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Tomoegawa Corporation (JP:3878)
:3878
Japanese Market
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Tomoegawa Corporation (3878) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3878

Tomoegawa Corporation

(3878)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,026.00
▲(32.90% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is supported by attractive valuation (low P/E) and a constructive technical uptrend (price above key moving averages, positive MACD). Offsetting this, overall financial performance is only moderate due to weaker profitability versus prior peaks and especially volatile cash generation with free cash flow currently near breakeven and not tracking earnings.
Positive Factors
Improving Revenue and Gross Margin
The recent return to revenue growth alongside steadily improving gross margin indicates better operating momentum and product economics. Although growth is modest, stronger gross profitability can support reinvestment and provide a more durable base for earnings across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak and Volatile Free Cash Flow
Near-zero recent free cash flow limits the cash available for debt reduction, shareholder returns, or strategic investment. The sharp variability across years also makes earnings conversion less dependable, increasing the risk that reported profitability will not translate into financial flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Revenue and Gross Margin
The recent return to revenue growth alongside steadily improving gross margin indicates better operating momentum and product economics. Although growth is modest, stronger gross profitability can support reinvestment and provide a more durable base for earnings across the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Tomoegawa Corporation (3878) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tomoegawa Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tomoegawa Co., Ltd., founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1914, is a multifaceted enterprise engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of an extensive array of advanced materials, primarily serving the Japanese market. Their diverse product lineup...
How the Company Makes Money
Tomoegawa generally makes money by manufacturing and selling specialty paper and functional material products to business customers (B2B). Revenue is primarily generated through (1) sales of in-house manufactured functional papers/sheets and proce...

Tomoegawa Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: revenue is modestly improving and gross margin has strengthened, and leverage has improved with rising equity. However, profitability has cooled versus 2022–2023 and cash flow quality is a key weakness, with volatile operating cash flow and free cash flow near breakeven in 2026 and far below net income.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.13B35.55B34.43B33.69B34.17B32.78B
Gross Profit8.81B8.28B7.87B7.37B7.53B6.76B
EBITDA3.95B3.55B3.41B3.24B4.24B4.52B
Net Income1.24B945.00M750.00M594.00M1.45B1.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.95B50.94B46.09B45.71B42.95B43.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.15B5.10B4.92B5.42B4.35B4.83B
Total Debt14.95B15.14B14.02B12.83B12.71B12.65B
Total Liabilities29.53B28.45B26.45B26.31B24.57B25.96B
Stockholders Equity18.49B17.67B15.24B14.70B14.03B13.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.006.00M-613.00M2.45B116.00M2.44B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.34B1.80B4.18B1.01B3.36B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.73B-2.76B-1.74B-54.00M-217.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00473.00M500.00M-1.65B-1.57B-2.65B

Tomoegawa Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price772.00
Price Trends
50DMA
850.04
Positive
100DMA
839.10
Positive
200DMA
828.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.07
Negative
RSI
76.32
Negative
STOCH
67.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3878, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 772 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 854.60, below the 50-day MA of 850.04, and below the 200-day MA of 828.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3878.

Tomoegawa Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
¥79.56B16.39―3.58%-0.03%30.67%
65
Neutral
¥8.84B7.55―1.57%7.74%82.31%
63
Neutral
¥401.43B20.317.58%1.95%2.68%58.48%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
¥54.10B10.115.78%1.76%-8.09%76.25%
54
Neutral
¥150.89B15.681.94%1.14%2.22%27.47%
52
Neutral
¥160.06B19.833.48%1.44%1.33%―
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3878
Tomoegawa Corporation
954.00
205.99
27.54%
JP:7966
Lintec
5,890.00
2,402.87
68.91%
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
1,249.00
616.46
97.46%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,314.00
120.98
10.14%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
974.00
102.09
11.71%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
2,208.00
741.24
50.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026