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AHC Group Inc (JP:7083)
:7083
Japanese Market
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AHC Group Inc (7083) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7083

AHC Group Inc

(7083)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,157.00
▲(5.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/26/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality (high and rising leverage, volatile profitability, and inconsistent free cash flow) and a very expensive P/E valuation. These negatives are partly offset by strong recent price trend and momentum, though overbought signals add near-term risk.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Continued revenue expansion indicates that AHC Group is maintaining demand for its care-facility services and expanding its operating base. If sustained, this growth can support greater scale, improve cost absorption, and provide a foundation for rebuilding profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated and Rising Leverage
Debt has more than doubled while equity has not grown meaningfully, leaving leverage consistently above 3x equity in 2022–2024. This reduces financial flexibility, raises refinancing and interest-related risk, and makes the company more vulnerable if profitability or operating conditions weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Continued revenue expansion indicates that AHC Group is maintaining demand for its care-facility services and expanding its operating base. If sustained, this growth can support greater scale, improve cost absorption, and provide a foundation for rebuilding profitability over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

AHC Group Inc (7083) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AHC Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AHC Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the welfare, nursing care, restaurant, and other businesses in Japan. It offers welfare services, including after-school day and child development, employment transition, employment suppo...

AHC Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is positive over the period, but profitability is unstable (large loss in 2022, recovery in 2023–2024, then sharp earnings compression to near breakeven in 2025). Leverage is high and rising (debt up materially with limited equity growth), constraining flexibility. Cash flow is uneven, with free cash flow reverting to negative in 2025 after a strong 2024.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.87B6.66B6.28B5.92B4.90B4.11B
Gross Profit740.89M701.29M678.45M506.74M243.31M163.46M
EBITDA230.52M256.37M313.77M241.43M-123.99M157.48M
Net Income8.47M1.02M98.31M67.86M-253.89M1.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.19B6.09B5.80B5.25B5.21B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.18B2.44B2.42B2.05B2.06B2.49B
Total Debt4.20B4.20B3.90B3.56B3.56B2.93B
Total Liabilities5.02B4.91B4.60B4.09B4.12B3.40B
Stockholders Equity1.17B1.18B1.20B1.16B1.09B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-88.27M215.37M-266.08M-736.42M-870.46M
Operating Cash Flow0.00192.54M439.48M97.99M-102.69M-12.32M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-395.71M-358.65M-94.13M-909.08M-670.09M
Financing Cash Flow0.00224.65M290.88M-15.08M582.03M879.48M

AHC Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1099.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1079.76
Positive
100DMA
956.40
Positive
200DMA
883.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
27.11
Negative
RSI
70.88
Negative
STOCH
86.38
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7083, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1099 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1117.75, above the 50-day MA of 1079.76, and above the 200-day MA of 883.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 27.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7083.

AHC Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥3.15B7.00―2.99%5.48%13.46%
70
Outperform
¥1.83B15.91――28.60%-22.35%
56
Neutral
¥5.95B20.61―3.88%4.76%-52.55%
56
Neutral
¥2.53B29.90―3.31%-5.72%-73.78%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
¥1.35B9.24―0.57%14.48%71.76%
48
Neutral
¥2.50B281.01―1.03%6.76%-85.44%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7083
AHC Group Inc
1,169.00
310.11
36.11%
JP:2373
Care Twentyone Corporation
438.00
5.74
1.33%
JP:2425
Care Service Co., Ltd.
665.00
-122.38
-15.54%
JP:7362
Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc.
880.00
25.24
2.95%
JP:9214
Recovery International Co.,Ltd.
1,308.00
-270.00
-17.11%
JP:9220
FB CARE SERVICE CO.,LTD.
1,270.00
56.83
4.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026