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Asteria Corporation (JP:3853)
:3853
Japanese Market
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Asteria Corporation (3853) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3853

Asteria Corporation

(3853)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,202.00
▲(26.79% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/19/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but inconsistent financial performance (strong margins and low leverage, but notable earnings and cash-flow variability) and an attractive low P/E valuation. These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD indicating unfavorable near-term trend.
Positive Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Several years of revenue expansion indicate continuing demand for the company’s software offerings rather than reliance on a single reporting period. Although growth is moderate, its persistence provides a durable base for maintaining scale, supporting investment, and rebuilding earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Earnings Volatility
Large recent losses demonstrate that strong gross margins have not consistently translated into bottom-line profitability. This history makes future earnings power less predictable, complicates planning and capital allocation, and increases the risk that reported results could swing materially across the next several reporting periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Steady Revenue Growth
Several years of revenue expansion indicate continuing demand for the company’s software offerings rather than reliance on a single reporting period. Although growth is moderate, its persistence provides a durable base for maintaining scale, supporting investment, and rebuilding earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Asteria Corporation is dedicated to crafting and distributing software. Its product lineup encompasses ASTERIA Warp, a data integration middleware that facilitates operational automation through non-programming technology; SnapCal, designed for sm...

Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are supported by steady recent revenue growth and solid FY2026 profitability (net margin ~23.6%, EBIT margin ~16.4%) alongside low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.09). Offsetting this, earnings have been volatile with large net losses in FY2023–FY2024, and operating profitability and cash conversion weakened in FY2026 versus FY2025 (lower operating cash flow and modest OCF/EBIT ~0.39).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.44B3.39B3.17B2.91B2.79B2.97B
Gross Profit2.88B2.99B2.83B2.63B2.49B2.49B
EBITDA805.30M865.36M964.13M781.22M200.26M159.86M
Net Income2.30B798.65M588.62M-1.81B-1.67B2.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.10B10.60B8.17B7.59B10.62B12.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.40B3.26B2.81B2.19B2.15B2.19B
Total Debt1.36B665.00M398.97M807.78M997.26M1.17B
Total Liabilities3.26B2.65B1.93B1.83B2.99B3.61B
Stockholders Equity9.46B7.80B6.10B5.58B7.13B8.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00545.92M816.92M510.81M-155.56M-4.58M
Operating Cash Flow0.00571.02M829.33M629.67M234.82M58.04M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-713.67M777.72M-421.88M6.58M-453.31M
Financing Cash Flow0.00535.14M-523.42M-315.26M-339.41M-270.35M

Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price948.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1109.26
Negative
100DMA
1351.75
Negative
200DMA
1302.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.97
Negative
RSI
45.80
Neutral
STOCH
47.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 948 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1101.05, below the 50-day MA of 1109.26, and below the 200-day MA of 1302.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -15.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3853.

Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥31.53B12.05―4.26%10.84%11.95%
82
Outperform
¥23.59B17.49―1.22%40.53%32.41%
79
Outperform
¥22.83B12.01―3.37%7.78%9.63%
69
Neutral
¥17.94B7.90―0.92%7.11%146.94%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
¥17.82B9.67―3.46%12.33%13.11%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,087.00
-344.76
-24.08%
JP:3648
AGS Corporation
1,045.00
-99.43
-8.69%
JP:3771
System Research Co., Ltd.
1,870.00
-96.47
-4.91%
JP:3921
NEOJAPAN Inc.
1,613.00
-213.74
-11.70%
JP:4058
Toyokumo, Inc.
2,146.00
-786.76
-26.83%

Asteria Corporation Corporate Events

Asteria Deploys Disaster-Response Software, Donates JPY 3 Million After Crisis
Aug 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation has responded to a recent disaster by donating JPY 3 million and offering its products free of charge to affected municipalities and businesses. The company rapidly developed and released an “Evacuation Center Local Info...
Asteria Lifts Full-Year Operating Profit Outlook on SpaceX Share Sale Gain
Aug 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027, keeping projected revenue at 3,700 million yen but raising expected operating profit from 1,100 million yen to 1,500 million yen. The new gui...
Asteria Posts Profit Surge and Lifts Outlook for FY 2027
Aug 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥824 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, a 7.0% year-on-year increase, while operating profit surged to ¥2,451 million, reflecting a sharp rise compared with the prior-year pe...
Asteria to Book ¥2.05 Billion Valuation Gain on SpaceX Investment
Aug 10, 2026
Asteria Corporation, traded on the TSE Prime Market, participates in advanced technology sectors via its wholly owned subsidiary Asteria AI Robotics Inc., which holds an investment in SpaceX. This structure underscores the company’s engagem...
Asteria Renames U.S. Subsidiary to Sharpen Focus on AI and Robotics
Jun 25, 2026
Asteria Corporation has renamed its Texas-based consolidated subsidiary from Asteria Vision Fund Inc. to Asteria AI Robotics Inc., reflecting a sharpened focus on AI and robotics investments. The unit, capitalized at USD 21 million and led by Pre...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 19, 2026