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Nippon Insure Co. Ltd. (5843) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
JP:5843

Nippon Insure Co. Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:5843)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,421.00▲(7.22% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (solid growth, improved profitability, conservative leverage, and healthy ROE), supported by positive technical momentum. Valuation is supportive via a low P/E, but the low dividend yield and historical cash-flow variability temper the overall rating.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profit GrowthThe company has sustained multi-year revenue expansion while materially improving profitability. This combination indicates broader business scale and stronger earnings capacity, giving Nippon Insure more resources to reinvest, strengthen operations, and absorb normal insurance-sector fluctuations over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow VolatilityAlthough the latest free cash flow result was strong, the uneven history reduces confidence that accounting earnings will consistently translate into cash. Persistent volatility could constrain internal funding, complicate capital allocation, and make results less predictable during periods of changing insurance or investment activity.

Nippon Insure Co. Ltd. (5843) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:5843-26.13%EWJ+13.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 6.45B
Dividend Yield
1.11%
Average Volume (3M)
6,195
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.8
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
14.97%
EPS Growth
72.48%
Country
Japan
Employees
118
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Insurance - Specialty

Nippon Insure Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Insure Co., Ltd. specializes in offering financial guarantees, primarily covering rent liabilities for residential housing, as well as commercial spaces including stores and offices. Their comprehensive guarantee services also extend to variou...

Nippon Insure Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Above-average fundamentals supported by multi-year revenue growth and materially improved profitability (net margin rising to ~14.1% by 2025) plus a de-risking balance sheet (debt-to-equity down to ~0.20 and ROE ~21%). The main offset is uneven cash-flow performance across years and some operating margin volatility, which lowers confidence in consistency.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.74B3.22B2.88B2.61B2.17B
Gross Profit2.34B3.22B2.88B2.61B2.17B
EBITDA813.05M448.91M332.91M443.51M203.89M
Net Income528.47M280.12M196.88M255.39M105.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.34B4.60B3.41B2.91B2.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.76B2.46B1.73B1.62B1.33B
Total Debt494.92M503.18M502.22M403.73M342.38M
Total Liabilities2.84B2.62B2.31B2.01B1.60B
Stockholders Equity2.49B1.98B1.10B905.61M651.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow378.97M145.17M32.24M256.13M143.34M
Operating Cash Flow383.75M196.63M64.11M278.11M190.25M
Investing Cash Flow-65.07M-59.41M-53.48M-27.17M-57.12M
Financing Cash Flow-19.30M593.50M98.50M39.41M98.77M

Nippon Insure Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2258.00

Price Trends

50DMA2265.65Negative
100DMA2291.44Negative
200DMA2315.60Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-19.16Negative
RSI54.35Neutral
STOCH91.10Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5843, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2258.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2210.25, below the 50-day MA of 2265.65, and below the 200-day MA of 2315.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -19.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5843.

Nippon Insure Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5843 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:8771JP:877179OutperformJPY 76.71B21.05―5.04%5.01%8.58%
JP:5843JP:584373OutperformJPY 6.45B8.79―1.11%14.97%72.48%
JP:8713JP:871370OutperformJPY 46.42B9.895.32%2.96%11.61%62.61%
JP:7326JP:732669NeutralJPY 52.82B16.916.53%2.19%8.49%22.82%
JP:7157JP:715762NeutralJPY 113.32B14.93――11.06%0.03%
JP:8715JP:871560NeutralJPY 77.59B20.55―0.87%9.85%51.32%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%JP:5843JP:7326JP:8713JP:7157JP:8715JP:8771Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5843 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5843Nippon Insure Co. Ltd.2258.00-524.58-18.85%
JP:7326SBI Insurance Group Co., Ltd.2106.00395.6523.13%
JP:8713Fidea Holdings Co.Ltd.2534.00919.1256.92%
JP:7157Lifenet Insurance Company1394.00-589.00-29.70%
JP:8715Anicom Holdings, Inc.1036.00194.4523.11%
JP:8771eGuarantee, Inc.1710.0079.604.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026