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Sekisui Chemical Co
(4204)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,811.00
▲(3.65% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet, partly offset by volatile cash generation (including negative free cash flow in 2026). Technical indicators are notably weak, while valuation is supportive due to a reasonable P/E and a 3.25% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Margin Sustainability
Consistently healthy gross and EBIT margins across 2023–2025 indicate enduring pricing power and a product mix tilted toward higher-value specialty materials. These margins support predictable earnings generation and resilience to moderate volume swings over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Negative FCF in 2026 and swings in operating cash flow point to inconsistent cash conversion. That variability can constrain reinvestment, increase reliance on external financing, and pressure dividend or buyback plans if capex or working-capital needs persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin Sustainability
Consistently healthy gross and EBIT margins across 2023–2025 indicate enduring pricing power and a product mix tilted toward higher-value specialty materials. These margins support predictable earnings generation and resilience to moderate volume swings over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Sekisui Chemical Co (4204) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.00T
Dividend Yield3.13%
Average Volume (3M)1.40M
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.3
Beta (1Y)0.81
Revenue Growth0.89%
EPS Growth-6.46%
CountryJP
Employees26,857
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Specialties
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)182.73
Shares Outstanding405,507,300
10 Day Avg. Volume1,770,420
30 Day Avg. Volume1,399,140
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.11
Price to Book (P/B)1.26
Price to Sales (P/S)0.82
P/FCF Ratio-47.71
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥2,200.00Price Target Upside-18.88% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)192.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥1.39T
Sekisui Chemical Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the housing, urban infrastructure and environmental products, high performance plastics, and medical businesses in Japan, Europe, Asia, and the Americas. The company offers LCD fine particles, photosensitive m...
How the Company Makes Money
Sekisui Chemical makes money primarily by selling manufactured products and solutions across its major business segments. (1) In its high-performance plastics/materials operations, it generates revenue from supplying specialized resins, molded par...
Sekisui Chemical Co Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2025
(Q3-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in several segments like High Performance Plastics and UIEP, with record highs in net profit and dividends. However, significant challenges were noted in the Housing and Medical segments, alongside delayed market recovery impacting overall growth expectations.Positive Updates
Record High Net Profit
Net profit for Q3 2024 was JPY 14 billion, marking a record high. Cumulative results also showed increases in sales, operating, and net profit.
Negative Updates
Decline in Housing Demand
The Housing Company saw a decline in sales and profit expectations due to challenging orders in Q3, with a revised downward forecast of JPY 5 billion for operating profit.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record High Net Profit
Net profit for Q3 2024 was JPY 14 billion, marking a record high. Cumulative results also showed increases in sales, operating, and net profit.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call, Futoshi Kamiwaki provided comprehensive guidance, highlighting several key financial metrics. The company reported net sales of JPY 312.6 billion, an operating profit of JPY 24.7 billion, and a net profit of JPY 14 billion, with all levels exceeding initial plans. The High Performance Plastics Company witnessed a notable increase in sales and profits, slightly surpassing forecasts, while the Housing Company saw sales and operating profit exceed expectations. However, the Medical business underperformed due to sluggish sales in Japan and the U.S. Looking ahead, the company expects global automobile production and smartphone shipments to exceed previous forecasts, although new housing starts remain below expectations. For the full fiscal year, total sales and profits are projected to rise, with record-high profits anticipated in the HPP and UIEP segments. The year-end dividend is expected to be JPY 36 per share, totaling JPY 71 for the year, an increase of JPY 12. Additionally, EBITDA is forecasted to reach a record JPY 148 billion, with ROIC and ROE at 7.6% and 10%, respectively.Sekisui Chemical Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.31T | 1.30T | 1.26T | 1.24T | 1.16T |
| Gross Profit | 424.18B | 404.13B | 376.00B | 362.30B | 341.83B |
| EBITDA | 164.59B | 174.77B | 165.25B | 150.80B | 119.34B |
| Net Income | 75.17B | 81.92B | 77.93B | 69.26B | 37.07B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.43T | 1.33T | 1.32T | 1.23T | 1.20T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 97.19B | 142.59B | 138.57B | 101.08B | 144.53B |
| Total Debt | 144.78B | 110.83B | 120.72B | 120.46B | 122.56B |
| Total Liabilities | 546.80B | 495.42B | 502.31B | 495.60B | 496.17B |
| Stockholders Equity | 851.19B | 807.35B | 792.33B | 705.03B | 674.64B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -22.48B | 61.13B | 60.56B | 26.87B | 68.03B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 78.30B | 119.23B | 106.63B | 71.54B | 105.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -68.70B | -61.51B | -18.52B | -59.43B | 2.69B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -46.95B | -61.20B | -53.02B | -62.91B | -54.73B |
Sekisui Chemical Co Technical Analysis
Positive
2712.00
Price Trends
2406.25
Positive
2578.87
Positive
2626.23
Positive
Market Momentum
60.82
Negative
75.29
Negative
85.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4204, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2712 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2482.77, above the 50-day MA of 2406.25, and above the 200-day MA of 2626.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 60.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.29 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4204.
Sekisui Chemical Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | ¥749.12B | 23.60 | 13.63% | 1.95% | -1.79% | 1.14% | |
73 Outperform | ¥227.38B | 15.55 | 8.27% | 2.68% | 3.42% | 13.41% | |
73 Outperform | ¥170.06B | 13.24 | ― | 2.66% | -4.58% | 51.26% | |
71 Outperform | ¥243.43B | 12.55 | ― | 3.90% | 1.23% | 11.14% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
63 Neutral | ¥1.00T | 14.26 | 7.53% | 3.13% | 0.89% | -6.46% | |
46 Neutral | ¥330.11B | -3.59 | -20.43% | 3.72% | -13.16% | -410.41% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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Sekisui Chemical Co Corporate Events
Sekisui Chemical Launches “Accelerate 2028” Plan to Drive ESG-Led Growth
May 21, 2026
Sekisui Chemical has unveiled its new three-year medium-term management plan, “Accelerate 2028,” positioned as the third phase toward achieving its long-term “Vision 2030.” Building on its prior “Drive 2.0” plan...
Sekisui Chemical Maintains Strong Shareholder Returns With ¥80 Annual Dividend
May 18, 2026
Sekisui Chemical will pay a year-end dividend of ¥40 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, matching its latest forecast and bringing the total annual dividend to ¥80 per share. The payout, based on retained earnings and to ...
Sekisui Chemical Launches Share Buyback and Cancels 25 Million Treasury Shares
Apr 28, 2026
Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. has approved a new share buyback of up to 4 million common shares, or about 0.99% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares, with a maximum outlay of ¥12 billion between April 30, 2026, and March 31, 2027 t...
Sekisui Chemical Posts Slight Sales Growth, Plans Profit Recovery and Higher Dividends
Apr 28, 2026
Sekisui Chemical reported consolidated net sales of ¥1,309.3 billion for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, up slightly from the previous year, while operating profit dipped 1.4% to ¥106.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.