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Matsumoto Inc. (JP:7901)
:7901
Japanese Market
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Matsumoto Inc. (7901) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7901

Matsumoto Inc.

(7901)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,152.00
▲(40.49% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/03/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial quality, especially persistent cash burn, a sharp revenue contraction, and ongoing operating losses despite the 2026 return to net profit. Technicals are a meaningful offset with a strong uptrend, though overbought signals increase near-term risk. Valuation is supportive due to the low P/E, but it is secondary to the cash flow and operating performance concerns.
Positive Factors
Return to Net Profitability
The return to net profitability indicates that the company has restored some earnings capacity after losses in the prior two years. Although operating losses remain a concern, positive bottom-line results could provide a foundation for recovery if revenue and operating performance stabilize over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue Contraction
A roughly 61% annual revenue decline represents a major deterioration in business scale and makes the 2026 earnings recovery difficult to view as durable. Continued top-line weakness would reduce operating leverage, constrain investment capacity, and make future profitability more dependent on cost control.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Return to Net Profitability
The return to net profitability indicates that the company has restored some earnings capacity after losses in the prior two years. Although operating losses remain a concern, positive bottom-line results could provide a foundation for recovery if revenue and operating performance stabilize over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Matsumoto Inc. (7901) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Matsumoto Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Matsumoto Inc. is a Japanese enterprise operating within the printing sector. The company's offerings range from crafting commemorative graduation albums for educational institutions to producing a diverse array of commercial printed goods, includ...

Matsumoto Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak overall: revenue fell sharply in 2026 (~61% YoY) and operating profit remains negative across 2024–2026. While net income returned to profit in 2026 and gross margin improved, cash generation is a major concern with negative operating cash flow in most years and consistently negative free cash flow (2021, 2023–2026). Balance sheet leverage is moderate but rising (debt-to-equity ~0.70 in 2026), adding risk alongside volatile earnings.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
29
Negative
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.12B2.13B2.17B2.21B2.24B2.35B
Gross Profit376.15M351.46M238.70M326.70M445.18M246.38M
EBITDA-67.48M-129.76M-172.96M-103.85M27.13M15.51M
Net Income191.85M155.96M-653.36M-86.61M74.43M-1.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.08B2.37B2.09B2.84B2.83B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.94M676.68M219.84M557.42M982.96M948.10M
Total Debt683.56M696.78M348.32M487.16M400.00M100.00M
Total Liabilities1.16B1.37B1.26B1.38B1.31B1.21B
Stockholders Equity915.51M996.43M825.17M1.46B1.51B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-315.31M-184.46M-198.66M-293.55M132.30M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-281.37M-136.42M-68.85M-73.98M136.62M
Investing Cash Flow0.00450.97M-56.26M-77.26M-184.13M-3.03M
Financing Cash Flow0.00287.23M-144.91M-279.43M292.98M56.27M

Matsumoto Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price820.00
Price Trends
50DMA
836.64
Positive
100DMA
833.58
Positive
200DMA
924.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
25.44
Negative
RSI
82.27
Negative
STOCH
94.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7901, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 820 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 842.00, below the 50-day MA of 836.64, and below the 200-day MA of 924.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 25.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7901.

Matsumoto Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥3.38B6.10―3.69%-7.71%6.41%
69
Neutral
¥7.96B8.95―3.16%-2.61%2.70%
60
Neutral
¥8.71B24.96―3.46%-2.18%-68.23%
59
Neutral
¥3.38B4.25―5.02%1.57%-21.97%
56
Neutral
¥1.10B6.60―3.95%-0.72%―
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
¥4.53B40.05―2.53%0.11%14.91%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7901
Matsumoto Inc.
1,118.00
267.00
31.37%
JP:3892
Okayama Paper Industries Co., Ltd.
1,584.00
54.59
3.57%
JP:3895
Havix Corporation
434.00
19.67
4.75%
JP:3945
Superbag Company, Limited
2,191.00
-506.87
-18.79%
JP:3955
IMURA & Co.,Ltd.
867.00
-73.22
-7.79%
JP:9929
Heiwa Paper Co., Ltd.
475.00
40.17
9.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2026