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Sosei Group Corporation (JP:4565)
:4565
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Sosei Group (4565) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4565

Sosei Group

(OTC:4565)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥899.00
▼(-12.12% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. Technical analysis provides some positive momentum, but valuation concerns due to negative earnings weigh heavily on the score.

Sosei Group (4565) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sosei Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNxera Pharma Co., Ltd. develops and sells biopharmaceutical products in Japan, Switzerland, the United States, Bermuda, and the United Kingdom. Its product portfolio products include Ultibro/Breezhaler and Seebri/Breezhaler for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; Enerzair and Breezhaler for the treatment of asthma; ORAVI, a novel formulation for the treatment of oropharyngeal candidiasis; and PIVLAZ for the treatment of cerebral vasospasm indications. The company's development products pipeline consists of HTL0039732 for immuno-oncology indications; HTL0048149 for schizophrenia disorders; Daridorexant for the treatment of insomnia; HTL0016878 for schizophrenia and other neuropsychiatric disorders; PF-07081532 for Type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity; PF-07054894 for inflammatory bowel disease; PF-07258669 for anorexia; PF-06954522 for metabolic diseases; NBI-1117569 for neurology diseases; and NBI-1117570 for central nervous system (CNS) disorders. It is also involved in the development of GPR35 agonist, for inflammatory bowel disease/GI disorders, which is in preclinical stage; and other discovery and preclinical stage drugs. Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. has a strategic collaboration with AbbVie, Biohaven, Genentech Inc., GSK, Pfizer Inc., Neurocrine Biosciences Inc., Novartis International AG, and Verily. Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySosei Group generates revenue through a combination of research and development collaborations, milestone payments, and royalties from its partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies. The company engages in strategic alliances where it licenses its proprietary GPCR technology to partners who further develop and commercialize the resulting drug candidates. These partnerships typically involve upfront payments, research funding, and success-based milestone payments upon achieving specific developmental or commercial objectives. Additionally, Sosei Group earns royalties on sales of products developed using its technology, providing a recurring revenue stream. The company's financial performance is significantly influenced by the progress and success of its partnered programs, as well as the expansion of its proprietary drug pipeline.

Sosei Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and strategic partnerships, contributing to an improved core operating profit. However, concerns remain regarding operating losses and increasing expenses, which could affect future financial performance.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue for the first half of FY 2024 was JPY 12.7 billion, compared to JPY 2.1 billion in the same period last year, driven by new partnerships and milestone revenues.
Core Operating Profit Turnaround
Core operating profit was JPY 1.1 billion, a significant improvement from a loss of JPY 2.7 billion in the same period last year.
Strong PIVLAZ Sales
PIVLAZ achieved JPY 6.5 billion in sales in the first half, with a target to exceed JPY 16 billion in NHI sales for the year.
Strategic Partnerships and Milestones
Entered an exclusive option to license agreement with Boehringer Ingelheim and received milestone payments from Neurocrine and AbbVie.
Robust R&D Pipeline
Nine active clinical programs in collaboration with strategic partners, including significant progress in muscarinic agonist programs.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss on IFRS Basis
Operating loss on IFRS basis was JPY 3.6 billion, albeit an improvement from last year's JPY 4.1 billion loss.
Impact of Non-Cash Costs
JPY 1.6 billion non-cash cost of sales charge related to PIVLAZ inventory affected operating profit.
R&D and SG&A Expense Concerns
SG&A and R&D expenses are expected to increase in the second half, potentially impacting financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call for company 4565.T, several key financial metrics and strategic goals were discussed. Revenue for the first half of FY 2024 was reported at JPY 12.7 billion, a significant increase from JPY 2.1 billion year-over-year. Core operating profit reached JPY 1.1 billion, rebounding from a previous loss of JPY 2.7 billion, primarily due to new partnerships and milestone revenues from collaborations with companies like Boehringer, Neurocrine, Centessa, and AbbVie. However, the operating profit on an IFRS basis showed a loss of JPY 3.6 billion, slightly improved from last year's loss of JPY 4.1 billion. The company continues to have a robust cash position with cash and cash equivalents totaling JPY 50.9 billion as of June. Additionally, they maintain their full-year guidance, emphasizing continued investment in R&D and the commercialization of key products like PIVLAZ and daridorexant in Japan and South Korea. The strategic goals for 2024 include achieving JPY 16 billion in PIVLAZ sales, obtaining Japanese NDA approval for daridorexant, and advancing their R&D pipeline to include more Phase Ib trials.

