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Daicel (JP:4202)
:4202
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Daicel (4202) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4202

Daicel

(4202)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,524.00
▲(5.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/23/26
The score is mainly held back by weaker recent profitability and inconsistent free cash flow despite steady revenue growth and a gradually improving balance sheet. Technicals are mildly supportive with neutral momentum, while valuation is mixed—an attractive dividend yield offset by a high P/E.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Multi-year top-line growth supports a durable demand base across Daicel’s chemical and engineered-product businesses. Continued positive revenue in the latest annual period indicates customer programs and market reach remain intact despite weaker profitability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Deterioration
Latest-year net income fell sharply and operating profit compressed, showing that revenue growth is not converting reliably into earnings. Persistent margin pressure could constrain reinvestment and increase sensitivity to product mix and input costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Multi-year top-line growth supports a durable demand base across Daicel’s chemical and engineered-product businesses. Continued positive revenue in the latest annual period indicates customer programs and market reach remain intact despite weaker profitability.
Read all positive factors

Daicel (4202) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Daicel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Daicel Corporation, a Japanese enterprise founded in Osaka in 1919, conducts its business operations across Japan, Asia, North America, and Europe. The company is a key producer and distributor of a broad array of products, including cellulosic de...
How the Company Makes Money
Daicel makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemicals, advanced materials, and engineered products to business customers (B2B) across multiple end markets. Revenue is largely generated through (1) sales of specialty/functional chemic...

Daicel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady multi-year revenue growth is a positive, and leverage has improved to moderate levels versus prior periods. However, the latest year showed a sharp drop in net income and compressed operating profit, and free cash flow has been volatile and weakened again most recently—raising concerns about earnings durability and cash-flow consistency.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue592.74B579.63B586.53B558.06B538.03B467.94B
Gross Profit148.15B146.29B165.84B160.39B147.04B139.68B
EBITDA73.35B72.71B108.86B111.40B87.97B75.84B
Net Income9.92B10.18B49.48B55.84B40.68B31.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets865.29B833.93B813.83B839.17B765.61B698.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.03B68.81B65.14B73.18B93.84B90.53B
Total Debt310.77B304.25B286.12B304.12B321.97B283.55B
Total Liabilities481.94B463.55B438.79B464.30B455.17B419.29B
Stockholders Equity367.86B355.60B359.99B358.90B295.21B272.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.002.51B23.44B11.11B-20.54B-501.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.0067.84B93.41B76.73B26.85B42.99B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-49.26B-47.87B-55.37B-36.89B-46.53B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-21.26B-48.85B-52.37B12.76B-5.45B

Daicel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1445.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1426.32
Positive
100DMA
1337.91
Positive
200DMA
1357.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.37
Positive
RSI
51.33
Neutral
STOCH
51.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4202, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1445.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1461.45, above the 50-day MA of 1426.32, and above the 200-day MA of 1357.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4202.

Daicel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥368.97B10.526.43%2.74%3.53%63.85%
77
Outperform
¥459.58B11.239.96%3.43%0.17%69.59%
69
Neutral
¥605.93B20.998.52%1.62%10.34%64.18%
67
Neutral
¥344.57B14.525.75%3.31%2.52%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
¥372.04B37.292.75%4.15%2.16%-77.64%
50
Neutral
¥743.19B-24.78-6.25%2.29%2.69%-173.16%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4202
Daicel
1,458.50
148.03
11.30%
JP:4118
Kaneka
6,135.00
1,921.88
45.62%
JP:4182
Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company
3,870.00
1,252.22
47.84%
JP:4208
UBE Industries
3,542.00
1,297.43
57.80%
JP:4205
Zeon
2,414.00
776.15
47.39%
JP:4203
Sumitomo Bakelite Co., Ltd.
7,540.00
2,609.73
52.93%

Daicel Corporate Events

Daicel Lowers EBITDA Growth Target in Revised Mid-Term Strategy
May 25, 2026
Daicel Corporation has issued corrections to its recently announced mid-term management strategy, Accelerate 2030, adjusting a key performance target for its growth portfolio. The company revised its EBITDA growth goal for the period from the fisc...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2026