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Tomy Company, Ltd. (JP:7867)
:7867
Japanese Market
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Tomy Company, Ltd. (7867) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7867

Tomy Company, Ltd.

(7867)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,987.00
▲(34.57% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/17/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial positioning (notably low leverage and solid operating profitability) and a clear technical uptrend. These positives are tempered by volatile bottom-line/FCF performance and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with only a modest dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Multi-year Revenue Recovery
The near-doubling of revenue across the period demonstrates meaningful business recovery and continued scale expansion. Positive growth in 2026 indicates that demand and distribution remain capable of supporting further sales progression over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Net Margin Compression
The decline in net margin shows that stronger revenue has not translated consistently into bottom-line growth. If this pattern persists, higher sales may deliver less incremental earnings and could constrain internal funding for product development, marketing, and expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year Revenue Recovery
The near-doubling of revenue across the period demonstrates meaningful business recovery and continued scale expansion. Positive growth in 2026 indicates that demand and distribution remain capable of supporting further sales progression over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Tomy Company, Ltd. (7867) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tomy Company, Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TOMY Company, Ltd. specializes in the conceptualization, production, and distribution of a diverse array of products, encompassing toys, general merchandise, card games, and essential baby care items. Catering to a wide demographic that spans infa...
How the Company Makes Money
Tomy Company, Ltd. makes money primarily by selling toys and related consumer products through domestic and international distribution channels. Revenue is generated from (1) sales of proprietary toy brands and product lines (e.g., vehicles, plays...

Tomy Company, Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue recovery and improved operating margin (~9.0% in 2026) support the score, and the balance sheet is notably conservative with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.07 in 2026). Offsetting this strength, net margin declined in 2026 versus 2025 and free cash flow has been uneven, indicating profitability and cash conversion volatility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue275.02B270.45B250.24B208.33B187.30B165.45B
Gross Profit112.66B108.91B101.35B84.96B72.35B66.61B
EBITDA29.49B28.86B32.49B23.52B20.32B21.46B
Net Income12.35B11.68B16.35B9.81B8.31B9.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets160.45B163.36B165.77B166.25B159.52B156.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.63B51.09B56.16B64.28B66.45B65.42B
Total Debt5.80B7.51B10.80B16.90B35.99B39.67B
Total Liabilities51.47B52.19B59.37B66.25B72.35B76.91B
Stockholders Equity108.97B111.17B106.40B100.00B87.17B79.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0014.48B11.17B27.61B14.70B13.47B
Operating Cash Flow0.0020.05B17.00B29.18B16.22B16.41B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-8.05B-8.10B-5.32B-2.13B-2.49B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-18.25B-16.77B-27.15B-13.69B-12.99B

Tomy Company, Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3706.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3976.58
Positive
100DMA
3612.01
Positive
200DMA
3172.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
206.47
Negative
RSI
76.65
Negative
STOCH
74.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7867, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3706 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4392.45, below the 50-day MA of 3976.58, and above the 200-day MA of 3172.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 206.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7867.

Tomy Company, Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥4.00T25.5217.83%1.21%9.12%16.20%
74
Outperform
¥5.30T39.0812.52%0.50%3.86%6.84%
71
Outperform
¥416.79B32.63―1.44%7.38%-27.18%
71
Outperform
¥40.27B17.11―2.72%5.23%37.68%
67
Neutral
¥11.10B21.49―3.40%1.66%-54.75%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
45
Neutral
¥53.79B17.40―0.92%10.11%―
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7867
Tomy Company, Ltd.
4,649.00
1,651.18
55.08%
JP:7832
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
6,223.00
1,562.99
33.54%
JP:4661
Oriental Land Co
3,232.00
-209.28
-6.08%
JP:4343
AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.
2,719.00
3.46
0.13%
JP:6238
FURYU CORP.
1,472.00
457.67
45.12%
JP:7809
KOTOBUKIYA CO., LTD.
1,325.00
-311.42
-19.03%

Tomy Company, Ltd. Corporate Events

TOMY Restructures Organization to Drive Global Growth and Strengthen Governance
Sep 15, 2026
TOMY Company, Ltd. will overhaul its organizational structure from October 1, 2026 to accelerate global growth and execution of its medium- to long-term management strategy. The company is creating a Growth Transformation Group to integrate produ...
Tomy Company Lifts Q1 Profits and Confirms Higher Dividend for FY2027
Aug 4, 2026
Tomy Company, Ltd., a leading Japanese toy and entertainment products maker listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, reported solid financial performance for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027. The company continues...
Tomy Completes ¥8.36 Billion Share Buyback Program
Aug 3, 2026
Tomy Company, Ltd. has completed a share buyback program authorized by its board in February 2026, acquiring a total of 3,000,000 common shares through market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The latest tranche, executed between July 1 and J...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026