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AHC Group Inc (7083) AI Stock Analysis

JP:7083

AHC Group Inc

(TSE/TYO:7083)

Select Model
Rating:55.6Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,583.00â–²(2.79% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/08/26

The overall score is weighed down significantly by poor financial health, including near-zero profitability, high debt, and negative free cash flow, combined with an extreme P/E ratio. However, exceptionally strong technical momentum and a clear uptrend provide a counterbalance, suggesting the market is pricing in future recovery not yet evident in fundamentals.

Positive Factors
Steady revenue growthSteady revenue growth indicates continued demand and an expanding operating base, providing a durable foundation for the company’s care-facility business. Although revenue growth alone has not translated into consistent earnings, ongoing top-line expansion can support scale and future operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Elevated and rising leverageDebt has increased substantially while equity has not meaningfully grown, leaving leverage high relative to the company’s profitability. This reduces financial flexibility, raises refinancing exposure, and makes earnings more vulnerable if operating conditions soften or debt costs increase.

AHC Group Inc (7083) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%JP:7083+85.92%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.08B
Dividend Yield
0.80%
Average Volume (3M)
7,705
Price to Earnings (P/E)
631.4
Beta (1Y)
0.28
Revenue Growth
7.94%
EPS Growth
-89.64%
Country
Japan
Employees
489
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities

AHC Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AHC Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the welfare, nursing care, restaurant, and other businesses in Japan. It offers welfare services, including after-school day and child development, employment transition, employment support,...

AHC Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is strong, but profitability is critically weak with a 0.015% net margin. The balance sheet is highly leveraged (D/E 3.56) and free cash flow is negative, indicating severe financial risk.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

25Negative

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.05B6.66B6.28B5.92B4.90B4.11B
Gross Profit748.18M701.29M678.45M506.74M243.31M163.46M
EBITDA221.49M256.37M313.77M241.43M-123.99M157.48M
Net Income4.43M1.02M98.31M67.86M-253.89M1.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.29B6.09B5.80B5.25B5.21B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.07B2.44B2.42B2.05B2.06B2.49B
Total Debt4.28B4.20B3.90B3.56B3.56B2.93B
Total Liabilities5.14B4.91B4.60B4.09B4.12B3.40B
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.18B1.20B1.16B1.09B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-88.27M215.37M-266.08M-736.42M-870.46M
Operating Cash Flow0192.54M439.48M97.99M-102.69M-12.32M
Investing Cash Flow0-395.71M-358.65M-94.13M-909.08M-670.09M
Financing Cash Flow0224.65M290.88M-15.08M582.03M879.48M

AHC Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price1540.00

Price Trends

50DMA1242.00Positive
100DMA1110.71Positive
200DMA945.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD69.40Negative
RSI73.14Negative
STOCH84.75Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7083, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1540.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1408.95, above the 50-day MA of 1242.00, and above the 200-day MA of 945.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 69.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7083.

AHC Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:7083 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:9220JP:922073OutperformJPY 3.19B7.21―3.29%5.48%13.46%
JP:9214JP:921470OutperformJPY 1.82B15.61――28.60%-22.35%
JP:2425JP:242556NeutralJPY 2.50B29.59―3.34%-5.72%-73.78%
JP:7083JP:708356NeutralJPY 3.19B631.38―0.80%7.94%-89.64%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:2373JP:237352NeutralJPY 5.26B18.40―4.35%4.76%-52.55%
JP:7362JP:736252NeutralJPY 1.30B8.93――14.48%71.76%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:7083JP:2373JP:2425JP:7362JP:9214JP:9220Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:7083 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7083AHC Group Inc1540.00708.7285.26%
JP:2373Care Twentyone Corporation382.00-60.66-13.70%
JP:2425Care Service Co., Ltd.657.00-121.64-15.62%
JP:7362Terminalcare Support Institute, Inc.850.0037.984.68%
JP:9214Recovery International Co.,Ltd.1284.00-127.00-9.00%
JP:9220FB CARE SERVICE CO.,LTD.1270.0082.696.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026