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Makuake, Inc. (4479) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4479

Makuake, Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4479)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,011.00â–²(14.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The overall score is driven primarily by Makuake's excellent financial health, marked by a successful turnaround to profitable, debt-free growth. This strength is partially offset by weak technical momentum, as the stock trades below key moving averages with negative MACD, indicating near-term price pressure. The valuation is fair but not compelling, contributing a neutral impact.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe company is showing renewed top-line momentum, supported by revenue growth of approximately 29.9%. For a platform connecting creators, businesses, and consumers, stronger demand can expand project activity and improve operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings VolatilityThe sharp swing from losses in 2022–2024 to positive margins in 2026 shows that earnings have not yet demonstrated consistent stability across cycles. Such volatility can make future profitability less predictable and raises uncertainty about how durable the recent recovery will be.

Makuake, Inc. (4479) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%JP:4479+22.98%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 11.26B
Dividend Yield
1.59%
Average Volume (3M)
63.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.1
Beta (1Y)
0.53
Revenue Growth
29.86%
EPS Growth
96.05%
Country
Japan
Employees
152
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Software - Application

Makuake, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Makuake, Inc. operates the Makuake crowdfunding platform in Japan. It also operates Makuake, which is a support purchasing service for items and experiences; Makuake incubation studio, which supports new business development and practical human resou...

Makuake, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Makuake demonstrates a strong financial turnaround with accelerating revenue growth and a swing to robust profitability. The balance sheet is a fortress with zero debt and growing equity, while cash flow generation has improved dramatically, with free cash flow nearly covering net income. Minor concerns include a slight erosion in gross margins and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2026Sep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.62B5.94B4.58B3.65B3.81B4.21B
Gross Profit4.11B4.29B3.44B2.78B3.06B3.36B
EBITDA1.05B1.09B625.03M56.21M-453.61M-151.33M
Net Income705.38M798.76M407.26M-103.60M-491.08M-1.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.04B8.79B7.45B6.65B7.96B8.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.63B7.23B5.97B5.06B6.41B7.32B
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities2.94B2.57B2.03B1.63B2.85B2.68B
Stockholders Equity6.10B6.22B5.42B5.01B5.11B5.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow971.17M1.30B971.17M-1.10B-921.82M-1.34B
Operating Cash Flow985.08M1.30B985.08M-1.09B-339.22M-827.32M
Investing Cash Flow-81.42M-45.17M-81.42M-276.71M-582.12M-475.79M
Financing Cash Flow4.50M4.12M4.50M18.51M14.01M33.66M

Makuake, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price883.00

Price Trends

50DMA947.48Negative
100DMA911.86Negative
200DMA944.04Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-12.82Positive
RSI40.90Neutral
STOCH21.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4479, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 883.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 944.95, below the 50-day MA of 947.48, and below the 200-day MA of 944.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4479.

Makuake, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

JP:4479 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4310JP:431076OutperformJPY 20.93B18.33―8.45%23.66%16.93%
JP:2998JP:299870OutperformJPY 15.09B8.46―1.91%-7.78%55.36%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
JP:4479JP:447967NeutralJPY 11.27B14.10―1.59%29.86%96.05%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%JP:4479JP:2998JP:3266JP:4310Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4479 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4479Makuake, Inc.883.00165.0022.98%
JP:2998CREAL Inc.418.00-569.15-57.66%
JP:3266Fund Creation Group Co., Ltd.76.00-14.94-16.43%
JP:4310Dream Incubator Inc.2213.00-227.55-9.32%

Makuake, Inc. Corporate Events

Makuake Doubles Profit and Introduces Dividend as Revenue Climbs

Oct 27, 2026

Makuake, Inc. reported strong financial results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 29.9% year-on-year to ¥5,944 million and operating profit nearly doubling to ¥881 million. Profit surged 96.1% to ¥798...

Makuake Launches First Dividend and Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

Oct 27, 2026

Makuake, Inc. has declared its first-ever year-end dividend following two consecutive profitable fiscal years and the generation of stable free cash flow, signaling a shift from solely strengthening retained earnings toward a balanced policy of growt...

Makuake Reshapes Co-Representative Leadership to Drive Sustainable Growth

Oct 9, 2026

Makuake, Inc. has announced changes to its representative director positions, maintaining a co-representative structure while reshaping roles to better align with its growth strategy. The board resolved that current Representative Director Fumiaki Ki...

Makuake Raises Full-Year Earnings Outlook on Strong Platform and Ancillary Service Growth

Sep 1, 2026

Makuake revised its full-year forecasts for the fiscal year ending September 2026, projecting net sales of ¥5.85 billion, up 8.3% from prior guidance, and operating profit of ¥860 million, above the previous range. The company expects ordin...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026