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Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. (7821) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7821

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7821)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,240.00â–²(5.11% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/21/26

The score is led by strong financial performance—especially rapid revenue growth, durable margins, and a significantly strengthened low-leverage balance sheet. This is partially offset by weaker 2026 cash conversion and only neutral technical momentum, while valuation (P/E ~13.95 with a ~1.51% yield) is supportive.

Positive Factors
Rapid revenue growth and durable profitabilityStrong revenue expansion alongside healthy gross, operating, and net margins indicates effective scaling of the business. Maintaining profitability while growing rapidly supports reinvestment, strengthens competitive positioning, and provides a durable earnings base over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Weaker recent cash conversionAlthough cash generation remained positive, the sharp decline in free cash flow and sub-1.0x operating cash flow coverage show that accounting earnings converted less efficiently into cash. Persistent reinvestment or working-capital needs could constrain internally funded growth and capital returns.

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. (7821) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:7821+11.66%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 140.97B
Dividend Yield
1.42%
Average Volume (3M)
139.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.8
Beta (1Y)
0.48
Revenue Growth
11.36%
EPS Growth
1.96%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,425
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Construction Materials

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd., founded in 1918 and headquartered in Sakai, Japan, is a multifaceted enterprise engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of a broad spectrum of materials. The company's core business encompasses civil engineering, construc...

How the Company Makes Money

The company makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling its products to corporate and public-sector customers involved in construction and civil engineering projects. Revenue is generated from product sales (typically recognized upon delivery/...

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals driven by rapid revenue growth (~83% in 2026 vs. 2025), durable profitability (gross margin ~37%, EBIT margin ~19%, net margin ~13%), and a very conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.05 after major deleveraging). The main offset is weaker cash conversion in 2026, with free cash flow down ~47% YoY and operating cash flow covering ~0.82x of net income.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

69Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.39B71.39B64.11B55.83B50.20B36.90B
Gross Profit26.27B26.54B23.54B20.50B17.85B11.86B
EBITDA15.46B17.34B15.52B14.11B11.68B7.03B
Net Income9.57B9.57B9.49B7.98B5.26B3.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets94.86B94.86B86.96B80.24B74.82B68.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.18B26.18B22.27B21.22B14.58B12.81B
Total Debt3.51B3.51B3.87B4.90B20.59B19.14B
Total Liabilities18.67B18.68B18.51B17.71B31.39B27.11B
Stockholders Equity76.18B76.18B68.45B62.52B43.43B41.64B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.17B5.92B11.24B9.21B3.89B-2.02B
Operating Cash Flow13.41B10.95B13.41B12.02B8.13B1.68B
Investing Cash Flow-7.83B-3.68B-7.83B-423.00M-4.38B-3.28B
Financing Cash Flow-4.71B-4.19B-4.71B-5.20B-2.31B1.10B

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2131.00

Price Trends

50DMA1996.32Positive
100DMA1923.37Positive
200DMA1923.29Positive

Market Momentum

MACD30.05Negative
RSI74.28Negative
STOCH88.26Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7821, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2131.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2009.65, above the 50-day MA of 1996.32, and above the 200-day MA of 1923.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 30.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7821.

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:7821 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4046JP:404678OutperformJPY 249.32B13.65―1.62%8.10%67.59%
JP:4956JP:495677OutperformJPY 99.98B9.68―2.48%6.76%29.50%
JP:4045JP:404576OutperformJPY 193.29B14.146.32%3.77%2.33%50.31%
JP:7821JP:782175OutperformJPY 142.34B14.82―1.42%11.36%1.96%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
JP:4044JP:404461NeutralJPY 109.90B9.62―3.83%4.27%226.52%
JP:3101JP:310159NeutralJPY 137.08B10.736.12%2.59%2.21%353.58%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:7821JP:4045JP:3101JP:4044JP:4046JP:4956Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7821 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7821Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd.2114.00214.8211.31%
JP:4045Toagosei Co 1815.50344.9723.46%
JP:3101Toyobo Co 1542.00429.9338.66%
JP:4044Central Glass Co., Ltd.4435.001339.6343.28%
JP:4046OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.1914.00292.7118.05%
JP:4956Konishi Co., Ltd.1530.00326.3127.11%

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Maeda Kosen Raises Annual Dividend to 30 Yen Per Share for FY2026

Sep 10, 2026

Maeda Kosen’s board has approved a dividend from retained earnings, setting a year-end dividend of 16 yen per share for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026. Combined with the interim dividend of 14 yen, the annual dividend for the period will t...

Maedakosen Revamps Board with New Outside Director and Auditor Ahead of 54th Shareholders Meeting

Aug 7, 2026

Maedakosen Co., Ltd. has nominated a slate of directors and auditors to be approved at its 54th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for September 25, 2026, including the reappointment of top executives Yukitoshi and Takahiro Maeda and...

Maeda Kosen Raises Year-End Dividend Forecast for FY 2026

Aug 7, 2026

Maeda Kosen Co., Ltd. has revised its year-end dividend forecast for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, following a Board of Directors resolution on August 7, 2026. The company aims to maintain stable shareholder returns by aligning dividends with...

Maeda Kosen Profit Surges on Strong Core Products and Market Gains

Aug 7, 2026

Maeda Kosen reported non-consolidated full-year results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, showing moderate growth in sales and stronger gains in profitability compared with the previous year. Net sales rose 5.8% to ¥27,985 million, operat...

Maedakosen Unveils FY2025 Results and Medium-Term Global Growth Strategy

Aug 7, 2026

Maedakosen Co., Ltd. has released its presentation materials for financial results for fiscal 2025, covering the year ended June 30, 2026, along with a segment-by-segment performance summary. The materials also outline forecasts for consolidated resu...

Maeda Kosen Posts Higher Sales, Raises Dividend on Strengthened Balance Sheet

Aug 7, 2026

Maeda Kosen reported consolidated net sales of ¥71.4 billion for the year ended June 30, 2026, up 11.4% year on year, with operating profit essentially flat at ¥12.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent rising slightly to &#1...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 21, 2026