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Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd. (7456) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7456

Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:7456)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:JPY 6,063.00▼(-3.46% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow), despite solid revenue growth and a reasonably strong, not over-levered balance sheet. Technicals are also unfavorable with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is a supporting factor due to the low P/E and a moderate dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthSustained revenue expansion indicates continued demand across Matsuda Sangyo’s business activities and supports operating scale. If maintained, this growth can strengthen earnings capacity and provide a durable base for reinvestment, even though the company operates with relatively modest margins.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionRecent profits are not converting consistently into cash, as both operating and free cash flow remained negative in TTM and FY2026. Persistent weakness would increase funding and liquidity demands, reduce internally generated investment capacity, and make working-capital management more important.

Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd. (7456) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%JP:7456+45.58%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 134.86B
Dividend Yield
1.75%
Average Volume (3M)
112.86K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.7
Beta (1Y)
1.27
Revenue Growth
47.87%
EPS Growth
109.92%
Country
Japan
Employees
1,761
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MATSUDA SANGYO Co., Ltd., established in 1935 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, operates across three principal business domains: precious metals, environmental solutions, and food products. The company's precious metals division supplies materials...

Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement and balance sheet are solid (revenue up ~9% TTM, steady operating/net margins for a distributor, controlled leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.36 and strong ROE ~19%). However, cash flow is a major drag: operating cash flow is negative in TTM (-¥1.7B) and free cash flow is also negative (-¥6.1B), indicating weak cash conversion and higher liquidity/working-capital risk.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue749.87B687.84B468.84B360.53B351.03B272.29B
Gross Profit54.93B48.06B34.11B29.15B32.57B29.29B
EBITDA34.19B27.84B16.79B13.23B16.48B16.02B
Net Income21.36B16.75B9.46B7.29B9.70B9.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets212.50B227.77B168.90B148.94B129.21B115.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.03B14.56B12.88B14.57B11.76B11.38B
Total Debt45.67B52.46B33.47B29.40B19.24B16.39B
Total Liabilities86.44B108.72B68.76B57.56B44.56B41.37B
Stockholders Equity125.36B118.46B99.74B91.11B84.48B74.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.10B-14.54B-1.06B-4.70B-492.00M4.84B
Operating Cash Flow-1.71B-8.96B2.54B1.83B10.65B7.03B
Investing Cash Flow-2.74B-4.45B-6.24B-7.96B-12.19B-2.52B
Financing Cash Flow6.89B16.27B210.00M8.08B1.38B-2.26B

Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price6280.00

Price Trends

50DMA6616.13Negative
100DMA6288.82Negative
200DMA6491.38Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-126.72Negative
RSI49.77Neutral
STOCH70.57Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7456, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6280.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6194.50, below the 50-day MA of 6616.13, and below the 200-day MA of 6491.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -126.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7456.

Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7456 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8061JP:806184OutperformJPY 100.03B11.50―3.18%13.02%51.95%
JP:6454JP:645472OutperformJPY 333.35B21.44―2.06%11.03%18.95%
JP:3176JP:317668NeutralJPY 62.60B10.87―3.72%8.96%23.50%
JP:8052JP:805262NeutralJPY 58.35B10.28―3.65%-1.14%6.30%
JP:9830JP:983059NeutralJPY 161.96B10.03―2.46%10.37%1.94%
JP:7456JP:745658NeutralJPY 153.43B6.71―1.75%47.87%109.92%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:7456JP:3176JP:6454JP:8052JP:8061JP:9830Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7456 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7456Matsuda Sangyo Co., Ltd.6280.001966.0845.58%
JP:3176Sanyo Trading Co., Ltd.1075.00342.5846.77%
JP:6454Max Co., Ltd.1792.00196.7712.34%
JP:8052Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd.3015.00481.5319.01%
JP:8061Seika Corporation2866.00699.5532.29%
JP:9830Trusco Nakayama Corporation2475.0094.013.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026