Sosei Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sosei Group shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is moderately stable, but negative returns on equity and cash flow issues indicate financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While there is a positive revenue growth trend in the TTM, the company is struggling with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin remains relatively strong, but the consistent net losses are a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is close to 1, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, which is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges. The company has negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, although there is a notable improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, which is positive, but the overall cash flow situation remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.21B28.84B12.77B15.57B17.71B8.84B
Gross Profit22.62B21.22B9.66B14.64B16.78B8.08B
EBITDA442.00M105.00M-5.71B3.57B2.19B3.19B
Net Income-3.27B-4.84B-7.19B382.00M1.02B1.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets144.69B151.50B157.20B99.42B96.98B76.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.00B36.20B49.06B66.56B60.17B40.01B
Total Debt64.72B67.90B73.97B29.73B29.27B16.62B
Total Liabilities78.83B82.98B90.39B41.48B39.52B24.08B
Stockholders Equity65.86B68.52B66.81B57.94B57.47B52.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.42B-8.24B-6.12B9.65B6.89B4.57B
Operating Cash Flow-8.80B-7.72B-5.27B9.95B7.09B4.67B
Investing Cash Flow-1.68B-4.76B-63.79B1.04B278.00M-150.00M
Financing Cash Flow-6.71B-6.85B48.33B-4.89B11.12B20.28B

Sosei Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1023.00
Price Trends
50DMA
925.02
Positive
100DMA
903.64
Positive
200DMA
925.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.84
Negative
RSI
61.44
Neutral
STOCH
64.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4565, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1023 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 969.65, above the 50-day MA of 925.02, and above the 200-day MA of 925.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4565.

Sosei Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
114.76B198.890.53%1.78%6.98%406.15%
58
Neutral
20.67B-72.130.00%6.33%-250.29%
49
Neutral
¥92.58B-5.01%33.71%68.32%
46
Neutral
68.21B-9.66-476.97%-78.54%10.23%
42
Neutral
143.19B-905.64-0.76%2.04%-102.04%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4565
Sosei Group
1,023.00
-290.00
-22.09%
DE:3G6
GNI Group
14.40
-2.80
-16.28%
JP:4593
Healios KK
591.00
334.00
129.96%
JP:4974
Takara Bio Inc.
953.00
-48.96
-4.89%
JP:7774
Japan Tissue Engineering Co., Ltd.
509.00
-11.00
-2.12%

Sosei Group Corporate Events

Nxera Pharma Reports Strong First Half 2025 Results and Strategic Advances
Aug 8, 2025

Nxera Pharma reported increased revenues in the first half of 2025, driven by sales of PIVLAZ® and QUVIVIQ® in Japan and progress in partnered programs. The company achieved significant milestones, including a Phase 3 trial for NBI-‘568 and the launch of a proprietary pipeline targeting obesity and metabolic disorders. Financially, Nxera saw a rise in revenue and R&D expenses, while operating losses decreased, indicating strategic investments in their pipeline and collaborations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Unveils New Obesity Treatment Pipeline
Aug 5, 2025

Nxera Pharma has launched a new pipeline targeting obesity and chronic weight management, led by a proprietary oral GLP-1 agonist and six additional programs targeting GIP, Amylin, and Apelin receptors. This initiative aims to transform the treatment landscape for obesity and associated metabolic disorders, addressing long-term weight management and co-morbid conditions. The pipeline leverages Nxera’s NxWave™ platform to develop highly differentiated drug candidates, positioning the company as a leader in next-generation obesity therapies. The announcement follows Pfizer’s discontinuation of a related GLP-1 agonist, with Nxera planning discussions for potential opportunities with Pfizer.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Secures $4.8 Million Milestone Payment from Centessa
Jul 3, 2025

Nxera Pharma announced it will receive US$4.8 million in milestone payments from Centessa Pharmaceuticals following the initiation of clinical development for ORX142, a novel orexin receptor 2 agonist. This development marks a significant step in the treatment of neurological and neurodegenerative disorders, with the revenue from these milestones recognized in the second and third quarters of 2025. The collaboration underscores Nxera’s strategic partnerships and its impact on advancing treatments in high-growth medical areas.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025