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Frontier Management, Inc. (7038) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7038

Frontier Management, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:7038)

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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:JPY 558.00â–²(2.57% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/30/26

The score is primarily weighed down by deteriorating financial performance: a shift to losses, sharply higher leverage, and sustained negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are neutral-to-weak with no strong uptrend signal, while valuation gets limited support from a moderate dividend yield but is constrained by a negative P/E due to current losses.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue ReboundThe return to strong revenue growth demonstrates renewed demand or business activity after the prior-year decline. If maintained, this larger revenue base could support operating scale and provide a foundation for recovery, although profitability remains the key constraint.
Negative Factors
Sustained Profitability DeteriorationThe shift from positive operating profit and net income in 2022–2023 to losses in 2024–2025 signals a material deterioration in earnings quality. Continued losses can weaken internal funding capacity and make revenue growth less valuable unless profitability is restored.

Frontier Management, Inc. (7038) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:7038-18.76%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.44B
Dividend Yield
2.21%
Average Volume (3M)
20.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.8
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
39.95%
EPS Growth
25.75%
Country
Japan
Employees
417
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Specialty Business Services

Frontier Management, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Frontier Management Inc. provides a comprehensive suite of professional services, including strategic management consulting, M&A advisory, executive leadership support, and business turnaround solutions, serving clients across Japan and globally. Add...

Frontier Management, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite strong recent revenue growth (~29% YoY in 2025), profitability has deteriorated into meaningful losses (operating and net losses in 2024–2025). Balance sheet resilience has weakened with sharply higher debt (~¥1.4B to ~¥5.4B) and lower equity (~¥1.7B). Cash flow is a key risk: operating cash flow and free cash flow are deeply negative in 2024–2025, increasing reliance on financing.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

33Negative

Cash Flow

21Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.66B13.49B9.27B10.03B7.92B5.74B
Gross Profit5.23B5.00B4.26B5.53B4.69B3.49B
EBITDA443.64M105.75M-588.72M1.35B958.64M552.31M
Net Income-823.34M-1.11B-694.00M780.68M556.72M338.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.16B18.43B14.17B10.90B5.66B3.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.28B8.59B9.79B6.36B3.22B1.79B
Total Debt5.12B5.40B1.40B1.59B777.70M0
Total Liabilities7.33B8.49B3.42B4.08B2.64B1.38B
Stockholders Equity1.64B1.75B2.70B3.76B2.96B2.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-126.15M-1.03B-2.55B181.19M1.16B286.14M
Operating Cash Flow-119.58M-1.02B-2.52B225.00M1.25B316.81M
Investing Cash Flow-1.52B-1.16B-63.85M-1.38B-486.91M-31.52M
Financing Cash Flow-276.86M1.06B4.30B3.79B646.53M-404.76M

Frontier Management, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price544.00

Price Trends

50DMA576.56Negative
100DMA574.65Negative
200DMA574.20Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.19Positive
RSI28.90Positive
STOCH0.93Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7038, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 544.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 568.45, below the 50-day MA of 576.56, and below the 200-day MA of 574.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.90 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7038.

Frontier Management, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:7038 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:5071JP:507182OutperformJPY 11.47B8.80―3.61%7.45%3.42%
JP:6088JP:608879OutperformJPY 52.10B13.69―4.20%-12.65%-10.29%
JP:4346JP:434673OutperformJPY 9.63B7.25―4.05%8.49%26.99%
JP:6183JP:618365NeutralJPY 99.94B11.56―4.46%0.78%-2.52%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
JP:4809JP:480963NeutralJPY 20.35B10.52―3.59%5.58%-3.65%
JP:7038JP:703845NeutralJPY 6.46B-7.77―2.21%39.95%25.75%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:7038JP:4346JP:4809JP:5071JP:6088JP:6183Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:7038 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:7038Frontier Management, Inc.544.00-125.58-18.76%
JP:4346NEXYZ.Group Corporation740.00-257.47-25.81%
JP:4809Paraca Inc.2005.0093.824.91%
JP:5071VIS Co., Ltd.1358.0010.440.78%
JP:6088SIGMAXYZ Holdings Inc619.00-222.07-26.40%
JP:6183BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings, Inc.1344.0073.915.82%

Frontier Management, Inc. Corporate Events

Frontier Management Broadens Portfolio With HobbyLink Japan Acquisition

Aug 14, 2026

Frontier Management Inc., a Japan-based consulting and investment group, is organized around two main segments: consulting and advisory, and investment. It delivers management consulting, revitalization support, M&A deal advisory, and human capit...

Frontier Management Narrows Losses on Higher Sales, Targets Profit Recovery in Fiscal 2026

Aug 14, 2026

Frontier Management reported a 20.3% increase in first-half fiscal 2026 net sales to ¥6,944 million, reflecting solid top-line growth in its consulting and advisory operations despite continued losses. Profit attributable to owners of the parent...

Frontier Management Completes Restricted Stock Allotment to Directors

Jul 6, 2026

Frontier Management Inc., listed on the TSE Prime Market, operates in the professional services sector, providing corporate management and strategy consulting to Japanese and international clients. The company focuses on advisory and planning support...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2026