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COVER Corporation
(5253)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,856.00
▲(37.48% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/28/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial fundamentals (rapid growth, debt-free balance sheet, and solid recent free cash flow), partially offset by margin/ROE compression in the latest year. Technicals are constructive with the price above major moving averages, while valuation is the main headwind given the ~29x P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
Zero reported debt materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. COVER can fund content production, live events, and IP investments from internal resources, pursue opportunistic M&A or marketing spend, and better withstand event-driven revenue swings without leverage constraints.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
A sustained decline in net margin halves profitability and reduces internal returns on growth. If higher content, event or marketing costs persist, margin pressure can erode the company’s ability to self-fund expansion and weaken long-term ROE despite strong revenue growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
Zero reported debt materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. COVER can fund content production, live events, and IP investments from internal resources, pursue opportunistic M&A or marketing spend, and better withstand event-driven revenue swings without leverage constraints.
Read all positive factors
COVER Corporation (5253) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥111.80B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.51M
Price to Earnings (P/E)40.3
Beta (1Y)0.64
Revenue Growth4.10%
EPS Growth-53.15%
CountryJP
Employees735
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryMedia & Entertainment
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)45.94
Shares Outstanding65,650,100
10 Day Avg. Volume1,165,330
30 Day Avg. Volume1,509,356
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.60
Price to Book (P/B)4.39
Price to Sales (P/S)1.78
P/FCF Ratio12.90
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥1,200.00Price Target Upside-11.11% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)104.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥53.05B
COVER Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
COVER Corporation specializes in three core areas: virtual platforms, virtual YouTuber (VTuber) talent management, and diverse media ventures. The company's VTuber Production division acts as an agency, dedicated to creating and overseeing virtual...
How the Company Makes Money
COVER primarily monetizes the hololive production IP through a mix of direct-to-consumer sales, platform-based digital revenues, and IP licensing.
1) Merchandising (goods and products): A major revenue stream comes from selling official merchandi...
COVER Corporation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 49.33B | 43.40B | 30.17B | 20.45B | 13.66B |
| Gross Profit | 23.51B | 21.80B | 13.99B | 9.40B | 5.27B |
| EBITDA | 8.57B | 8.41B | 6.01B | 3.53B | 1.95B |
| Net Income | 3.02B | 5.56B | 4.14B | 2.51B | 1.24B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 34.91B | 33.33B | 22.71B | 15.90B | 8.24B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 16.01B | 11.50B | 8.67B | 7.79B | 4.64B |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 14.94B | 16.38B | 11.57B | 8.89B | 4.78B |
| Stockholders Equity | 19.96B | 16.95B | 11.14B | 7.01B | 3.46B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.80B | 4.66B | 1.07B | 2.50B | 3.05B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 7.20B | 5.29B | 4.76B | 4.87B | 3.54B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.70B | -2.70B | -3.89B | -2.76B | -793.94M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 244.00M | 0.00 | 1.04B | 0.00 |
COVER Corporation Technical Analysis
Positive
1350.00
Price Trends
1519.52
Positive
1509.71
Positive
1567.59
Positive
Market Momentum
24.93
Negative
58.96
Neutral
86.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5253, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1350 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1559.50, below the 50-day MA of 1519.52, and below the 200-day MA of 1567.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 24.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5253.
COVER Corporation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | ¥63.32B | 14.94 | ― | 3.34% | 0.70% | -2.66% | |
81 Outperform | ¥66.45B | 25.07 | ― | 2.06% | 15.90% | 80.17% | |
79 Outperform | ¥106.99B | 11.01 | 28.02% | 4.06% | -2.58% | 145.63% | |
75 Outperform | ¥111.80B | 40.29 | ― | ― | 4.10% | -53.15% | |
68 Neutral | ¥59.76B | 8.15 | ― | 2.67% | 0.95% | 17.19% | |
62 Neutral | ¥52.32B | 48.38 | ― | ― | 30.21% | 488.52% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.