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QD Laser, Inc. (6613) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
JP:6613

QD Laser, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:6613)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:JPY 2,085.00â–¼(-4.58% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/25/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing net losses and materially negative cash flow, plus a sharp 2026 revenue reversal). This is partially offset by strong technical positioning (price above key moving averages with supportive momentum), while valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend yield support.

Positive Factors
Low leverage and sizable equityLow leverage and a sizable equity base give QD Laser greater financial flexibility than a highly indebted business. This provides capacity to absorb operating losses, support investment, and manage volatility without the same refinancing pressure or creditor constraints.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitabilityRecurring losses show that improved gross margin has not yet translated into a sustainable earnings model. Operating costs still exceed gross profit, leaving the company dependent on balance-sheet resources or future improvement before it can consistently create value from ongoing operations.

QD Laser, Inc. (6613) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-200%0%200%400%600%800%1000%JP:6613+526.07%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 91.67B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.51M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-282.1
Beta (1Y)
1.15
Revenue Growth
6.86%
EPS Growth
16.80%
Country
Japan
Employees
50
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

QD Laser, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Kawasaki, Japan, QD Laser, Inc. delivers advanced semiconductor laser-based solutions. The company operates across two primary divisions: its Laser Device Business and its Laser Eyewear Business. Within its Laser...

QD Laser, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are pressured by persistent losses and consistently negative operating and free cash flow, including a particularly large free-cash-flow deficit in 2026. The balance sheet is a relative strength with low leverage and sizable equity, and gross margin has improved markedly versus 2021–2022, but a sharp 2026 revenue decline and ongoing cash burn keep overall financial performance weak.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.49B1.37B1.31B1.25B1.16B1.10B
Gross Profit629.86M578.32M443.86M319.49M350.24M-59.30M
EBITDA-176.20M-229.34M-337.46M-540.11M-477.40M-821.26M
Net Income-315.92M-357.15M-445.77M-642.63M-550.38M-880.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.01B5.57B5.51B6.15B4.92B4.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.69B2.74B3.75B4.84B3.58B2.82B
Total Debt710.00M330.00M08.65M16.48M111.75M
Total Liabilities1.10B665.91M286.60M478.56M478.59M434.57M
Stockholders Equity4.91B4.90B5.22B5.67B4.44B3.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.21B-674.29M-589.94M-531.98M-764.24M
Operating Cash Flow0-481.08M-506.82M-443.45M-515.32M-700.64M
Investing Cash Flow0-886.68M-568.61M-138.13M-22.99M-90.21M
Financing Cash Flow0355.71M-9.51M1.84B1.30B377.50M

QD Laser, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2185.00

Price Trends

50DMA2122.70Positive
100DMA2154.07Positive
200DMA1761.14Positive

Market Momentum

MACD6.13Positive
RSI51.07Neutral
STOCH27.61Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6613, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2185.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2140.10, above the 50-day MA of 2122.70, and above the 200-day MA of 1761.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6613.

QD Laser, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:6613 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6146JP:614675OutperformJPY 4.92T32.5627.34%1.15%22.16%26.52%
JP:7729JP:772970OutperformJPY 530.53B18.2316.04%2.29%16.65%40.78%
JP:7735JP:773568NeutralJPY 1.57T17.0720.07%1.65%2.85%7.28%
JP:6920JP:692067NeutralJPY 3.14T47.7529.51%0.88%-19.42%-26.65%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
JP:6613JP:661355NeutralJPY 88.63B-282.14――6.86%16.80%
JP:6890JP:689047NeutralJPY 368.77B10.6912.97%1.92%42.63%139.80%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%600%800%JP:6613JP:7735JP:6146JP:6890JP:6920JP:7729Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6613 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6613QD Laser, Inc.2185.001832.00518.98%
JP:7735SCREEN Holdings Co 8777.002579.7041.63%
JP:6146Disco Corporation47580.00-424.92-0.89%
JP:6890Ferrotec Holdings Corporation7617.002912.0361.89%
JP:6920Lasertec Corp37200.008213.2728.33%
JP:7729Tokyo Seimitsu Co., Ltd13495.003028.9228.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026