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NCD Co.,Ltd.
(4783)
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Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,949.00
▼(-1.86% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong revenue/margin trend and much lower leverage), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are constructive but tempered by being below the 200-day moving average and somewhat elevated RSI/Stoch readings.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Expansion
Sustained revenue growth combined with structurally higher gross margins indicates stronger service delivery economics and improved operating leverage. This can support durable earnings quality if the company maintains pricing, utilization, and project execution discipline.
Negative Factors
Recent Earnings Softening
Lower earnings on higher revenue suggests emerging margin pressure, higher costs, or a less favorable project mix. If persistent, this could limit operating leverage and weaken the conversion of NCD's strong top-line expansion into bottom-line growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin Expansion
Sustained revenue growth combined with structurally higher gross margins indicates stronger service delivery economics and improved operating leverage. This can support durable earnings quality if the company maintains pricing, utilization, and project execution discipline.
Read all positive factors
NCD Co.,Ltd. (4783) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥19.59B
Dividend Yield4.54%
Average Volume (3M)46.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.5
Beta (1Y)0.57
Revenue Growth1.69%
EPS Growth4.30%
CountryJP
Employees529
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryInformation Technology Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)230.88
Shares Outstanding8,140,000
10 Day Avg. Volume51,490
30 Day Avg. Volume46,306
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-5.17
Price to Book (P/B)2.55
Price to Sales (P/S)0.70
P/FCF Ratio14.27
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)212.1
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥32.40B
NCD Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NCD Co., Ltd., a Japanese company established in 1967 and headquartered in Tokyo, operates through three primary business divisions: system development, comprehensive support and services, and specialized parking systems. Its system development se...
How the Company Makes Money
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NCD Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 30.88B | 30.87B | 30.11B | 25.48B | 22.85B | 20.55B |
| Gross Profit | 6.84B | 6.74B | 6.57B | 5.16B | 3.84B | 3.26B |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 3.06B | 3.22B | 2.48B | 1.54B | 1.19B |
| Net Income | 1.88B | 1.86B | 1.91B | 1.39B | 672.45M | 458.34M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.70B | 16.89B | 16.20B | 14.97B | 12.44B | 11.93B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 8.44B | 7.84B | 7.57B | 6.11B | 3.91B | 3.93B |
| Total Debt | 1.35B | 1.35B | 1.59B | 2.02B | 2.32B | 2.56B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.57B | 8.34B | 8.34B | 8.57B | 7.39B | 7.46B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.04B | 8.47B | 7.79B | 6.35B | 5.00B | 4.43B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.51B | 2.03B | 2.39B | 28.05M | 1.49B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.79B | 2.27B | 2.57B | 568.06M | 1.92B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -138.45M | 361.02M | -99.51M | -171.69M | -48.26M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.38B | -947.75M | -508.50M | -413.63M | -779.83M |
NCD Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
3005.00
Price Trends
2470.92
Positive
2489.48
Positive
2717.64
Negative
Market Momentum
50.19
Negative
64.53
Neutral
76.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4783, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3005 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2537.90, above the 50-day MA of 2470.92, and above the 200-day MA of 2717.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 50.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4783.
NCD Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | ¥27.88B | 11.06 | ― | 1.21% | 5.65% | 7.73% | |
78 Outperform | ¥19.59B | 11.46 | ― | 3.23% | 1.69% | 4.30% | |
78 Outperform | ¥32.94B | 10.46 | ― | 3.39% | 11.79% | 55.44% | |
75 Outperform | ¥32.91B | 9.22 | 10.38% | 4.82% | 3.46% | 6.90% | |
73 Outperform | ¥29.83B | 11.68 | ― | 3.80% | 7.10% | 31.29% | |
71 Outperform | ¥27.76B | 14.85 | ― | 2.83% | 15.42% | 27.86% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:4783
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NCD Co.,Ltd. Corporate Events
NCD Lifts Quarterly Profit on Flat Sales, Keeps Full-Year Outlook and Dividend Plan
Aug 7, 2026
NCD Co., Ltd. reported essentially flat net sales of ¥7.3 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, but delivered double-digit growth in operating profit and profit attributable to owners of parent, with basic earnings per share rising to ...
NCD to Dispose of Treasury Shares for Performance-Based Executive Stock Compensation
Jun 25, 2026
NCD Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 41,400 treasury shares on July 24, 2026, at 2,337 yen per share, for a total of about 96.75 million yen, to be allotted to four directors and five executive officers under its performance-based stock comp...
NCD Unveils “Vision 2029” Medium-Term Plan and Corrects Investment Figure
Jun 4, 2026
NCD Co., Ltd. has announced the formulation of a new three-year Medium-Term Management Plan, branded “Vision 2029,” which will run from the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027 through the fiscal year ending March 31, 2029. The company al...
NCD Launches “Vision 2029” Plan to Shift Toward High-Value IT Businesses
Jun 3, 2026
NCD Co., Ltd. has unveiled a new three-year Medium-Term Management Plan, dubbed “Vision 2029,” as the next phase toward its 2032 corporate vision of creating more value with clients and society through an engaging work environment. The...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.