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giftee, Inc.
(4449)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,208.00
▼(-3.82% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/05/26
The score is supported by the 2025 financial rebound (growth, improved margins, and sharply better cash generation), but is held back by elevated leverage and a history of profit/cash-flow volatility. Technicals further pressure the score as the stock is in a clear downtrend versus key moving averages with negative momentum, and valuation remains high given a ~39.8 P/E and modest ~1.28% yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth acceleration
giftee's revenue acceleration in 2025 (+15.9% after a flat 2024) signals improving product adoption and commercial traction across consumer and corporate use cases. Sustained top‑line growth supports scale advantages, funds reinvestment, and underpins longer‑term margin and cash‑flow gains over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage rising to a debt-to-equity of ~1.73 reduces financial flexibility and increases interest‑rate and refinancing exposure. Elevated debt limits capacity to absorb shocks, constrains strategic optionality (M&A, marketing spend), and magnifies downside risk if revenue or cash flows weaken again.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth acceleration
giftee's revenue acceleration in 2025 (+15.9% after a flat 2024) signals improving product adoption and commercial traction across consumer and corporate use cases. Sustained top‑line growth supports scale advantages, funds reinvestment, and underpins longer‑term margin and cash‑flow gains over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors
giftee, Inc. (4449) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥29.69B
Dividend Yield0.82%
Average Volume (3M)363.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)41.9
Beta (1Y)0.58
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryJP
Employees585
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-6.38
Shares Outstanding29,841,402
10 Day Avg. Volume266,360
30 Day Avg. Volume363,140
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.14
Price to Book (P/B)4.08
Price to Sales (P/S)2.64
P/FCF Ratio3.41
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)72.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥16.58B
giftee, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, giftee Inc. was founded in 2010. The company facilitates the delivery of electronic gifts using popular communication channels such as LINE and email....
How the Company Makes Money
null...
giftee, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.20B | 14.15B | 9.55B | 7.23B | 4.72B | 3.73B |
| Gross Profit | 9.01B | 10.43B | 7.18B | 5.87B | 3.97B | 3.17B |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 3.07B | 567.00M | 933.00M | 453.00M | 514.56M |
| Net Income | -190.00M | 936.00M | -510.00M | 128.00M | 10.00M | 150.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 40.85B | 44.71B | 41.19B | 22.16B | 19.77B | 18.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 17.99B | 16.93B | 10.98B | 5.10B | 9.98B | 11.03B |
| Total Debt | 16.71B | 15.81B | 19.16B | 8.16B | 8.28B | 8.37B |
| Total Liabilities | 32.13B | 35.43B | 32.90B | 13.86B | 11.67B | 11.16B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.68B | 9.15B | 8.26B | 8.30B | 8.09B | 7.78B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 10.95B | -3.60B | -3.74B | 423.00M | 133.69M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 11.09B | -3.59B | -3.73B | 424.00M | 313.86M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.49B | -1.53B | -1.05B | -1.37B | -3.52B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -3.64B | 11.00B | -102.00M | -72.00M | 10.97B |
giftee, Inc. Technical Analysis
Negative
1256.00
Price Trends
1104.82
Negative
1101.30
Negative
1139.48
Negative
Market Momentum
-34.63
Positive
35.86
Neutral
5.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4449, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1256 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1058.75, above the 50-day MA of 1104.82, and above the 200-day MA of 1139.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -34.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4449.
giftee, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | ¥87.01B | 17.17 | 30.38% | 2.74% | 7.66% | 21.79% | |
66 Neutral | ¥276.12B | 14.11 | 11.17% | 2.61% | 5.12% | 12.69% | |
62 Neutral | ¥92.33B | 8.05 | 6.96% | 2.98% | 3.43% | 31.33% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | ¥29.69B | 41.91 | ― | 0.82% | ― | ― | |
53 Neutral | ¥1.38B | 50.12 | ― | ― | 1.12% | -73.31% | |
46 Neutral | ¥1.62T | -13.07 | -21.14% | ― | 10.70% | 36.82% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:4449
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giftee, Inc. Corporate Events
Giftee Takes 19% Stake in Kyash to Bolster Benefit Disbursement Platform
May 22, 2026
Giftee Inc. has agreed a capital and business alliance with Kyash Inc., a Tokyo-based fund transfer and prepaid payment services provider, to strengthen its capabilities in corporate and municipal benefit disbursement. By integrating Kyash’s...
Giftee Posts Softer Q1 Profits but Sticks to Strong 2026 Outlook and Higher Dividend
May 13, 2026
Giftee reported consolidated net sales of ¥3.72 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2026, up 0.8% year on year, but saw profitability weaken, with EBITDA down 16.1% and profit attributable to owners falling 39.5%. Management cited no...
Giftee Secures New ¥8 Billion Overdraft Lines to Bolster Liquidity
Apr 17, 2026
Giftee Inc. has arranged new overdraft agreements with Mizuho Bank and MUFG Bank totaling a maximum of 8.0 billion yen, separate from its existing credit facilities. The unsecured, floating-rate lines run from April 23 to October 31, 2026, and are...
Giftee Says Middle East Turmoil Has Minimal Direct Impact but Warns of Indirect Risks
Apr 13, 2026
Giftee Inc. said the ongoing turmoil in the Middle East has so far had an immaterial direct impact on its operations and earnings, despite its significant presence in the MENA region through subsidiary YOUGotaGift.com Ltd. The company confirmed th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.