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KAYAC, Inc. (JP:3904)
:3904
Japanese Market
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KAYAC, Inc. (3904) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3904

KAYAC, Inc.

(3904)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥432.00
▲(0.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals in 2025 (revenue and margin recovery, gross margin strength) but held back by uneven cash-flow conversion and less conservative leverage versus 2023. Technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive but capped by the stock trading below the 200-day average. Valuation is reasonable (P/E ~14) with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery
The return to double-digit revenue growth indicates that KAYAC can restore demand after a weaker period. Sustained growth would improve operating leverage and support broader monetization across its digital services and gaming-related offerings.
Negative Factors
Profitability Below Historical Peaks
The recovery in earnings is encouraging, but margins remain materially below prior strengths. This indicates that profitability is still sensitive to cost pressure or business mix, limiting the durability of earnings until operating margins normalize.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Recovery
The return to double-digit revenue growth indicates that KAYAC can restore demand after a weaker period. Sustained growth would improve operating leverage and support broader monetization across its digital services and gaming-related offerings.
Read all positive factors

KAYAC, Inc. (3904) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KAYAC, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KAYAC Inc. is a Japanese company primarily focused on the gaming industry. It manages various platforms, including Lobi, a community for gamers, and Tonamel, a system that assists organizers with managing tournaments. The company also supports esp...
How the Company Makes Money
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KAYAC, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a recovery in 2025: revenue rebounded (+12.6% YoY) and profitability improved (net margin ~3.4% vs ~0.9% in 2024). Gross margin stayed healthy (~53–54%), but operating/net margins remain well below 2020–2022 levels. Balance sheet leverage is manageable (~0.56x debt-to-equity) but less conservative than 2023, and cash-flow consistency is a key weakness given the 2024 negative OCF/FCF followed by a rebound in 2025 (FCF only ~50% of net income).
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.48B20.09B16.73B17.47B16.50B12.57B
Gross Profit11.34B10.91B9.03B9.23B7.92B5.93B
EBITDA1.55B1.42B706.92M1.37B1.46B1.36B
Net Income540.39M683.92M149.05M511.18M779.84M828.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.56B13.56B12.88B11.68B10.98B7.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.58B5.66B4.96B5.00B4.26B2.46B
Total Debt2.68B3.23B3.27B2.12B2.34B2.30B
Total Liabilities7.12B7.26B6.85B5.75B5.64B4.26B
Stockholders Equity5.93B5.80B5.56B5.46B4.86B3.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00511.52M-383.94M977.46M1.51B383.54M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.04B-219.66M1.12B1.77B489.66M
Investing Cash Flow0.0099.28M-949.59M-351.90M-691.48M13.41M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-588.14M926.49M-37.96M713.82M-572.15M

KAYAC, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price428.00
Price Trends
50DMA
418.98
Positive
100DMA
413.86
Positive
200DMA
454.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.46
Positive
RSI
47.68
Neutral
STOCH
25.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3904, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 428 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 429.00, above the 50-day MA of 418.98, and below the 200-day MA of 454.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3904.

KAYAC, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥7.33B15.4917.78%4.33%2.92%-28.21%
69
Neutral
¥4.93B14.953.88%5.77%41.35%
68
Neutral
¥14.96B6.201.00%16.24%
61
Neutral
¥8.13B12.590.51%-23.76%-54.87%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
¥6.81B12.240.93%20.33%15.26%
50
Neutral
¥15.86B-34.86-1.75%-617.20%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3904
KAYAC, Inc.
420.00
-44.44
-9.57%
JP:3912
Mobile Factory
1,131.00
176.00
18.43%
JP:3793
Drecom Co., Ltd.
502.00
26.00
5.46%
JP:3911
Aiming, Inc.
173.00
-95.00
-35.45%
JP:4175
coly Inc.
2,820.00
884.00
45.66%
JP:4728
Tose Co., Ltd.
644.00
-14.12
-2.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026