ExaWizards Inc. (JP:4259)
:4259
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ExaWizards Inc.
(4259)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥945.00
▲(48.35% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/28/26
The score is primarily supported by the sharp improvement in financial performance in 2026 (return to profitability, strong margins, and robust positive free cash flow). Technicals are bullish but very overextended (RSI/Stoch at extreme levels), raising near-term downside risk. Valuation is a headwind with a P/E around 31 and no provided dividend yield to offset it.
Positive Factors
Improved profitability
Sustained high gross margins (~67%) and a positive net margin (~13%) indicate the core AI product and services mix can scale profitably. Durable margins support reinvestment in R&D and sales, improving long-term competitive positioning and resilience to moderate revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Historical earnings volatility
Multiple years of losses and a sharp swing to profitability highlight execution and demand risk. Such volatility makes forecasting, budgeting and long-term contract wins less predictable, increasing the chance of funding needs or strategic retrenchment if growth softens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved profitability
Sustained high gross margins (~67%) and a positive net margin (~13%) indicate the core AI product and services mix can scale profitably. Durable margins support reinvestment in R&D and sales, improving long-term competitive positioning and resilience to moderate revenue swings.
Read all positive factors
ExaWizards Inc. (4259) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥82.31B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.54M
Price to Earnings (P/E)50.2
Beta (1Y)1.09
Revenue Growth22.27%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryJP
Employees548
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-26.70
Shares Outstanding96,955,500
10 Day Avg. Volume1,998,980
30 Day Avg. Volume1,537,346
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.20
Price to Book (P/B)10.23
Price to Sales (P/S)3.96
P/FCF Ratio27.99
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)17.6
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥15.61B
ExaWizards Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ExaWizards Inc. is a Japanese enterprise dedicated to crafting artificial intelligence-driven services, with a focus on fostering industrial advancement and addressing complex societal challenges within Japan. The company operates through two dist...
How the Company Makes Money
ExaWizards Inc. generates revenue through the development and sales of AI-based products and services, including proprietary platforms tailored to industries such as healthcare and HR. Additionally, the company earns income from consulting service...
ExaWizards Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 10.15B | 12.00B | 9.81B | 8.38B | 5.59B | 4.81B |
| Gross Profit | 6.25B | 8.00B | 5.67B | 4.69B | 3.14B | 3.05B |
| EBITDA | -1.42B | 2.05B | -1.75B | 67.00M | 359.00M | 90.00M |
| Net Income | -2.21B | 1.53B | -2.58B | -610.00M | -141.00M | -137.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.46B | 9.44B | 7.11B | 10.13B | 7.96B | 7.89B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.85B | 3.98B | 3.01B | 3.49B | 5.23B | 5.54B |
| Total Debt | 2.48B | 2.23B | 2.55B | 2.85B | 310.00M | 345.22M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.35B | 4.68B | 4.57B | 5.14B | 1.34B | 1.26B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.02B | 4.64B | 2.46B | 4.93B | 6.54B | 6.59B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.70B | 505.00M | -1.12B | -843.00M | -445.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.73B | 621.00M | -197.00M | 71.00M | 24.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.04B | -880.00M | -2.95B | -483.00M | -701.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 285.00M | -221.00M | 1.41B | 105.00M | 3.88B |
ExaWizards Inc. Technical Analysis
Neutral
637.00
Price Trends
925.80
Negative
805.76
Positive
707.89
Positive
Market Momentum
-21.41
Positive
37.34
Neutral
5.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4259, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 637 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1083.70, below the 50-day MA of 925.80, and below the 200-day MA of 707.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -21.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4259.
ExaWizards Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥11.73B | 46.66 | ― | ― | 12.23% | 38.11% | |
69 Neutral | ¥82.31B | 50.20 | ― | ― | 22.27% | ― | |
65 Neutral | ¥12.14B | 81.82 | ― | ― | 26.18% | -33.28% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
56 Neutral | ¥11.07B | 30.87 | ― | ― | 8.35% | ― | |
56 Neutral | ¥3.86B | 18.05 | ― | ― | 21.37% | 30.42% | |
47 Neutral | ¥21.10B | -116.34 | ― | ― | 131.28% | 76.67% |
* Technology Sector Average
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ExaWizards Inc. Corporate Events
ExaWizards Launches Kyushu AI Subsidiary to Tackle Regional Labor Shortages
Jun 22, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. has approved the establishment of a new wholly owned subsidiary, ExaForward Kyushu Inc., in Fukuoka City to deepen its presence in Kyushu and western Japan. The move responds to severe regional labor shortages and aims to support l...
ExaWizards Launches AI Agent R&D Subsidiary to Cut Vendor Risk, Boost Competitiveness
Jun 9, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. has approved the establishment of a wholly owned subsidiary, Exa Interaction Design Lab Inc., to develop proprietary AI agent technologies and local large language model platforms in response to rising dependency and cost risks ass...
ExaWizards to Replace Stock Options with New Restricted Stock Plan for Directors
May 22, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. plans to overhaul its officer compensation system by introducing a new restricted stock awards plan for internal directors, replacing its existing stock option-based framework. The scheme aims to more closely align directors’...
ExaWizards and MS&AD Form AI Joint Venture to Drive Insurance Transformation
May 22, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. will establish a joint venture, MSAD AX Inc., with MSAD Insurance Group Holdings in June 2026 to accelerate AI transformation in the non‑life insurance sector. The new entity, capitalized at ¥999 million and 90% owned by...
ExaWizards Clarifies Media Reports on Potential MS&AD Joint Venture
May 21, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. said media reports that it is considering a joint venture with MSAD Insurance Group Holdings were not based on any official company announcement. The AI solutions provider emphasized that its management strategy remains under revie...
ExaWizards to Launch Dividends as AI Growth Strategy Enters New Phase
May 12, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. has announced a change in its shareholder return policy, resolving to initiate dividend payments from the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, following the achievement of positive operating profit and net income and the establishmen...
ExaWizards Consolidates CareWiz Nursing Care Business Under ExaMD to Boost AI Healthcare Strategy
May 12, 2026
ExaWizards has approved a reorganization of its nursing care business, consolidating all products in the “CareWiz” series under its healthcare-focused subsidiary ExaMD to streamline operations and accelerate growth. The move will centr...
ExaWizards Unveils FY2026 Results and Outlook for FY2027
May 12, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. has released its financial results for the fiscal year ended March 2026, outlining performance and progress across its business segments. The company also presented its medium- to long-term strategy and provided forecasts for the f...
ExaWizards Swings to Profit and Targets Further Growth in FY2027
May 12, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. reported strong results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with net sales rising 22.3% to ¥11,996 million and a sharp turnaround to profitability, posting operating profit of ¥1,594 million and profit attributable ...
ExaWizards Swings to Profit on Deferred Tax Assets and Structural Reforms
May 12, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. reported that it has recognized deferred tax assets in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, reflecting increased recoverability based on an improved earnings outlook and expected future taxable income. At the...
ExaWizards to Make SMFG Its Largest Shareholder via Third-Party Share Allotment
Mar 31, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. plans a significant change in its shareholder structure following a third-party allotment of new shares to Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG), a major Japanese financial conglomerate. After the transaction, SMFG is expected to ...
ExaWizards seals AI alliance with SMFG and issues new shares for 10% stake
Mar 31, 2026
ExaWizards Inc. has entered into a capital and business alliance with Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group to accelerate AI-driven transformation and digitalization across the SMBC Group and the wider financial sector. The collaboration will center on ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.