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Japan Steel Works Ltd (JP:5631)
:5631
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Japan Steel Works (5631) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5631

Japan Steel Works

(5631)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥6,028.00
▼(-33.47% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak recent cash flow (negative operating cash flow in 2025–2026 and deeply negative free cash flow in 2026) and higher leverage in 2026, despite improving margins and solid profitability. Technicals are mixed, with a short-term bounce but a weaker longer-term trend, and valuation is on the expensive side with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Specialized manufacturing capabilities
The combination of steelmaking, forging, machining, and precision manufacturing supports technically demanding products that are not easily replicated by generic suppliers. This capability can strengthen customer relationships, preserve access to specialized industrial markets, and support durable competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Recent negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow show that reported profits are not currently converting reliably into cash. Persistent cash consumption can increase reliance on financing, constrain investment flexibility, and raise execution and liquidity risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Specialized manufacturing capabilities
The combination of steelmaking, forging, machining, and precision manufacturing supports technically demanding products that are not easily replicated by generic suppliers. This capability can strengthen customer relationships, preserve access to specialized industrial markets, and support durable competitive positioning.
Read all positive factors

Japan Steel Works (5631) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Japan Steel Works Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Japan Steel Works, Ltd. (JSW) is a Japanese industrial manufacturer that produces large-scale forged and cast steel products and heavy industrial machinery. The company is known for high-integrity metal components and equipment used in energy and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Japan Steel Works makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling high-value industrial products and related services. Revenue is generated through (1) product sales of heavy machinery and large forged/cast components—typically made-to-order, e...

Japan Steel Works Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and margins have improved over the last several years (2026 net margin ~7% vs. ~5% in 2023; EBITDA margin ~12.5%), but the overall profile is held back by weak cash conversion: operating cash flow was negative in 2025 and 2026 and free cash flow was deeply negative in 2026. Balance sheet risk also rose as leverage increased meaningfully in 2026 (debt-to-equity ~0.42 vs. ~0.23 in 2025).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue265.48B274.85B248.56B252.50B238.72B213.79B
Gross Profit64.94B64.26B60.99B56.81B49.38B47.82B
EBITDA38.08B37.61B31.55B27.32B25.46B26.36B
Net Income20.79B19.24B17.96B14.28B11.97B13.95B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets423.84B429.98B398.12B366.77B348.36B339.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.00B77.76B75.92B97.65B87.33B106.27B
Total Debt85.92B88.35B43.53B43.63B43.42B58.44B
Total Liabilities208.57B216.15B203.02B188.16B187.72B188.64B
Stockholders Equity213.79B212.43B193.22B176.98B159.10B149.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-41.37B-20.40B11.46B-7.09B13.52B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-16.89B-4.57B21.71B-986.00M22.32B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-17.10B-12.27B-6.84B947.00M-2.98B
Financing Cash Flow0.0036.09B-5.72B-4.90B-20.11B-2.86B

Japan Steel Works Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9061.00
Price Trends
50DMA
7154.10
Negative
100DMA
7407.38
Negative
200DMA
8221.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-310.08
Positive
RSI
34.65
Neutral
STOCH
17.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5631, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9061 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6758.80, above the 50-day MA of 7154.10, and above the 200-day MA of 8221.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -310.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5631.

Japan Steel Works Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
¥375.63B13.9710.02%14.17%15.90%104.65%
75
Outperform
¥57.79B16.52―3.37%-1.63%-23.69%
69
Neutral
¥669.73B16.735.80%2.47%7.75%―
68
Neutral
¥729.43B22.556.29%2.64%17.77%20.56%
68
Neutral
¥466.40B16.5317.42%1.88%12.05%57.34%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
¥449.48B21.6210.00%1.54%-1.12%11.05%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5631
Japan Steel Works
6,105.00
-3,616.99
-37.20%
JP:6113
AMADA HOLDINGS CO
2,386.00
565.56
31.07%
JP:6135
Makino Milling Machine Co
3,035.00
840.66
38.31%
JP:6302
Sumitomo Heavy Industries
5,467.00
1,469.03
36.74%
JP:6508
Meidensha Corporation
10,280.00
3,834.77
59.50%
JP:6118
Aida Engineering,Ltd.
1,158.00
262.87
29.37%

Japan Steel Works Corporate Events

Japan Steel Works lifts earnings on lower sales, keeps full-year outlook and dividend plan
Aug 3, 2026
Japan Steel Works reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 consolidated results marked by a 13.9% year-on-year decline in net sales to ¥58.2 billion, even as operating profit rose 11.2% to ¥5.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026