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Casa Inc. (7196) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7196

Casa Inc.

(TSE/TYO:7196)

Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:JPY 711.00â–¼(-2.20% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

Moderate financial performance led by strong balance sheet is the primary factor, offset by weak technical momentum and unattractive valuation from negative earnings.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthA generally positive revenue trajectory indicates continued business activity and supports the company’s ability to maintain its operating base. If sustained, this topline stability can provide a platform for recovering margins and rebuilding earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Margin CompressionThe substantial decline in net and gross margins indicates that recent revenue growth is converting into far less profit. Unless profitability recovers, weaker earnings power could constrain reinvestment, reduce resilience to operating pressures, and limit sustainable shareholder returns.

Casa Inc. (7196) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:7196+3.04%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.52B
Dividend Yield
2.06%
Average Volume (3M)
8,933
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-210.3
Beta (1Y)
0.38
Revenue Growth
5.12%
EPS Growth
-102.11%
Country
Japan
Employees
276
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Mortgages

Casa Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Casa Inc. is a Japanese firm dedicated to the rental guarantee industry. It delivers essential services to tenants, encompassing rental guarantees, exclusive benefits, and advisory support. Moreover, the company manages rental properties for landlord...

Casa Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed income statement with revenue growth but declining net margins, strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity, and volatile cash flows with reduced generation.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.14B12.75B12.16B11.22B10.29B10.34B
Gross Profit5.62B5.04B7.39B6.14B5.85B6.01B
EBITDA603.27M771.43M1.83B1.34B942.04M1.45B
Net Income-29.44M123.45M602.00M605.15M254.74M647.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.90B15.18B15.77B14.78B13.23B12.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.39B2.82B2.99B3.71B2.89B2.42B
Total Debt6.25M615.69M176.00M193.54M47.29M60.81M
Total Liabilities9.55B8.58B8.26B7.54B6.38B5.92B
Stockholders Equity6.35B6.60B7.51B7.24B6.84B6.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0482.24M8.00M932.62M962.80M276.72M
Operating Cash Flow0544.58M13.66M1.14B1.17B728.76M
Investing Cash Flow0-184.79M-334.00M-11.25M-300.71M-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow0-523.06M-401.00M-314.72M-391.39M-480.39M

Casa Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price727.00

Price Trends

50DMA736.62Negative
100DMA751.84Negative
200DMA741.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-7.42Positive
RSI50.44Neutral
STOCH40.95Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7196, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 727.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 724.70, below the 50-day MA of 736.62, and below the 200-day MA of 741.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7196.

Casa Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:7196 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:7164JP:716484OutperformJPY 430.60B12.7813.76%3.91%2.50%6.43%
JP:8771JP:877179OutperformJPY 76.75B20.92―5.09%5.01%8.58%
JP:7198JP:719868NeutralJPY 32.34B17.28―5.40%8.69%3.76%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:7192JP:719263NeutralJPY 8.60B7.42―5.13%7.70%12.41%
JP:7196JP:719653NeutralJPY 7.36B-210.26―2.06%5.12%-102.11%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%JP:7196JP:7164JP:7192JP:7198JP:8771Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7196 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7196Casa Inc.727.0019.502.76%
JP:7164Zenkoku Hosho Co 3200.00209.267.00%
JP:7192Mortgage Service Japan Limited585.00136.4930.43%
JP:7198SBI ARUHI Corporation741.00-62.00-7.72%
JP:8771eGuarantee, Inc.1692.0070.184.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026