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gooddays holdings,Inc. (4437) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4437

gooddays holdings,Inc.

(TSE/TYO:4437)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:JPY 572.00â–²(9.58% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

The overall score is anchored by the company's highly attractive valuation and rapid earnings growth, which are partially offset by severe technical weakness and near-term liquidity constraints. The exceptionally low P/E ratio of 5.6x presents a compelling value proposition given the surging net income. However, investors must weigh these fundamental strengths against heavily negative free cash flow driven by debt-fueled expansion and a deeply entrenched technical downtrend.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRapidly accelerating revenue indicates stronger scale and market traction, giving the company a broader base over which to spread operating costs. If this pace remains durable, it can support continued investment, reinforce competitive positioning, and sustain earnings expansion.
Negative Factors
Margin CompressionFalling gross and net margins show that revenue growth is not converting into profitability at the earlier rate. Persistent compression could limit operating leverage, reduce the cash available for investment, and make future earnings more sensitive to cost pressures.

gooddays holdings,Inc. (4437) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%JP:4437-13.22%EWJ+16.06%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 3.95B
Dividend Yield
0.96%
Average Volume (3M)
9,008
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.6
Beta (1Y)
0.28
Revenue Growth
33.65%
EPS Growth
122.78%
Country
Japan
Employees
358
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

gooddays holdings,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 2016, gooddays holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. The company specializes in the rental of residential properties throughout Japan and additionally offers a range of information technology services.

gooddays holdings,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company boasts exceptional top- and bottom-line growth alongside a robust return on equity. However, aggressive asset expansion has led to heavily negative free cash flow and a significant spike in debt, creating notable near-term liquidity pressure.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.80B11.51B8.81B7.45B6.39B6.11B
Gross Profit2.82B2.67B2.21B2.06B1.92B1.82B
EBITDA1.25B1.13B637.69M545.81M591.59M485.75M
Net Income638.77M607.17M337.71M300.70M359.10M291.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.23B8.73B5.53B5.05B3.90B3.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.73B1.52B1.57B1.08B1.49B1.44B
Total Debt2.69B2.30B500.00M500.00M198.00M248.00M
Total Liabilities4.54B5.11B2.50B2.34B1.48B1.41B
Stockholders Equity3.69B3.62B3.02B2.71B2.42B2.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-1.62B416.21M-553.03M150.38M450.32M
Operating Cash Flow0254.67M638.29M36.36M624.33M507.82M
Investing Cash Flow0-2.08B-146.81M-748.96M-519.71M-44.02M
Financing Cash Flow01.77B-2.57M296.77M-50.00M-33.40M

gooddays holdings,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price522.00

Price Trends

50DMA700.66Negative
100DMA752.43Negative
200DMA809.91Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-35.12Positive
RSI17.47Positive
STOCH22.15Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4437, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 522.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 654.35, below the 50-day MA of 700.66, and below the 200-day MA of 809.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -35.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 17.47 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4437.

gooddays holdings,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

JP:4437 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:4262JP:426274OutperformJPY 8.38B12.52―4.90%3.21%-7.58%
JP:2970JP:297069NeutralJPY 19.39B14.63――15.52%-9.44%
JP:4437JP:443769NeutralJPY 4.71B5.61―0.96%33.65%122.78%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
JP:2991JP:299159NeutralJPY 11.53B4.83―2.32%14.54%-0.80%
JP:5527JP:552756NeutralJPY 10.88B9.67―2.85%5.13%-18.74%
JP:5532JP:553251NeutralJPY 21.78B26.31――11.09%27.53%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%JP:4437JP:2970JP:2991JP:4262JP:5527JP:5532Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:4437 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4437gooddays holdings,Inc.522.00-75.57-12.65%
JP:2970GOOD LIFE COMPANY,INC.1106.00170.0018.16%
JP:2991LANDNET, Inc.478.00-192.61-28.72%
JP:4262NIFTY Lifestyle Co.,Ltd.1307.0034.632.72%
JP:5527property technologies, Inc.876.00120.3115.92%
JP:5532REALGATE INC.3300.00555.0020.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026