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Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4996) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4996

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4996)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:JPY 650.00▲(1.09% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/12/26

The overall score is heavily constrained by a very high P/E ratio (75.5) and collapsing profitability margins, which present a significant risk. The stock is also trading below all major moving averages, confirming bearish technical momentum. A strong cash flow position and improved balance sheet provide some support, but are insufficient to offset the severe valuation and earnings headwinds.

Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue GrowthConsistent revenue growth indicates continued demand for Kumiai Chemical’s agrochemical and related chemical offerings. Although the latest increase is moderate, a steadily expanding top line supports market presence, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a foundation for sustained operations over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability MarginsDeclining gross and net margins indicate that revenue growth is not translating fully into bottom-line improvement. If this pressure persists, it could reduce retained cash, weaken returns from the company’s established operations, and limit the financial benefit of future sales expansion.

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (4996) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:4996-1.94%EWJ+16.91%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 77.46B
Dividend Yield
3.73%
Average Volume (3M)
579.63K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
73.2
Beta (1Y)
0.37
Revenue Growth
6.64%
EPS Growth
-89.22%
Country
Japan
Employees
2,153
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells agrochemicals in Japan and internationally. The company provides agricultural chemicals, such as herbicides, such as bensulfuron-methyl, bispyribac-sodium, fenoxasulfone, fenquinotrione, pyrim...

How the Company Makes Money

Kumiai Chemical Industry’s earnings are primarily driven by its agrochemicals operations. The company generates revenue by (1) selling crop protection products: this includes sales of proprietary and/or in-licensed agrochemical active ingredients and...

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed financials: strong cash flow conversion (operating cash flow 7.7x net income) and reduced leverage are positives, but sharply declining margins (net margin fell to 2.6% from 8.4%) and weak ROE (3.0%) weigh heavily on the score.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

75Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue177.38B170.46B161.05B161.00B145.30B118.18B
Gross Profit32.03B36.95B38.13B41.34B37.93B32.53B
EBITDA14.70B17.08B17.28B19.10B17.55B12.74B
Net Income1.06B4.38B13.59B18.02B16.33B9.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.81B248.21B275.47B226.94B204.60B169.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.39B21.98B27.40B27.08B22.30B20.05B
Total Debt43.83B51.90B75.10B46.40B35.44B22.90B
Total Liabilities86.09B97.10B122.53B87.09B82.61B59.22B
Stockholders Equity148.19B144.49B145.92B133.03B115.47B103.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.53B25.53B-25.74B-3.93B-8.98B-2.15B
Operating Cash Flow33.80B33.80B-16.73B4.76B-1.16B4.48B
Investing Cash Flow-8.93B-8.93B-8.76B-10.10B-7.82B-5.31B
Financing Cash Flow-27.85B-27.85B23.61B6.86B5.62B439.00M

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price643.00

Price Trends

50DMA687.18Negative
100DMA702.89Negative
200DMA711.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.63Negative
RSI42.84Neutral
STOCH28.05Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4996, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 643.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 643.32, below the 50-day MA of 687.18, and below the 200-day MA of 711.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4996.

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4996 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4992JP:499275OutperformJPY 44.94B9.84―2.86%8.16%12.10%
JP:4997JP:499771OutperformJPY 83.84B10.10―3.57%7.34%64.60%
JP:4979JP:497970OutperformJPY 30.55B9.86―2.10%9.61%29.07%
JP:1376JP:137657NeutralJPY 16.76B10.06―3.37%4.11%13.74%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:4031JP:403155NeutralJPY 9.27B-7.96―1.94%6.44%-308.66%
JP:4996JP:499646NeutralJPY 80.06B73.23―3.73%6.64%-89.22%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%JP:4996JP:1376JP:4031JP:4979JP:4992JP:4997Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4996 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4996Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.643.00-23.36-3.51%
JP:1376Kaneko Seeds Co., Ltd.1425.00-198.34-12.22%
JP:4031Katakura & Co-op Agri Corporation1033.0081.208.53%
JP:4979OAT Agrio Co., Ltd.2860.00662.5730.15%
JP:4992Hokko Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.1851.00276.9817.60%
JP:4997Nihon Nohyaku Co., Ltd.1064.00217.8025.74%

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kumiai Chemical to Adopt Audit and Supervisory Committee Structure

Sep 11, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. has resolved at its Board of Directors meeting to transition to a company with an Audit and Supervisory Committee, subject to shareholder approval at the 78th Annual General Meeting scheduled for January 28, 2027. T...

Kumiai Chemical to Fully Integrate Three Key Subsidiaries via Share Exchanges

Sep 11, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. has resolved to make three consolidated subsidiaries—Ihara Construction Industry, KUMIKA LOGISTICS, and Nihon Printing Industry—wholly owned units via simplified share exchanges. The move formalizes exis...

Kumiai Chemical Raises Sales Outlook but Slashes Profit Forecast on AXEEV Price Hit

Sep 11, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry has revised its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2026, projecting higher net sales of 175 billion yen, up 8% from its previous estimate, driven by stronger performance in its Agricultural...

Kumiai Chemical’s Q3 Sales Rise but Profits Hit by AXEEV Price Decline

Sep 11, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales of ¥141.4 billion, up 5% year on year, driven by higher revenues in agricultural chemicals and fine chemicals, including a ¥3.3 billion gain in domestic agrochemical sale...

Kumiai Chemical Lifts Sales but Slashes Profit Outlook as Margins Tighten

Sep 11, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry reported consolidated net sales of ¥141.4 billion for the nine months to July 31, 2026, up 5.1% year on year, but operating profit fell 26.7% to ¥7.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent dropped 36.7%...

Kumiai Chemical Industry Lifts Interim Earnings on Strong Agrochemical and Fine Chemical Sales

Jun 12, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry reported interim results for the fiscal year ending 31 October 2026 showing solid top- and bottom-line growth driven by strong performances in its Agricultural Chemicals and Fine Chemicals segments. Domestic sales of agricult...

Kumiai Chemical Industry Lifts Interim Profit and Maintains Dividend, Keeps Full-Year Outlook

Jun 12, 2026

Kumiai Chemical Industry reported consolidated net sales of ¥102.9 billion for the six months ended April 30, 2026, up 7.0% year on year, with operating profit rising 10.8% to ¥10.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumpin...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2026