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Orchestra Holdings Inc. (JP:6533)
:6533
Japanese Market
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Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6533

Orchestra Holdings Inc.

(6533)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,315.00
▲(17.83% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance in 2025 (profit and free cash flow rebound) and supportive technical strength (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by increased leverage in 2025 and historically uneven margins/cash flow stability, while valuation is reasonable but not strongly supported by income yield.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Revenue growth in each of 2023–2025 indicates expanding business activity over multiple reporting periods, not merely a single-quarter spike. Continued top-line progress gives the company a broader base from which to improve earnings, invest, and sustain operations over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
The sharp increase in debt and debt-to-equity levels reduces balance-sheet flexibility even though overall leverage is not described as extreme. Higher borrowing can constrain future capital allocation and leave less capacity to absorb weaker trading or fund growth internally.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Revenue growth in each of 2023–2025 indicates expanding business activity over multiple reporting periods, not merely a single-quarter spike. Continued top-line progress gives the company a broader base from which to improve earnings, invest, and sustain operations over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Orchestra Holdings Inc. (6533) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orchestra Holdings Inc., a Tokyo-based enterprise established in 2009, specializes in digital transformation, digital marketing, and various other business ventures across Japan. Their comprehensive suite of solutions spans IT engineer services, s...
How the Company Makes Money
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Orchestra Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show improving momentum in 2025 with a sharp profit rebound and very strong free cash flow growth, and equity has risen steadily. Offsetting this, profitability and margins have been volatile over time (gross margin trending down since 2022), cash flow stability is not consistent across cycles (notable shortfall in 2022), and leverage increased sharply in 2025, raising balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
59
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.81B15.77B14.04B12.11B10.38B16.64B
Gross Profit7.19B6.90B6.49B5.86B5.10B3.88B
EBITDA2.11B1.82B1.36B1.40B1.72B1.45B
Net Income1.07B816.84M331.75M474.22M853.71M757.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.32B16.16B12.82B12.71B11.41B10.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.25B3.54B3.30B3.28B3.07B4.96B
Total Debt6.89B5.29B2.88B3.01B1.71B1.53B
Total Liabilities11.06B9.15B6.70B6.68B5.67B5.62B
Stockholders Equity6.72B6.50B5.68B5.63B5.33B4.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B961.81M1.09B972.40M-533.72M1.11B
Operating Cash Flow1.04B1.04B1.12B1.00B-484.54M1.11B
Investing Cash Flow-692.43M-1.23B-380.87M-2.00B-1.21B166.56M
Financing Cash Flow34.83M425.10M-716.78M1.20B-195.42M2.26B

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1116.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1184.32
Positive
100DMA
1116.46
Positive
200DMA
1118.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.83
Negative
RSI
64.79
Neutral
STOCH
90.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6533, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1116 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1163.85, below the 50-day MA of 1184.32, and below the 200-day MA of 1118.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -3.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:6533.

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥16.30B5.401.16%289.34%309.72%
71
Outperform
¥28.90B9.685.40%2.87%0.74%
69
Neutral
¥12.38B10.860.97%
67
Neutral
¥9.60B17.602.12%10.50%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
¥15.35B-5.546.74%-55.40%-157.50%
43
Neutral
¥9.46B4.8510.01%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6533
Orchestra Holdings Inc.
1,234.00
480.79
63.83%
JP:2122
Interspace Co., Ltd.
1,416.00
71.80
5.34%
JP:2491
ValueCommerce Co., Ltd.
475.00
-294.12
-38.24%
JP:6045
Rentracks Co., Ltd.
2,070.00
423.47
25.72%
JP:6094
FreakOut Holdings, Inc.
529.00
0.00
0.00%
JP:6535
i-mobile Co., Ltd.
500.00
-121.54
-19.55%

Orchestra Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Orchestra Holdings Delivers Profit Surge and Sharpens DM/DX Growth Strategy
Sep 7, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported modest revenue growth for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 but delivered strong profit expansion, with operating profit up 26.7% year on year and profit attributable to owners of the parent climbing 36.5%. Progres...
Orchestra Holdings to Make Sharing Innovations a Wholly Owned Subsidiary via Share Exchange
Aug 26, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. will convert its group company Sharing Innovations Inc. into a wholly owned subsidiary through a share exchange, using previously acquired treasury shares instead of issuing new stock. The move is designed to integrate mana...
Orchestra Holdings to Take Sharing Innovations Private in DX-Focused Restructuring
Aug 25, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. will acquire full ownership of its listed subsidiary Sharing Innovations Inc. through a simplified share exchange, with the deal expected to take effect on November 30, 2026. As part of the transaction, Sharing Innovations&...
Orchestra Holdings Boosts Profits and Ups Dividend as Assets Grow
Aug 14, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. reported largely flat revenue of ¥7.8 billion for the first six months of 2026, but delivered a strong improvement in profitability, with operating profit up 26.7% and profit attributable to owners of parent rising 36....
Orchestra Holdings Boosts Dividend and Sharpened Shareholder Perks Ahead of 10th Listing Anniversary
Jun 22, 2026
Orchestra Holdings Inc. has revised its fiscal year-end dividend forecast for the year ending December 2026, lifting the planned year-end payout from ¥13 to ¥30 per share, including a ¥5 commemorative component to mark the 10th anni...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026