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Otake Corporation (7434) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7434

Otake Corporation

(TSE/TYO:7434)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,960.00â–²(11.11% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (steady growth and a low-leverage balance sheet) but held back by volatile cash generation and negative free cash flow in 2026. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and a moderate dividend yield, while technical signals are mixed with negative MACD and the stock below its 200-day average.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthA multi-year upward revenue trend, reinforced by faster growth in 2026, indicates expanding activity across the company’s industrial customer base. Sustained top-line progress can support operating scale, strengthen supplier relationships, and provide a durable foundation for future earnings.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash FlowThe sharp move to negative free cash flow weakens the quality of earnings conversion and reduces near-term financial flexibility. If heavier investment or working-capital outflows persist, the company may have less internally generated cash available for expansion, dividends, or balance-sheet strengthening.

Otake Corporation (7434) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:7434-1.96%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.86B
Dividend Yield
2.29%
Average Volume (3M)
2,001
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.8
Beta (1Y)
0.27
Revenue Growth
8.06%
EPS Growth
3.55%
Country
Japan
Employees
300
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Distribution

Otake Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Otake Corporation, based in Nagoya, Japan, is a key distributor of equipment for plumbing, housing, and air conditioning systems. Their comprehensive product line includes essential components like valves, pipes, fittings, meters, gauges, and various...

Otake Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are solid overall: revenue has risen steadily with a sharp growth acceleration in 2026, and the balance sheet remains conservatively positioned with minimal leverage despite a notable debt step-up in 2026. The key drag is cash-flow quality—free cash flow turned meaningfully negative in 2026 and has been volatile—creating execution and funding risk if weak cash conversion persists.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.95B35.65B32.99B31.25B29.28B26.62B
Gross Profit5.04B5.17B4.75B4.22B3.97B3.51B
EBITDA1.26B1.12B1.14B1.05B998.36M720.60M
Net Income918.13M878.65M855.07M774.82M822.35M530.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.27B31.34B26.45B24.87B23.21B21.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.30B2.44B2.73B2.65B1.92B2.14B
Total Debt1.60B1.52B71.50M90.50M00
Total Liabilities13.20B13.87B11.06B9.94B9.24B8.13B
Stockholders Equity17.07B17.47B15.39B14.92B13.98B12.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.44B745.04M1.22B-5.74M874.75M
Operating Cash Flow01.39B983.89M1.54B335.93M926.36M
Investing Cash Flow0-2.97B-534.49M-767.70M-493.43M-77.99M
Financing Cash Flow01.31B-399.31M-41.58M-69.43M-91.22M

Otake Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1764.00

Price Trends

50DMA1787.38Negative
100DMA1789.45Negative
200DMA1829.26Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-8.15Negative
RSI47.61Neutral
STOCH73.03Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7434, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1764.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1741.65, below the 50-day MA of 1787.38, and below the 200-day MA of 1829.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7434.

Otake Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7434 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5288JP:528875OutperformJPY 54.96B6.74―4.57%11.13%105.93%
JP:1994JP:199472OutperformJPY 5.23B6.94―3.47%0.70%982.74%
JP:5268JP:526870OutperformJPY 10.43B16.64―1.77%7.46%72.19%
JP:7434JP:743469NeutralJPY 6.95B7.81―2.29%8.06%3.55%
JP:5269JP:526959NeutralJPY 19.30B21.18―2.62%0.13%―
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:5900JP:590051NeutralJPY 5.00B15.53―2.32%11.32%83.46%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%10%20%30%40%JP:7434JP:1994JP:5268JP:5269JP:5288JP:5900Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7434 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7434Otake Corporation1750.00-55.47-3.07%
JP:1994Takahashi Curtain Wall Corporation606.00118.5924.33%
JP:5268Asahi Concrete Works Co., Ltd.793.00-23.63-2.89%
JP:5269Nippon Concrete Industries Co., Ltd.344.0024.507.67%
JP:5288ASIA PILE HOLDINGS Corporation1443.00267.8722.80%
JP:5900Daiken Co., Ltd.862.0064.028.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026