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CINC Corp. (4378) AI Stock Analysis

JP:4378

CINC Corp.

(TSE/TYO:4378)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:JPY 392.00â–¼(-6.44% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/16/26

The overall score is very low, driven primarily by deteriorating financial performance. The company is unprofitable, generating negative cash flow, and revenue is declining. Technical trends confirm persistent selling pressure with the stock trading below all major moving averages. The debt-free balance sheet is the sole mitigating factor, preventing a minimum score.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe 32.1% revenue increase shows strong demand or improved commercial execution during 2025. Sustained top-line expansion can broaden the company’s market position and create operating leverage, provided management can convert growth into durable earnings and cash generation.
Negative Factors
Profitability DeteriorationThe shift from positive earnings to negative net, EBIT, and EBITDA results is a material deterioration in earnings quality. Unless operating costs are brought back under control, strong revenue growth may not translate into shareholder returns or internally funded expansion.

CINC Corp. (4378) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%JP:4378-19.19%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 1.23B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
13.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-121.9
Beta (1Y)
-0.02
Revenue Growth
-9.31%
EPS Growth
91.71%
Country
Japan
Employees
114
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Specialty Business Services

CINC Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CINC Corp., a data solution company that researches and develops machine learning and artificial intelligence technologies. The company offers a SaaS tool that provides accurate data analysis solutions using natural language processing technology. It...

CINC Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak. The Income Statement (Score: 25) shows declining revenue and a net loss, while Cash Flow (Score: 25) has turned negative, indicating liquidity pressure. The Balance Sheet (Score: 65) is a relative strength with no debt, but declining equity tempers the overall view.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.71B1.82B1.99B1.95B1.81B1.31B
Gross Profit1.04B1.15B1.31B1.36B1.31B912.39M
EBITDA67.79M-55.04M119.01M69.19M337.87M222.15M
Net Income-8.94M-152.59M51.92M5.26M201.39M129.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.39B1.92B1.85B2.03B1.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments871.31M847.80M1.35B1.28B1.52B1.60B
Total Debt0016.68M71.61M151.62M244.44M
Total Liabilities315.32M334.70M407.32M365.10M527.64M595.46M
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.06B1.51B1.48B1.50B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-142.42M-142.42M204.65M-75.93M185.24M283.76M
Operating Cash Flow-141.19M-141.19M205.42M-17.02M185.50M289.83M
Investing Cash Flow-40.18M-40.18M-56.42M-127.91M-174.81M-26.13M
Financing Cash Flow-323.28M-323.28M-74.26M-100.87M-91.06M811.06M

CINC Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price419.00

Price Trends

50DMA479.70Negative
100DMA521.12Negative
200DMA497.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-16.47Positive
RSI27.66Positive
STOCH7.38Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4378, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 419.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 442.95, below the 50-day MA of 479.70, and below the 200-day MA of 497.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -16.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.66 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4378.

CINC Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:4378 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:3993JP:399375OutperformJPY 112.73B42.607.39%0.28%73.78%-16.12%
JP:4180JP:418066NeutralJPY 148.65B43.84―0.16%28.35%8.72%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:3914JP:391454NeutralJPY 15.32B29.50――12.91%40.67%
JP:9417JP:941748NeutralJPY 3.23B-3.51―3.24%34.44%-199.42%
JP:3680JP:368046NeutralJPY 3.00B-1.79―3.19%3.59%-65.47%
JP:4378JP:437838UnderperformJPY 1.23B-121.93――-9.31%91.71%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%JP:4378JP:3993JP:3680JP:3914JP:4180JP:9417Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:4378 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:4378CINC Corp.417.00-99.00-19.19%
JP:3993PKSHA Technology, Inc.3585.00-875.77-19.63%
JP:3680Hotto Link, Inc.191.00-69.82-26.77%
JP:3914JIG-SAW INC.2330.00-1140.00-32.85%
JP:4180Appier Group, Inc.1446.00192.5515.36%
JP:9417Smartvalue Co.Ltd.309.00-130.40-29.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2026