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Tose Co., Ltd. (4728) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4728

Tose Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:4728)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 705.00â–²(13.34% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/09/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial stability from a debt-free balance sheet and improved profitability, offset by a major concern around cash-flow volatility and weak cash conversion in 2026. Technicals are mildly constructive with a modest uptrend, and valuation is supportive thanks to a reasonable P/E and an attractive dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetA zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk during uneven project cycles and limits interest burdens. It also preserves flexibility to withstand weaker contracts, support operations internally, and allocate capital toward future development opportunities without relying on leverage.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversionNegative operating and free cash flow alongside strong earnings weakens confidence in the quality and durability of reported profits. If this pattern persists, project timing or working-capital demands could constrain internally funded investment and reduce financial flexibility despite the debt-free balance sheet.

Tose Co., Ltd. (4728) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%JP:4728+2.45%EWJ+14.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 4.74B
Dividend Yield
4.02%
Average Volume (3M)
7,456
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.6
Beta (1Y)
0.18
Revenue Growth
-4.82%
EPS Growth
186.71%
Country
Japan
Employees
613
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Tose Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tose Co., Ltd., established in Kyoto, Japan in 1979, is a comprehensive software developer with a broad scope. The company specializes in conceiving, creating, and managing games for diverse platforms, including home video game consoles (encompassing...

Tose Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance-sheet strength (zero debt) supports stability, and profitability rebounded meaningfully in 2025–2026 with net margin rising to ~11%. However, the weakest area is cash flow: operating and free cash flow were negative in 2026 despite strong earnings, and cash generation has shown large swings, reducing confidence in earnings quality and near-term cash durability.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.32B6.32B6.64B4.62B5.78B5.66B
Gross Profit1.43B1.43B1.79B517.67M1.56B1.40B
EBITDA396.72M364.77M796.00M-433.89M807.75M592.21M
Net Income717.45M717.45M250.00M-260.92M499.10M310.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.20B8.20B7.89B7.26B7.68B7.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.56B2.56B1.70B1.61B3.12B2.19B
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities1.38B1.38B1.73B1.18B1.12B1.11B
Stockholders Equity6.78B6.78B6.12B6.04B6.53B6.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-458.67M280.00M-1.33B1.07B601.48M
Operating Cash Flow0-218.94M332.00M-1.29B1.18B684.22M
Investing Cash Flow01.37B-51.90M196.41M-70.73M200.67M
Financing Cash Flow0-189.55M-188.00M-189.96M-189.77M-188.71M

Tose Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price622.00

Price Trends

50DMA639.97Negative
100DMA636.35Negative
200DMA631.61Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.66Negative
RSI39.09Neutral
STOCH56.25Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4728, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 622.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 627.80, below the 50-day MA of 639.97, and below the 200-day MA of 631.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4728.

Tose Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4728 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3911JP:391170OutperformJPY 11.12B9.29――-20.04%-54.97%
JP:3793JP:379368NeutralJPY 12.87B4.28――4.52%―
JP:4728JP:472867NeutralJPY 4.72B6.58―4.02%-4.82%186.71%
JP:3904JP:390456NeutralJPY 6.30B11.51―1.00%20.33%15.26%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3851JP:385145NeutralJPY 5.88B-39.64―0.42%-16.66%36.54%
JP:3903JP:390343NeutralJPY 8.09B-4.64――26.98%-143.29%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:4728JP:3793JP:3851JP:3903JP:3904JP:3911Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4728 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4728Tose Co., Ltd.622.008.141.33%
JP:3793Drecom Co., Ltd.457.002.000.44%
JP:3851Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.1182.00366.8845.01%
JP:3903gumi, Inc.148.00-262.00-63.90%
JP:3904KAYAC, Inc.390.00-89.33-18.64%
JP:3911Aiming, Inc.232.005.002.20%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026