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Estic Corporation (6161) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6161

Estic Corporation

(TSE/TYO:6161)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:JPY 1,149.00▲(15.83% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals (high profitability and an ultra-low leverage balance sheet), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and a solid dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are inconsistent cash flows (recent negative free cash flow) and a weaker technical picture with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD.

Positive Factors
Strong profitabilitySustained gross and operating margins indicate that Estic converts manufacturing-equipment sales into profit efficiently. This provides internal funding capacity, supports resilience across production cycles, and suggests the company’s profitability is not dependent on a single unusually strong period.
Negative Factors
Volatile cash generationUneven operating and free cash flow reduces confidence that reported profits consistently convert into available cash. Negative free cash flow can constrain self-funded investment and shareholder distributions, while sharp swings make funding needs and capital allocation less predictable over coming quarters.

Estic Corporation (6161) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:6161+2.28%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 9.87B
Dividend Yield
2.92%
Average Volume (3M)
5,776
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.8
Beta (1Y)
0.27
Revenue Growth
10.34%
EPS Growth
26.93%
Country
Japan
Employees
228
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Estic Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Estic Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells electric power tools, industrial robots, and automatic assembly lines in Europe, Africa, Asia, Oceania, and the Americas. The company’s products include assembly tool, handheld and fixtured nutrunner...

Estic Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong and fairly stable profitability with mid‑40% gross margin and ~20% operating profitability in recent years supports consistent mid‑teens net margins. The balance sheet is exceptionally conservative (debt-to-equity well below 1%), but cash generation is a key weakness with volatile operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in 2026 (and 2024), which lowers confidence in earnings quality and near-term cash consistency.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

54Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.29B8.03B7.88B7.13B6.72B5.75B
Gross Profit3.85B3.59B3.66B3.29B3.17B2.58B
EBITDA2.04B1.83B1.91B1.71B1.65B1.31B
Net Income1.30B1.16B1.18B1.13B1.08B820.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.96B12.76B12.16B10.83B9.87B8.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.74B2.73B3.36B1.57B2.25B2.03B
Total Debt28.63M49.46M35.30M60.99M72.55M8.95M
Total Liabilities1.35B1.26B1.59B1.44B1.54B1.09B
Stockholders Equity11.37B11.28B10.38B9.25B8.22B7.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-367.32M1.99B-318.38M371.54M958.03M
Operating Cash Flow0592.27M2.06B376.96M620.26M1.26B
Investing Cash Flow0-938.89M-87.46M-845.83M-259.76M-317.45M
Financing Cash Flow0-307.17M-279.43M-244.45M-173.02M-154.54M

Estic Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price992.00

Price Trends

50DMA1032.56Negative
100DMA1044.19Negative
200DMA1032.84Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.86Positive
RSI37.44Neutral
STOCH17.59Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6161, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 992.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1013.70, below the 50-day MA of 1032.56, and below the 200-day MA of 1032.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6161.

Estic Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

JP:6161 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:6381JP:638183OutperformJPY 65.94B11.26―5.09%13.76%38.30%
JP:6161JP:616177OutperformJPY 9.88B6.84―2.92%10.34%26.93%
JP:6363JP:636376OutperformJPY 67.43B9.25―2.48%0.93%212.09%
JP:6393JP:639371OutperformJPY 12.27B10.55―5.03%-1.68%-9.54%
JP:6392JP:639268NeutralJPY 16.33B8.84―3.31%12.53%10.66%
JP:6408JP:640868NeutralJPY 6.37B4.05―2.16%2.62%81.42%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%JP:6161JP:6363JP:6381JP:6392JP:6393JP:6408Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:6161 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:6161Estic Corporation992.0019.151.97%
JP:6363Torishima Pump Mfg.Co., Ltd.2658.00772.5340.97%
JP:6381ANEST IWATA Corp.1672.00228.1715.80%
JP:6392Yamada Corporation6940.001452.7926.48%
JP:6393Yuken Kogyo Co., Ltd.2981.0099.533.45%
JP:6408Ogura Clutch Co., Ltd.4620.001001.5027.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026