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Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) AI Stock Analysis

JP:8052

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:8052)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:JPY 3,424.00â–²(15.40% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The stock scores 72, indicating a moderately positive outlook. The most significant strength is the attractive valuation with low P/E and solid dividend yield. Financial performance is mixed, with solid income and a robust balance sheet offset by recent cash flow weakness. Technicals are mildly positive, with price above long-term moving averages but short-term momentum is weak. The absence of debt provides stability. Investors should monitor cash flow trends.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe company has demonstrated a multi-year upward revenue trend followed by a sharp 2026 acceleration. Sustained demand growth can expand its installed customer base and increase opportunities for equipment sales, engineering work, replacement parts, and ongoing support.
Negative Factors
Volatile Cash ConversionThe recent reversal into negative operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings are not consistently converting into cash. If this volatility persists, working-capital requirements could constrain internally funded investment and make cash generation less durable.

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. (8052) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:8052+18.88%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 54.50B
Dividend Yield
2.70%
Average Volume (3M)
61.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.1
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
-0.27%
EPS Growth
-7.26%
Country
Japan
Employees
808
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Osaka, Japan, in 1916, Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. is a prominent distributor of industrial machinery, equipment, and components across the Japanese market. The company, initially known as Tsubakimoto Shoten Co., Ltd., adopted its pres...

How the Company Makes Money

Tsubakimoto Kogyo generates revenue primarily by acting as an intermediary between equipment/component manufacturers and end users, earning gross profit on product sales (the spread between procurement cost and selling price) and charging fees/margin...

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement shows steady revenue growth (5-year CAGR 7.9%) and improving profitability, though recent slowdown. Balance sheet is exceptionally strong with no debt and healthy equity. However, cash flow turned negative in the latest year, raising concerns. Overall mixed but financially healthy.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue129.95B131.03B124.32B113.50B107.96B96.89B
Gross Profit19.81B19.85B18.80B17.50B16.35B14.95B
EBITDA6.97B7.80B7.21B6.01B5.61B4.93B
Net Income4.90B5.02B4.69B4.00B3.67B3.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.90B100.06B100.67B94.76B84.47B76.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.29B24.10B28.95B26.86B22.93B17.60B
Total Debt223.00M65.00M80.00M32.00M20.00M40.00M
Total Liabilities50.42B49.86B56.65B54.38B50.43B46.01B
Stockholders Equity51.21B49.92B43.74B40.13B33.81B30.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-3.90B3.18B4.51B6.35B6.46B
Operating Cash Flow0-3.55B3.59B5.01B6.72B6.57B
Investing Cash Flow0250.00M461.00M-69.00M-461.00M-152.00M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.63B-2.05B-1.08B-971.00M-808.00M

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2967.00

Price Trends

50DMA2932.74Positive
100DMA2830.30Positive
200DMA2800.09Positive

Market Momentum

MACD7.19Positive
RSI48.24Neutral
STOCH22.58Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8052, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2967.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3018.80, above the 50-day MA of 2932.74, and above the 200-day MA of 2800.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8052.

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:8052 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3176JP:317673OutperformJPY 66.18B12.12―3.49%7.05%7.82%
JP:6454JP:645472OutperformJPY 319.03B20.32―2.16%11.03%18.95%
JP:8052JP:805272OutperformJPY 57.13B11.12―2.70%-0.27%-7.26%
JP:9830JP:983069NeutralJPY 156.42B9.54―2.57%10.37%1.94%
JP:7456JP:745666NeutralJPY 143.80B7.22―1.84%48.87%116.60%
JP:7628JP:762864NeutralJPY 26.72B11.65―3.86%5.68%39.50%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%100%JP:8052JP:3176JP:6454JP:7456JP:7628JP:9830Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:8052 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:8052Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.2967.00332.1512.61%
JP:3176Sanyo Trading Co., Ltd.1147.00383.8450.30%
JP:6454Max Co., Ltd.1716.00348.3125.47%
JP:7456Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd.5970.001897.1146.58%
JP:7628Ohashi Technica Inc.1061.0071.347.21%
JP:9830Trusco Nakayama Corporation2372.00-0.22>-0.01%

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Finalizes Reduced Treasury Share Disposal for Employee Stock Incentive

Oct 8, 2026

Tsubakimoto Kogyo has completed payment procedures for the disposal of treasury shares used as a restricted stock incentive for its employee shareholding association, following a board resolution made in May 2026. The transaction involves a third-par...

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Extends Executive Share Remuneration With Treasury Share Disposal

Jul 31, 2026

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., a Japan-based industrial distributor listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, specializes in power transmission products and industrial machinery components for manufacturing and industrial clients. It plays a piv...

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Expands Director Share Remuneration Trust

Jul 31, 2026

Tsubakimoto Kogyo has decided to continue its share-based remuneration plan for internal directors and delegated executive officers, a scheme originally introduced in 2020, and to extend the associated trust until the end of August 2029. The plan use...

Tsubakimoto Kogyo Holds Profit Outlook and Dividend Plan Despite Softer Q1

Jul 31, 2026

Tsubakimoto Kogyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥29.4 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, down 3.5% year on year, with operating profit falling 12.7% to ¥1.33 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent declining...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026