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Asteria Corporation
(3853)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,184.00
▲(24.89% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/19/26
The score is primarily supported by solid recent profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet, but is held back by historically volatile earnings and weaker cash conversion. Technical signals are notably bearish (below major moving averages with negative MACD), and valuation looks demanding (P/E ~31 with a low dividend yield), limiting upside support in the near term.
Positive Factors
Strong Current Profitability
FY2026 net and EBIT margins of about 23.6% and 16.4% demonstrate strong current profitability. If sustained, this earnings base can support internal investment, strengthen resilience, and provide greater financial capacity through the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Historically Volatile Earnings
Large net losses in FY2023–FY2024 show that reported profitability has not been consistently durable. This history raises the risk that current earnings could fluctuate materially again, making longer-term earnings power less predictable despite the latest recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Current Profitability
FY2026 net and EBIT margins of about 23.6% and 16.4% demonstrate strong current profitability. If sustained, this earnings base can support internal investment, strengthen resilience, and provide greater financial capacity through the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Asteria Corporation (3853) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥18.93B
Dividend Yield0.8%
Average Volume (3M)331.46K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.3
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth7.11%
EPS Growth146.94%
CountryJP
Employees145
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)136.23
Shares Outstanding17,491,264
10 Day Avg. Volume243,400
30 Day Avg. Volume331,463
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.78
Price to Book (P/B)3.00
Price to Sales (P/S)6.89
P/FCF Ratio42.79
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Asteria Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Asteria Corporation is dedicated to crafting and distributing software. Its product lineup encompasses ASTERIA Warp, a data integration middleware that facilitates operational automation through non-programming technology; SnapCal, designed for sm...
Asteria Corporation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.44B | 3.39B | 3.17B | 2.91B | 2.79B | 2.97B |
| Gross Profit | 2.88B | 2.99B | 2.83B | 2.63B | 2.49B | 2.49B |
| EBITDA | 805.30M | 865.36M | 964.13M | 781.22M | 200.26M | 159.86M |
| Net Income | 2.30B | 798.65M | 588.62M | -1.81B | -1.67B | 2.51B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.10B | 10.60B | 8.17B | 7.59B | 10.62B | 12.59B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.40B | 3.26B | 2.81B | 2.19B | 2.15B | 2.19B |
| Total Debt | 1.36B | 665.00M | 398.97M | 807.78M | 997.26M | 1.17B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.26B | 2.65B | 1.93B | 1.83B | 2.99B | 3.61B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.46B | 7.80B | 6.10B | 5.58B | 7.13B | 8.36B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 545.92M | 816.92M | 510.81M | -155.56M | -4.58M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 571.02M | 829.33M | 629.67M | 234.82M | 58.04M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -713.67M | 777.72M | -421.88M | 6.58M | -453.31M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 535.14M | -523.42M | -315.26M | -339.41M | -270.35M |
Asteria Corporation Technical Analysis
Negative
948.00
Price Trends
1127.28
Negative
1419.19
Negative
1308.08
Negative
Market Momentum
-3.04
Positive
45.66
Neutral
7.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 948 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1158.35, below the 50-day MA of 1127.28, and below the 200-day MA of 1308.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3853.
Asteria Corporation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | ¥31.95B | 12.38 | ― | 4.32% | 10.84% | 11.95% | |
82 Outperform | ¥26.91B | 19.81 | ― | 1.17% | 40.53% | 32.41% | |
79 Outperform | ¥22.64B | 12.25 | ― | 3.35% | 9.76% | 19.47% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
60 Neutral | ¥18.93B | 8.28 | ― | 0.91% | 7.11% | 146.94% | |
57 Neutral | ¥18.62B | 10.08 | ― | 3.39% | 12.33% | 13.11% |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:3853
Asteria Corporation
1,126.00
-532.45
-32.11%
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Asteria Corporation Corporate Events
Asteria Deploys Disaster-Response Software, Donates JPY 3 Million After Crisis
Aug 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation has responded to a recent disaster by donating JPY 3 million and offering its products free of charge to affected municipalities and businesses. The company rapidly developed and released an “Evacuation Center Local Info...
Asteria Lifts Full-Year Operating Profit Outlook on SpaceX Share Sale Gain
Aug 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027, keeping projected revenue at 3,700 million yen but raising expected operating profit from 1,100 million yen to 1,500 million yen. The new gui...
Asteria Posts Profit Surge and Lifts Outlook for FY 2027
Aug 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥824 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, a 7.0% year-on-year increase, while operating profit surged to ¥2,451 million, reflecting a sharp rise compared with the prior-year pe...
Asteria to Book ¥2.05 Billion Valuation Gain on SpaceX Investment
Aug 10, 2026
Asteria Corporation, traded on the TSE Prime Market, participates in advanced technology sectors via its wholly owned subsidiary Asteria AI Robotics Inc., which holds an investment in SpaceX. This structure underscores the company’s engagem...
Asteria Renames U.S. Subsidiary to Sharpen Focus on AI and Robotics
Jun 25, 2026
Asteria Corporation has renamed its Texas-based consolidated subsidiary from Asteria Vision Fund Inc. to Asteria AI Robotics Inc., reflecting a sharpened focus on AI and robotics investments. The unit, capitalized at USD 21 million and led by Pre...
Asteria weighs earnings impact after SpaceX IPO boosts strategic stake
Jun 14, 2026
Asteria Corporation said that portfolio company SpaceX has completed its initial public offering on the NASDAQ, and the resulting impact on Asteria’s consolidated earnings, including unrealized gains and losses on securities, is still being ...
Asteria Books ¥405 Million Gain from Partial SpaceX Share Sale
Jun 9, 2026
Asteria Corporation has sold a portion of its shareholding in SpaceX, generating an estimated gain of approximately 405 million yen, which will be booked as other income in the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027. The move underscor...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.