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NCD Co.,Ltd. (4783) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4783

NCD Co.,Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4783)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,949.00▲(23.54% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/18/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (strong revenue/margin trend and much lower leverage), supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are constructive but tempered by being below the 200-day moving average and somewhat elevated RSI/Stoch readings.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin ExpansionSustained revenue growth combined with structurally higher gross margins indicates stronger service delivery economics and improved operating leverage. This can support durable earnings quality if the company maintains pricing, utilization, and project execution discipline.
Negative Factors
Recent Earnings SofteningLower earnings on higher revenue suggests emerging margin pressure, higher costs, or a less favorable project mix. If persistent, this could limit operating leverage and weaken the conversion of NCD's strong top-line expansion into bottom-line growth.

NCD Co.,Ltd. (4783) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%JP:4783-10.05%EWJ+17.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 18.10B
Dividend Yield
4.98%
Average Volume (3M)
15.35K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.4
Beta (1Y)
0.54
Revenue Growth
1.69%
EPS Growth
4.30%
Country
Japan
Employees
529
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

NCD Co.,Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NCD Co., Ltd., a Japanese company established in 1967 and headquartered in Tokyo, operates through three primary business divisions: system development, comprehensive support and services, and specialized parking systems. Its system development segme...

How the Company Makes Money

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NCD Co.,Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a multi-year improvement: strong revenue expansion with structurally higher margins than earlier years and a de-risked balance sheet. Offsetting factors are slight year-over-year profitability softening in the latest year and notable cash flow volatility, which reduces visibility.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

84Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.88B30.87B30.11B25.48B22.85B20.55B
Gross Profit6.84B6.74B6.57B5.16B3.84B3.26B
EBITDA3.12B3.06B3.22B2.48B1.54B1.19B
Net Income1.88B1.86B1.91B1.39B672.45M458.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.70B16.89B16.20B14.97B12.44B11.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.44B7.84B7.57B6.11B3.91B3.93B
Total Debt1.35B1.35B1.59B2.02B2.32B2.56B
Total Liabilities8.57B8.34B8.34B8.57B7.39B7.46B
Stockholders Equity8.04B8.47B7.79B6.35B5.00B4.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.51B2.03B2.39B28.05M1.49B
Operating Cash Flow01.79B2.27B2.57B568.06M1.92B
Investing Cash Flow0-138.45M361.02M-99.51M-171.69M-48.26M
Financing Cash Flow0-1.38B-947.75M-508.50M-413.63M-779.83M

NCD Co.,Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2387.00

Price Trends

50DMA2517.44Negative
100DMA2444.70Negative
200DMA2624.34Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.67Positive
RSI42.77Neutral
STOCH17.69Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4783, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2387.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2452.10, below the 50-day MA of 2517.44, and below the 200-day MA of 2624.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4783.

NCD Co.,Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:4783 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2349JP:234983OutperformJPY 27.59B10.79―1.17%5.65%7.73%
JP:4396JP:439681OutperformJPY 31.32B16.64―2.12%15.42%27.83%
JP:4072JP:407281OutperformJPY 35.53B11.20―3.04%11.79%55.44%
JP:4783JP:478378OutperformJPY 17.86B10.44―4.98%1.69%4.30%
JP:4725JP:472573OutperformJPY 33.35B9.3310.39%5.06%3.46%6.90%
JP:3393JP:339371OutperformJPY 31.07B12.12―5.04%7.10%31.29%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%JP:4783JP:4725JP:2349JP:3393JP:4072JP:4396Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4783 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4783NCD Co.,Ltd.2410.00-220.59-8.39%
JP:4725CAC Holdings Corporation1975.00-50.12-2.47%
JP:2349Nippon Information Development Co., Ltd.2484.00250.0111.19%
JP:3393Startia Holdings,Inc.3135.00542.3920.92%
JP:4072Densan System Holdings Co. Ltd.3290.00-138.81-4.05%
JP:4396System Support, Inc.1507.0046.533.19%

NCD Co.,Ltd. Corporate Events

NCD Lifts Quarterly Profit on Flat Sales, Keeps Full-Year Outlook and Dividend Plan

Aug 7, 2026

NCD Co., Ltd. reported essentially flat net sales of ¥7.3 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, but delivered double-digit growth in operating profit and profit attributable to owners of parent, with basic earnings per share rising to &#1...

NCD to Dispose of Treasury Shares for Performance-Based Executive Stock Compensation

Jun 25, 2026

NCD Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 41,400 treasury shares on July 24, 2026, at 2,337 yen per share, for a total of about 96.75 million yen, to be allotted to four directors and five executive officers under its performance-based stock compens...

NCD Unveils “Vision 2029” Medium-Term Plan and Corrects Investment Figure

Jun 4, 2026

NCD Co., Ltd. has announced the formulation of a new three-year Medium-Term Management Plan, branded “Vision 2029,” which will run from the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027 through the fiscal year ending March 31, 2029. The company also...

NCD Launches “Vision 2029” Plan to Shift Toward High-Value IT Businesses

Jun 3, 2026

NCD Co., Ltd. has unveiled a new three-year Medium-Term Management Plan, dubbed “Vision 2029,” as the next phase toward its 2032 corporate vision of creating more value with clients and society through an engaging work environment. The pl...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026