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BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (417A) AI Stock Analysis

JP:417A

BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.

(TSE/TYO:417A)

Select Model
Rating:73.4Outperform
Price Target:JPY 2,011.00â–²(7.11% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/17/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (steady growth and profitability with moderate leverage), tempered by inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion. Technicals are mildly constructive with neutral momentum, while valuation is supportive due to a reasonable P/E and a high dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Earnings GrowthConsistent revenue expansion alongside rising net income indicates durable demand and improving operating scale. This supports continued business development over the next several months, although the pace remains dependent on maintaining execution in a low-margin grocery environment.
Negative Factors
Thin Operating MarginsLow grocery-sector margins leave limited room to absorb wage, logistics, procurement or utility-cost increases. The company can remain profitable, but sustained earnings growth requires disciplined cost control because modest cost pressure may materially affect profit.

BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD. (417A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:417A+22.41%EWJ+15.87%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
JPY 379.30B
Dividend Yield
3.50%
Average Volume (3M)
249.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.8
Beta (1Y)
0.06
Revenue Growth
11.73%
EPS Growth
20.14%
Country
Japan
Employees
5,766
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Grocery Stores

BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Blue Zones Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the operation of supermarkets in Japan. The company offers various products, including fresh food, dried and processed food, and daily food, as well as delicatessen products. It also engages in the trading busi...

BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (Score 76) shows consistent revenue growth and improving net income with steady but thin industry-typical margins. Balance sheet is reasonably resilient (Score 72) with moderate leverage and growing equity, though debt has trended up vs earlier years. Cash flow is the key constraint (Score 64): operating cash flow is rising, but free cash flow is volatile and low versus net income, reducing financial flexibility.

Income Statement

76Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue842.37B813.15B736.40B619.59B564.49B536.02B
Gross Profit231.35B208.46B189.02B161.47B147.83B140.45B
EBITDA52.26B50.69B44.65B39.57B36.57B35.54B
Net Income24.18B23.60B20.18B18.24B15.85B15.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets408.35B427.82B376.21B342.41B318.23B306.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.66B54.32B50.23B48.18B45.78B31.27B
Total Debt80.45B90.66B80.85B77.60B93.22B97.25B
Total Liabilities203.06B221.85B190.27B174.50B176.61B177.16B
Stockholders Equity204.29B199.56B181.10B167.90B141.61B128.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow013.82B7.38B13.46B13.60B-8.30B
Operating Cash Flow047.07B43.18B37.16B33.28B30.52B
Investing Cash Flow0-46.40B-37.01B-26.79B-10.52B-46.91B
Financing Cash Flow03.64B-5.75B-8.07B-8.25B15.57B

BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

JP:417A against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:417AJP:417A73OutperformJPY 391.07B15.81―3.50%11.73%20.14%
JP:8255JP:825567NeutralJPY 125.46B13.85―2.15%3.64%-3.30%
JP:8260JP:826059NeutralJPY 4.12B10.59―1.67%-3.00%-59.11%
JP:8247JP:824758NeutralJPY 2.09B-1.09――-1.92%-954.53%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
JP:8278JP:827854NeutralJPY 172.94B20.01―1.50%-1.47%119.37%
JP:8254JP:825443NeutralJPY 2.03B16.53―2.06%-0.89%-33.97%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%JP:417AJP:8247JP:8254JP:8255JP:8260JP:8278Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
JP:417A and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:417ABLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.1877.50337.3021.90%
JP:8247Daiwa Co., Ltd.372.00-13.00-3.38%
JP:8254Saikaya Co., Ltd.243.00-134.36-35.60%
JP:8255Axial Retailing, Inc.1346.00281.4926.44%
JP:8260Izutsuya Co., Ltd.360.00-57.13-13.70%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.1995.0052.552.71%

BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO. LTD. Corporate Events

Blue Zones Launches Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency and Shareholder Returns

Aug 12, 2026

Blue Zones Holdings Co., Ltd., a TSE Prime Market-listed Japanese company under code 417A, is pursuing a capital strategy focused on improving efficiency and shareholder returns. The firm emphasizes flexibility in its financial policies to respond to...

Blue Zones Holdings Launches Targeted Share Buyback via TSE Off-Hours Trade

Aug 10, 2026

Blue Zones Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a structured share buyback program, signaling a continued focus on shareholder returns and balance sheet optimization. The company’s use of Tokyo Stock Exchange mechanisms underscores its integration i...

Blue Zones Launches ¥5.88 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

Aug 10, 2026

Blue Zones Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a new share buyback program targeting up to 3.5 million common shares, equivalent to about 1.72% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares. The acquisition, capped at 5.88 billion yen and running fr...

Blue Zones Holdings posts solid first-quarter earnings and reaffirms full-year outlook

Aug 10, 2026

Blue Zones Holdings Co. Ltd. reported consolidated revenue of ¥223.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥7.7 billion for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, its first comparable period since establishing the holding str...

Blue Zones Raises Cap on Director Stock Compensation Points

May 25, 2026

Blue Zones Holdings has corrected details of its newly introduced stock compensation system for directors, adjusting a key parameter in the share-based incentive framework disclosed earlier in May. The revision reflects a recalibration of how equity...

Blue Zones Introduces Trust-Based Stock Compensation for Directors

May 22, 2026

Blue Zones Holdings Co., Ltd. plans to overhaul its director compensation structure by adding a medium- to long-term, performance-linked stock component via a trust-based scheme. The move is intended to tie executives’ rewards more closely to t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026