45B
Investing Cash Flow0-2.93B-1.64B-2.13B-2.97B-798.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-3.81B-3.73B-3.94B611.00M-3.83B

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4440.00

Price Trends

50DMA4018.20Positive
100DMA3878.06Positive
200DMA3962.32Positive

Market Momentum

MACD138.64Negative
RSI62.99Neutral
STOCH84.85Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8153, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4440.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4215.50, above the 50-day MA of 4018.20, and above the 200-day MA of 3962.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 138.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.85 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8153.

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8153 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2702JP:270274OutperformJPY 1.23T33.0012.86%0.60%>-0.01%7.55%
JP:3197JP:319774OutperformJPY 849.95B43.6510.08%0.65%11.29%22.50%
JP:7550JP:755070OutperformJPY 2.03T38.7216.56%0.63%11.88%45.16%
JP:9861JP:986169NeutralJPY 304.58B51.53―0.49%9.53%37.85%
JP:8153JP:815369NeutralJPY 138.14B34.91―0.81%6.32%10.13%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3397JP:339749NeutralJPY 437.39B490.31―0.22%3.28%-79.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%JP:8153JP:2702JP:3197JP:7550JP:3397JP:9861Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:8153 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8153MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.4440.00460.2811.57%
JP:2702Mcdonalds Holdings Company Japan 9361.003224.0852.54%
JP:3197Skylark Holdings Co 3673.00562.7118.09%
JP:7550Zensho Holdings Co 12705.003593.0539.43%
JP:3397TORIDOLL Holdings Corporation4923.00435.349.70%
JP:9861Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.4691.001704.2257.06%

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. Corporate Events

MOS Food Services Completes Targeted Share Buyback Program

Aug 31, 2026

MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC. has completed a share buyback program authorized by its board on May 15, 2026, repurchasing 120,000 common shares through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The repurchase, conducted between August 10 and August 28,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026