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Rebase, Inc. (5138) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5138

Rebase, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:5138)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 388.00â–¼(-6.05% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/10/26

The overall score is heavily pressured by an extremely high P/E ratio and a sharp deterioration in cash flow and profitability, which are the most significant risk factors. While the balance sheet is robust with low debt, this is a secondary positive that cannot offset the primary concerns of negative free cash flow, margin compression, and a weak technical trend.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthContinued year-over-year revenue growth indicates that Rebase is still expanding its business base despite weaker profitability. Sustained top-line progress can support operating scale, preserve reinvestment capacity, and provide a foundation for recovery if cost intensity moderates over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Margin CompressionThe sharp decline in net and operating margins shows that revenue growth is currently converting into substantially less profit. If this weaker operating leverage persists, earnings durability will remain uncertain and the company may have less internal funding available for expansion, investment, or shareholder returns.

Rebase, Inc. (5138) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%JP:5138-36.95%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.97B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1,144
Price to Earnings (P/E)
150.7
Beta (1Y)
0.49
Revenue Growth
12.22%
EPS Growth
-96.26%
Country
Japan
Employees
50
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Internet Content & Information

Rebase, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rebase, Inc. operates a rental space reservation platform in Japan. It develops and operates instabase, an online marketplace platform that matches people who want to use the space with people who want to rent the space. Rebase, Inc. was incorporated...

Rebase, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is strong (Score: 78) with low leverage, but income statement (Score: 42) and cash flow (Score: 28) scores are weak due to severe margin compression and negative free cash flow. The overall financial health is significantly dragged down by poor cash generation and declining profitability.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01B2.18B1.93B1.49B1.16B890.24M
Gross Profit1.94B2.07B1.85B1.43B1.14B871.80M
EBITDA492.89M146.35M529.56M370.29M274.37M216.14M
Net Income344.65M74.49M362.92M228.78M158.49M139.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78B2.27B1.96B1.47B1.08B796.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.20B1.19B1.54B1.12B792.63M553.48M
Total Debt0100.00M00097.48M
Total Liabilities529.84M988.85M581.85M495.57M339.03M383.20M
Stockholders Equity1.25B1.28B1.38B970.73M740.85M413.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-52.66M455.14M333.66M174.06M171.86M
Operating Cash Flow053.51M461.14M374.76M221.81M249.47M
Investing Cash Flow0-331.53M-91.09M-43.56M-47.75M-121.75M
Financing Cash Flow0-70.75M46.61M1.09M65.10M1.09M

Rebase, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price413.00

Price Trends

50DMA436.86Negative
100DMA431.61Negative
200DMA519.64Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-9.84Negative
RSI47.04Neutral
STOCH40.74Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5138, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 413.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 411.25, below the 50-day MA of 436.86, and below the 200-day MA of 519.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5138.

Rebase, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:5138 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3922JP:392282OutperformJPY 30.48B13.80―0.61%12.93%27.79%
JP:4176JP:417672OutperformJPY 6.55B16.10――9.63%30.86%
JP:3981JP:398164NeutralJPY 6.74B9.61―3.72%-6.94%-37.68%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3674JP:367450NeutralJPY 3.28B-11.31――10.56%-436.94%
JP:5138JP:513846NeutralJPY 1.97B150.73――12.22%-96.26%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:5138JP:3674JP:3922JP:3981JP:4176Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:5138 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:5138Rebase, Inc.413.00-322.00-43.81%
JP:3674Aucfan Co., Ltd.317.00-23.00-6.76%
JP:3922PR TIMES Corporation2298.00-555.40-19.46%
JP:3981Beaglee Inc.1128.00-92.91-7.61%
JP:4176coconala Inc.273.00-95.00-25.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2026