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ROUND ONE Corporation (JP:4680)
:4680
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ROUND ONE (4680) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4680

ROUND ONE

(4680)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,397.00
▲(5.87% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/26/26
The score is driven primarily by solid recent operating performance and positive cash generation, tempered by elevated leverage and softening free-cash-flow trends. Technical indicators are currently weak (below short-term averages with negative MACD), while valuation appears fair with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Recovery
Strong revenue expansion and restored profitability indicate that ROUND ONE’s venue model has regained operating traction after the pressured 2021–2022 period. Healthy operating and net margins provide a durable earnings base and can support reinvestment across its entertainment facilities.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Debt exceeding twice equity leaves ROUND ONE more exposed to downturns in discretionary leisure spending and to refinancing or interest-rate pressure. Higher leverage can also restrict financial flexibility when the company needs to maintain or expand its venues.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin Recovery
Strong revenue expansion and restored profitability indicate that ROUND ONE’s venue model has regained operating traction after the pressured 2021–2022 period. Healthy operating and net margins provide a durable earnings base and can support reinvestment across its entertainment facilities.
Read all positive factors

ROUND ONE (4680) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

ROUND ONE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Round One Corporation is a Japanese company that manages a variety of indoor entertainment centers. Their facilities provide a wide array of leisure activities such as bowling, arcade games, karaoke, and other sports-related recreation. Establishe...
How the Company Makes Money
ROUND ONE primarily makes money by operating entertainment venues and collecting customer spending across in-store attractions and related services. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Amusement/arcade revenue, where customers pay to play c...

ROUND ONE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth through 2026 and a meaningful profitability recovery (healthy operating and net margins) support the score. Offsetting this, leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~2.3x with rising total debt) and free cash flow has declined from 2024–2026 with weaker conversion in 2026, increasing risk in a cyclical leisure business.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue197.44B189.55B177.06B159.18B142.05B96.42B
Gross Profit41.70B39.75B34.74B30.60B21.36B2.02B
EBITDA74.11B73.23B70.45B65.34B35.68B21.55B
Net Income16.58B16.62B15.40B14.66B9.74B3.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets328.32B309.89B293.95B272.83B183.24B160.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.18B54.95B51.15B36.46B29.11B46.32B
Total Debt203.24B187.99B157.22B141.25B99.41B74.61B
Total Liabilities242.52B227.25B227.06B207.17B122.06B105.92B
Stockholders Equity85.79B82.64B66.88B65.66B61.18B54.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0029.99B42.60B47.40B24.00B21.05B
Operating Cash Flow0.0060.46B63.95B62.89B35.83B28.30B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-31.25B-23.99B-15.39B-11.91B-8.47B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-26.15B-25.09B-41.05B-42.11B-19.30B

ROUND ONE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1319.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1276.67
Negative
100DMA
1220.89
Positive
200DMA
1087.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.84
Positive
RSI
41.43
Neutral
STOCH
11.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4680, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1319.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1302.88, above the 50-day MA of 1276.67, and above the 200-day MA of 1087.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4680.

ROUND ONE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥3.82T26.0417.83%1.26%9.12%16.20%
75
Outperform
¥174.95B11.57―4.33%4.38%-13.98%
74
Outperform
¥5.20T38.3312.16%0.50%5.56%6.84%
62
Neutral
¥356.83B19.5520.75%1.46%――
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
¥116.10B38.21―0.65%47.16%21.05%
45
Neutral
¥52.60B17.02―0.94%10.11%―
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4680
ROUND ONE
1,280.00
188.51
17.27%
JP:7832
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
6,211.00
1,490.04
31.56%
JP:4661
Oriental Land Co
3,438.00
335.78
10.82%
JP:4343
AEON Fantasy Co., Ltd.
2,704.00
-60.11
-2.17%
JP:7458
Daiichikosho Co., Ltd.
1,728.00
215.18
14.22%
JP:9166
GENDA Inc.
604.00
-130.96
-17.82%

ROUND ONE Corporate Events

Round One Posts Double-Digit Sales Growth Across Japan Entertainment Centers
Oct 8, 2026
Round One reported strong domestic sales growth in September 2026, with total sales in Japan rising 38.6% year on year at all stores and 21.8% for the fiscal first half. Amusement led the expansion with a 53.2% September increase and a 29.3% gain ...
Round One Posts Double-Digit Sales Growth Across Japanese Entertainment Segments in August
Sep 4, 2026
Round One Corporation reported strong August 2026 sales in Japan, with total revenue rising 21.7 percent year on year at all stores and 18.7 percent for the fiscal year to date. Growth was broad-based across its entertainment offerings, driven par...
ROUND ONE Expands with Yokosuka Opening and Shifts to IFRS Reporting
Aug 10, 2026
ROUND ONE Corporation has opened a new Saikaya Yokosuka entertainment facility in Yokosuka, Kanagawa, as of May 28, 2026, expanding its leisure footprint ahead of its FY2027.3 reporting period. The opening underscores the company’s continuin...
ROUND ONE lifts quarterly revenue and profit while keeping dividend and outlook steady
Aug 10, 2026
ROUND ONE Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥27.45 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, an 8.0% year-on-year increase, with operating profit rising 9.9% to ¥4.266 billion and EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA also improv...
Round One Reports Double-Digit Sales Growth Across Japan Entertainment Business in July
Aug 6, 2026
Round One Corporation, a leading Japanese operator of bowling alleys, amusement arcades, karaoke facilities, and Spo-cha sports entertainment centers, reported robust year-on-year sales growth in July 2026 across its domestic portfolio. The compan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026