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Makuake, Inc. (4479) AI Stock Analysis
Makuake, Inc.
(TSE/TYO:4479)
The score is driven primarily by strengthening financial performance—profitability and free cash flow have rebounded and the company maintains a debt-free, conservative balance sheet. This is tempered by weaker near-term technical signals (below short-term moving averages with negative MACD) and a reasonable, but not clearly cheap, valuation based on the provided P/E.
Makuake, Inc. (4479) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
- Market Cap
- JPY 11.26B
- Dividend Yield
- 1.59%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 63.22K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 14.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.53
- Revenue Growth
- 29.86%
- EPS Growth
- 96.05%
- Country
- Japan
- Employees
- 152
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Software - Application
Makuake, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Makuake, Inc. operates the Makuake crowdfunding platform in Japan. It also operates Makuake, which is a support purchasing service for items and experiences; Makuake incubation studio, which supports new business development and practical human resou...
Makuake, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financials are improving meaningfully: profitability rebounded in 2025–2026 (2026 net margin ~13.4%, EBIT margin ~14.8%) and cash generation turned strongly positive with 2026 free cash flow ~¥1.30B and ~99% cash conversion versus net income. The balance sheet is a major strength with zero debt and growing equity (~¥5.0B to ~¥6.2B). Offsetting factors are the prior multi-year volatility (losses and negative cash flow in 2022–2024) and some gross margin slippage versus earlier peaks.
Income Statement
76PositiveBalance Sheet
88Very PositiveCash Flow
79Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2026 | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.62B | 5.94B | 4.58B | 3.65B | 3.81B | 4.21B |
| Gross Profit | 4.11B | 4.29B | 3.44B | 2.78B | 3.06B | 3.36B |
| EBITDA | 1.05B | 1.09B | 625.03M | 56.21M | -453.61M | -151.33M |
| Net Income | 705.38M | 798.76M | 407.26M | -103.60M | -491.08M | -1.35B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 9.04B | 8.79B | 7.45B | 6.65B | 7.96B | 8.26B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.63B | 7.23B | 5.97B | 5.06B | 6.41B | 7.32B |
| Total Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total Liabilities | 2.94B | 2.57B | 2.03B | 1.63B | 2.85B | 2.68B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.10B | 6.22B | 5.42B | 5.01B | 5.11B | 5.58B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 971.17M | 1.30B | 971.17M | -1.10B | -921.82M | -1.34B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 985.08M | 1.30B | 985.08M | -1.09B | -339.22M | -827.32M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -81.42M | -45.17M | -81.42M | -276.71M | -582.12M | -475.79M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 4.50M | 4.12M | 4.50M | 18.51M | 14.01M | 33.66M |
Makuake, Inc. Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4479, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 883.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 944.95, below the 50-day MA of 947.48, and below the 200-day MA of 944.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -12.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4479.
Makuake, Inc. Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
JP:431076Outperform- JP:447973Outperform
JP:299870Outperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:4310 | 76Outperform | JPY 20.93B | 18.33 | ― | 8.45% | 23.66% | 16.93% |
| JP:4479 | 73Outperform | JPY 11.27B | 14.10 | ― | 1.59% | 29.86% | 96.05% |
| JP:2998 | 70Outperform | JPY 15.09B | 8.46 | ― | 1.91% | -7.78% | 55.36% |
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP:4479 | Makuake, Inc. | 883.00 | 165.00 | 22.98% | |
| JP:2998 | CREAL Inc. | 418.00 | -569.15 | -57.66% | |
| JP:3266 | Fund Creation Group Co., Ltd. | 76.00 | -14.94 | -16.43% | |
| JP:4310 | Dream Incubator Inc. | 2213.00 | -227.55 | -9.32% |
Makuake, Inc. Corporate Events
Makuake Doubles Profit and Introduces Dividend as Revenue Climbs
Makuake, Inc. reported strong financial results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2026, with net sales rising 29.9% year-on-year to ¥5,944 million and operating profit nearly doubling to ¥881 million. Profit surged 96.1% to ¥798...
Makuake Launches First Dividend and Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency
Makuake, Inc. has declared its first-ever year-end dividend following two consecutive profitable fiscal years and the generation of stable free cash flow, signaling a shift from solely strengthening retained earnings toward a balanced policy of growt...
Makuake Reshapes Co-Representative Leadership to Drive Sustainable Growth
Makuake, Inc. has announced changes to its representative director positions, maintaining a co-representative structure while reshaping roles to better align with its growth strategy. The board resolved that current Representative Director Fumiaki Ki...
Makuake Raises Full-Year Earnings Outlook on Strong Platform and Ancillary Service Growth
Makuake revised its full-year forecasts for the fiscal year ending September 2026, projecting net sales of ¥5.85 billion, up 8.3% from prior guidance, and operating profit of ¥860 million, above the previous range. The company expects ordin...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026