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NCD Co.,Ltd. (4783) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4783

NCD Co.,Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4783)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,570.00â–²(7.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong revenue/margin trend and much lower leverage), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are constructive but tempered by being below the 200-day moving average and somewhat elevated RSI/Stoch readings.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin ExpansionStrong revenue expansion combined with a sustained step-up in gross margin indicates improved operating economics over several years. The move toward approximately 22% gross margin supports healthier operating and net margins, creating a stronger base for reinvestment and continued earnings generation.
Negative Factors
Latest Profitability SofteningEarnings declining while revenue increases suggests that incremental sales are not currently translating fully into profit growth. If this pattern persists, it could limit operating leverage and weaken the benefit of the company’s otherwise strong revenue trajectory over the next several reporting periods.

NCD Co.,Ltd. (4783) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%JP:4783-2.94%EWJ+15.69%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 19.32B
Dividend Yield
5.00%
Average Volume (3M)
16.85K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.4
Beta (1Y)
0.56
Revenue Growth
2.13%
EPS Growth
14.86%
Country
Japan
Employees
529
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

NCD Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NCD Co., Ltd., a Japanese company established in 1967 and headquartered in Tokyo, operates through three primary business divisions: system development, comprehensive support and services, and specialized parking systems. Its system development segme...

How the Company Makes Money

NCD primarily earns revenue by providing IT services to client organizations, with monetization centered on (1) engineering/service delivery fees and (2) ongoing operational support fees. Key revenue streams: 1) System development / engineering servi...

NCD Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a multi-year improvement: strong revenue expansion with structurally higher margins than earlier years and a de-risked balance sheet. Offsetting factors are slight year-over-year profitability softening in the latest year and notable cash flow volatility, which reduces visibility.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

84Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.88B30.87B30.11B25.48B22.85B20.55B
Gross Profit6.84B6.74B6.57B5.16B3.84B3.26B
EBITDA3.12B3.06B3.22B2.48B1.54B1.19B
Net Income1.88B1.86B1.91B1.39B672.45M458.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.70B16.89B16.20B14.97B12.44B11.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.44B7.84B7.57B6.11B3.91B3.93B
Total Debt1.35B1.35B1.59B2.02B2.32B2.56B
Total Liabilities8.57B8.34B8.34B8.57B7.39B7.46B
Stockholders Equity8.04B8.47B7.79B6.35B5.00B4.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.51B2.03B2.39B28.05M1.49B
Operating Cash Flow01.79B2.27B2.57B568.06M1.92B
Investing Cash Flow0-138.45M361.02M-99.51M-171.69M-48.26M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.38B-947.75M-508.50M-413.63M-779.83M

NCD Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price2401.00

Price Trends

50DMA2485.88Negative
100DMA2452.88Negative
200DMA2594.27Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-28.61Positive
RSI46.93Neutral
STOCH60.84Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4783, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2401.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2441.25, below the 50-day MA of 2485.88, and below the 200-day MA of 2594.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -28.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4783.

NCD Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4783 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2349JP:234983OutperformJPY 27.76B10.52―1.16%5.67%12.03%
JP:4396JP:439681OutperformJPY 27.12B14.52―2.43%11.87%21.49%
JP:4072JP:407281OutperformJPY 33.48B12.12―3.18%4.92%-14.52%
JP:4725JP:472579OutperformJPY 32.76B9.2410.39%5.11%3.46%6.90%
JP:4783JP:478378OutperformJPY 17.73B10.37―5.00%2.13%14.86%
JP:3393JP:339371OutperformJPY 30.97B11.08―5.06%9.16%41.23%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:4783JP:4725JP:2349JP:3393JP:4072JP:4396Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4783 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4783NCD Co.,Ltd.2401.00-27.90-1.15%
JP:4725CAC Holdings Corporation1957.00-1.72-0.09%
JP:2349Nippon Information Development Co., Ltd.2500.00273.9212.30%
JP:3393Startia Holdings,Inc.3125.00648.8226.20%
JP:4072Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd.3145.00-530.80-14.44%
JP:4396System Support, Inc.1315.00-67.58-4.89%

NCD Co.,Ltd. Corporate Events

NCD Raises Annual Dividend to ¥140 for 60th Anniversary

Nov 6, 2026

NCD Co., Ltd. resolved to pay an interim dividend of ¥60 per share for the period ended September 30, 2026, totaling ¥487 million and funded from retained earnings. The payment matches the company’s previous forecast and the interim dividend paid for...

NCD Reports Higher Interim Profit and Stronger Capital Position

Nov 6, 2026

NCD Co., Ltd. reported consolidated sales of ¥15.005 billion for the six months ended September 30, 2026, up 0.4% year over year, while operating profit rose 4.0% to ¥1.104 billion and net profit increased 2.7% to ¥722 million. Net assets improved to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026